Result
1:3
23/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 20
- Referee: Landry R. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.47 | 1.43 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (417/508) | 73% (210/289) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.47 | 1.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 2.71 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (417/508) | 73% (210/289) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (22/63) | 32% (22/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (126/165) | 50% (41/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (13/42) | 33% (4/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 0.88 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 30 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 60% (6/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 17 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.71 | 1.15 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.29 | 0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 8', 0 - 1, Balde I. ⚽, Arconte T. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Fernandez N. ↓, Bamba R. ↑,
- 51', Gelin J. 🟨,
- 57', 0 - 2, Arconte T. ⚽, Saka M. (A),
- 59', Sissoko N. 🟨,
- 61', Tacafred E. 🟨,
- 63', Bouriaud T. ↓, Dabasse A. ↑,
- 63', Sissoko N. ↓, Ouotro P. ↑,
- 65', Saka M. ↓, Mendes J. ↑,
- 70', Bourgault J. ↓, Experience M. ↑,
- 78', Balde I. ↓, Nagera K. ↑,
- 79', Younoussa W. ↓, Trouillet A. ↑,
- 85', 1 - 2, Dabasse A. ⚽, Ouotro P. (A),
- 86', Arconte T. ↓, Tebily H. ↑,
- 86', Benchamma S. ↓, Issanchou Roubiou C. ↑,
- 90+7', 1 - 3, Nagera K. ⚽, Jean-Lambert E. (A),
Chances of winning
Nancy
45.1% | Draw
27.4% | Rodez
27.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nancy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Rodez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nancy than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rodez than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Nancy - Rodez Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.08 ↑
(2.05) |
3.42 ↓
(3.53) |
3.41 ↑
(3.33) |
6.6%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Nancy - Rodez?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Nancy will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Rodez will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nancy: 8% – 64.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Rodez (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Nancy (2.03) (votes: 2 - 50%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Nancy (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Rodez (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nancy won 0.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Nancy may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Nancy will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Nancy: Bokangu B.
(Inactive)
Dabasse A.
(Inactive)
Kenzo N.
(Injury)
Maouassa F.
(Injury)
Saint-Ruf N.
(Inactive)
Sidibe O.
(Inactive)
Sourzac M.
(Arm Injury)
Suljic C.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Rodez: Margueron L.
(Injury)
Ponti R.
(Inactive)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Nancy won 0 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:8. (average 0.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nancy won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Nancy won against Rodez?
Nancy has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rodez won against Nancy?
Rodez has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nancy - Rodez were as follows:
09.08.2025
Rodez
-
Nancy
0:0
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 28 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 49:28 | 21 | 57 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 50:29 | 21 | 53 |
| 3 | Le Mans | 28 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 41:29 | 12 | 50 |
| 4 | Red Star | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 32:27 | 5 | 47 |
| 5 | Reims | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 41:26 | 15 | 46 |
| 6 | Rodez | 28 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 35:33 | 2 | 44 |
| 7 | Montpellier | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 33:25 | 8 | 42 |
| 8 | Dunkerque | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 43:34 | 9 | 39 |
| 9 | Annecy | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 35:34 | 1 | 39 |
| 10 | Guingamp | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 38:40 | -2 | 39 |
| 11 | Pau FC | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 40:44 | -4 | 39 |
| 12 | Boulogne | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 30:38 | -8 | 34 |
| 13 | Grenoble | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 26:33 | -7 | 30 |
| 14 | Clermont | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 30:37 | -7 | 28 |
| 15 | Nancy | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 24:40 | -16 | 28 |
| 16 | Amiens | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 33:50 | -17 | 23 |
| 17 | Laval | 28 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 23 |
| 18 | Bastia | 28 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 15:31 | -16 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
