Rionegro Águilas vs Independiente Medellín – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Colombian Primera A Rionegro Águilas - Independiente Medellín
Result
2:1
08/10/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera A - Clausura - Round 11

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.751.31
Ball Possession
34%66%
Total shots
1021
Shots on target
37
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
311
Passes
66% (151/230)80% (346/430)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
1.751.31
xG on target (xGOT)
1.552.55
Total shots
1021
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
58
Blocked Shots
26
Shots inside the Box
713
Shots outside the Box
38
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
311
Touches in opposition box
1337
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
810
Passes
66% (151/230)80% (346/430)
Long passes
38% (25/65)57% (35/61)
Passes in final third
48% (39/82)75% (125/166)
Crosses
40% (4/10)27% (8/30)
Expected assists (xA)
0.741.20
Throw-ins
1131
Fouls
108
Tackles
54% (7/13)40% (4/10)
Duels won
4141
Clearances
4818
Interceptions
113
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
61
xGOT faced
2.551.55
Goals prevented
1.55-0.45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Puerta M. ,
  • 17', 2 - 0, Hernandez D. , Caballero J. (A),
  • 37', Lopes H. 🟨,
  • 39', 2 - 1, Palacios J. , Barrera J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 65', Yony Gonzalez , Charales F. ,
  • 65', Leon B. 🟨,
  • 69', Charales F. 🟨,
  • 69', Perlaza B. , Berrio L. ,
  • 70', Berrio L. 🟨,
  • 72', Puerta M. 🟨,
  • 76', Puerta M. , Lozano D. ,
  • 78', Mena Perea E. , Sandoval L. ,
  • 78', Leon B. , Garcia M. ,
  • 79', Hernandez D. 🟨,
  • 83', Chaverra F. , Valencia J. ,
  • 84', Loboa H. , Serna A. ,
  • 89', Caballero J. , Avalo Trejos J. E. ,
  • 89', Ramirez M. , Rodriguez S. ,
  • 89', Obregon J. , Morelo W. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/2ebd2f2c

Chances of winning


Rionegro Águilas
23.6%
Draw
28%
Independiente Medellín
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.5% 28.7% 46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4% 27.4% 49%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rionegro Águilas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rionegro Águilas than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Rionegro Águilas - Independiente Medellín Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.91
    (3.75)
    3.33
    (3.2)
    1.95
    (1.96)
    6.8%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Rionegro Águilas - Independiente Medellín?
  • Users Predictions: Independiente Medellín will win (16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 82.94%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Independiente Medellín will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 19 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rionegro Águilas won 0.
    • Rionegro Águilas has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Ind Medellín is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Ind Medellín may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Ind Medellín is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rionegro Águilas won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 19:25. (average 1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Rionegro Águilas won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.2:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rionegro Águilas - Independiente Medellín were as follows:
    29.03.2025 Independiente Medellín - Rionegro Águilas 0:0
    14.09.2024 Rionegro Águilas - Independiente Medellín 1:1
    03.03.2024 Independiente Medellín - Rionegro Águilas 1:0
    25.08.2023 Rionegro Águilas - Independiente Medellín 1:1
    04.03.2023 Independiente Medellín - Rionegro Águilas 3:0
    Latest results of Rionegro Águilas
    Colombian Primera A Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bucaramanga17104329:131634
    2Ind. Medellin1694334:221231
    3Junior1794431:211031
    4Fortaleza1787223:16731
    5Deportes Tolima1792622:15729
    6Atl. Nacional1677227:19828
    7Llaneros1774616:16025
    8Aguilas1766526:23324
    9America De Cali1765618:16223
    10Alianza1765621:21023
    11Santa Fe1757517:16122
    12Once Caldas1764719:23-422
    13Millonarios1763820:24-421
    14Dep. Cali1755721:25-420
    15Pereira1746718:24-618
    16U. Magdalena1753920:27-718
    17Envigado1737714:20-616
    18Chico1737713:23-1016
    19Dep. Pasto1727819:27-813
    20La Equidad1725109:26-1711

          Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )