Rubin Kazan vs Orenburg: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

24/05/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Ak Bars Arena (Kazan).

: Premier League - Round 30

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.45	1.70
Ball Possession
46%	54%
Total shots
20	18
Shots on target
10	4
Big Chances
7	2
Corner Kicks
5	7
Passes
76% (233/306)	79% (270/342)
Yellow Cards
2	5
Expected Goals (xG)
2.45	1.70
xG on target (xGOT)
3.07	1.83
Total shots
20	18
Shots on target
10	4
Shots off target
5	10
Blocked Shots
5	4
Shots inside the Box
14	11
Shots outside the Box
6	7
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
7	2
Corner Kicks
5	7
Touches in opposition box
33	18
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
4	1
Free Kicks
15	8
Passes
76% (233/306)	79% (270/342)
Long passes
41% (22/54)	51% (29/57)
Passes in final third
60% (58/97)	74% (100/136)
Crosses
36% (5/14)	29% (8/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.86	1.28
Throw-ins
16	24
Fouls
8	15
Tackles
67% (6/9)	57% (8/14)
Duels won
45	43
Clearances
37	32
Interceptions
9	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	6
xGOT faced
1.83	3.07
Goals prevented
-0.17	-0.93

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (3 - 2)
5', 1 - 0, Shabanhaxhaj D. ⚽,
7', 2 - 0, Daku M. ⚽, Shabanhaxhaj D. (A),
11', 2 - 1, Marin J. ⚽, Mansilla B. (A),
18', Mikhailov Y. 🟨,
22', 2 - 2, Mansilla B. ⚽,
24', 3 - 2, Shabanhaxhaj D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Mikhailov Y. ↓, Baranovsky A. ↑,
56', Shabanhaxhaj D. 🟨,
57', Prokhin D. 🟨,
61', Hodza V. 🟨,
63', Malykh A. ↓, Karatas K. ↑,
64', Hodza V. ↓, Ivanov O. ↑,
64', Zotov A. ↓, Jocic B. ↑,
73', Gritsaenko A. ↓, Ashurmatov R. ↑,
73', Rozhkov I. ↓, Bezrukov R. ↑,
74', Marin J. ↓, Gurluk E. ↑,
74', Savelyev M. ↓, Cuero Palacio J. R. ↑,
74', Karatas K. 🟨,
80', Vada V. ↓, Vasiljev N. ↑,
83', Rybchinskiy D. ↓, Saharkhizan S. ↑,
87', Kasimov A. 🟨,
88', 4 - 2, Jocic B. ⚽,
90', Saharkhizan S. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Rubin Kazan
53.7%

Draw
24%

Orenburg
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

25.4%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

25.3%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rubin Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Orenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubin Kazan than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orenburg than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Rubin Kazan - Orenburg Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.81)	4 ↑ (3.88)	4.31 ↓ (4.9)	4.2% (1.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Rubin Kazan - Orenburg?

Users Predictions: Rubin Kazan will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL).
Orenburg is Relegated to FNL
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rubin won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
In this match, Rubin is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Orenburg: Florentin G. (Injury) Moskvichev B. (Knee Injury) Tataev A. (Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Rubin: Iwu U. (Injury)
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Rubin won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Rubin won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1:0.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Rubin Kazan won against Orenburg?

Rubin Kazan has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Orenburg won against Rubin Kazan?

Orenburg has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Rubin Kazan - Orenburg were as follows:

27.10.2024 Orenburg - Rubin Kazan 1:2

08.04.2024 Orenburg - Rubin Kazan 3:0

30.07.2023 Rubin Kazan - Orenburg 1:1

Latest results of Rubin Kazan

17.05.2025 Khimki - Rubin Kazan 3:2 ✺

11.05.2025 Rubin Kazan - Rostov 1:0 ✺

03.05.2025 Krasnodar - Rubin Kazan 2:1 ✺

27.04.2025 Rubin Kazan - Fakel 2:1 ✺

20.04.2025 Dynamo Moscow - Rubin Kazan 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Orenburg

17.05.2025 Orenburg - Krasnodar 1:2 ✺

10.05.2025 Orenburg - Khimki 1:1 ✺

03.05.2025 Lokomotiv Moscow - Orenburg 1:1 ✺

27.04.2025 Krylya Sovetov - Orenburg 2:0 ✺

19.04.2025 Orenburg - Dynamo Makhachkala 2:1 ✺

Russian Premier League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Baltika	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Torpedo Moscow	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	FK Rostov	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Zenit	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Spartak Moscow	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	CSKA Moscow	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Lokomotiv Moscow	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Dynamo Moscow	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Rubin Kazan	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Krylya Sovetov	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Akhmat Grozny	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Krasnodar	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Pari NN	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Akron Togliatti	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Dynamo Makhachkala	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Sochi	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL

Which TV channels are streaming of Rubin Kazan - Orenburg?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Russia	MATCH! Igra, Match TV