Nancy vs Rodez – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
23/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 20
  • Referee: Landry R. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.471.43
Ball possession
64%36%
Total shots
209
Shots on target
74
Big chances
14
Corner kicks
72
Passes
82% (417/508)73% (210/289)
Yellow cards
30
Expected goals (xG)
2.471.43
xG on target (xGOT)
1.152.71
Total shots
209
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
93
Blocked shots
42
Shots inside the box
168
Shots outside the box
41
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
01
Big chances
14
Corner kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
3314
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
43
Free kicks
1916
Passes
82% (417/508)73% (210/289)
Long passes
35% (22/63)32% (22/68)
Passes in final third
76% (126/165)50% (41/82)
Crosses
31% (13/42)33% (4/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.890.88
Throw ins
3017
Fouls
1619
Tackles
54% (7/13)60% (6/10)
Duels won
5745
Clearances
1636
Interceptions
617
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
16
xGOT faced
2.711.15
Goals prevented
-0.290.15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Balde I. , Arconte T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Fernandez N. , Bamba R. ,
  • 51', Gelin J. 🟨,
  • 57', 0 - 2, Arconte T. , Saka M. (A),
  • 59', Sissoko N. 🟨,
  • 61', Tacafred E. 🟨,
  • 63', Bouriaud T. , Dabasse A. ,
  • 63', Sissoko N. , Ouotro P. ,
  • 65', Saka M. , Mendes J. ,
  • 70', Bourgault J. , Experience M. ,
  • 78', Balde I. , Nagera K. ,
  • 79', Younoussa W. , Trouillet A. ,
  • 85', 1 - 2, Dabasse A. , Ouotro P. (A),
  • 86', Arconte T. , Tebily H. ,
  • 86', Benchamma S. , Issanchou Roubiou C. ,
  • 90+7', 1 - 3, Nagera K. , Jean-Lambert E. (A),

Chances of winning


Nancy
45.1%
Draw
27.4%
Rodez
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.5% 26.4% 28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4% 25.3% 26.9%

Nancy - Rodez Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.08
(2.05)
3.42
(3.53)
3.41
(3.33)
6.6%
(7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Nancy - Rodez?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Nancy will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Rodez will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nancy: 8%64.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Rodez (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Nancy (2.03) (votes: 2 - 50%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Nancy (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Rodez (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nancy won 0.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Nancy may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Nancy will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Nancy: Bokangu B. (Inactive) Dabasse A. (Inactive) Kenzo N. (Injury) Maouassa F. (Injury) Saint-Ruf N. (Inactive) Sidibe O. (Inactive) Sourzac M. (Arm Injury) Suljic C. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Rodez: Margueron L. (Injury) Ponti R. (Inactive)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Nancy won 0 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:8. (average 0.9:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nancy won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nancy - Rodez were as follows:
    09.08.2025 Rodez - Nancy 0:0
    Latest results of Nancy
    19.01.2026 Nancy - Guingamp 0:3
    11.01.2026 Le Mans - Nancy 1:0
    03.01.2026 Amiens - Nancy 1:2
    20.12.2025 Grenoble - Nancy 1:2
    12.12.2025 Nancy - Clermont 1:0
    Latest results of Rodez
    16.01.2026 Rodez - Le Mans 1:1
    03.01.2026 Pau - Rodez 3:3
    12.12.2025 Rodez - Guingamp 2:1
    06.12.2025 Troyes - Rodez 1:1
    29.11.2025 Canet Roussillon - Rodez 1:0
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes22125534:221241
    2Reims22116537:231439
    3Le Mans22109327:19839
    4St Etienne22114737:271037
    5Red Star22107530:22837
    6Dunkerque2297635:231234
    7Pau FC2297633:33034
    8Guingamp2296733:33033
    9Annecy2295828:22632
    10Montpellier2294924:22231
    11Rodez2279628:30-230
    12Grenoble2268824:29-526
    13Nancy22741120:30-1025
    14Boulogne22651123:33-1023
    15Clermont22571024:30-622
    16Amiens22641227:35-822
    17Laval22381115:30-1517
    18Bastia22371211:27-1616

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National