Orenburg vs Rubin Kazan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Russian Cup Orenburg - Rubin Kazan
Result
1:0 penalties
16/09/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Russian Cup - Group Stage - Round 4
  • Where to Watch on TV:
belarusBelarusBelarus 5
russiaRussiaMatch! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
137
Shots on target
32
Corner Kicks
131
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
01
Total shots
137
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
105
Corner Kicks
131
Free Kicks
1316
Goalkeeper Saves
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 14', Cumic N. 🟨,
  • 24', Cumic N. 🟨,
  • 36', Tataev A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Tataev A. , Du Queiroz ,
  • 61', Apshatsev M. , Hodza V. ,
  • 61', Ivanov O. , Shvets A. ,
  • 61', Rybchinskiy D. , Thompson J. ,
  • 61', Revazov A. , Gurluk E. ,
  • 68', Jukic A. , Iwu U. ,
  • 74', Alexandre Jesus , Savelyev M. ,
  • 85', 🟨,
  • 86', Bezrukov R. , Rozhkov I. ,
  • 90', Vedernikov D. , Gorelov P. ,
  • Penalties (4 - 2)
  • 1, Du Queiroz (Pen),
  • 1, Shvets A. (Pen),
  • 2, Thompson J. (Pen),
  • 2, Hodza V. (Pen),
  • 3, Gurluk E. (Pen),
  • 3, Siwe J. (Pen),
  • 4, Koserik N. (Pen),
  • 4, Nizhegorodov K. (Pen),
  • 5, Savelyev M. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Orenburg
30.8%
Draw
28.3%
Rubin Kazan
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.5% 28.9% 37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6% 29.7% 38.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orenburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Rubin Kazan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orenburg than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rubin Kazan than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • Orenburg - Rubin Kazan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.11
    (2.8)
    3.39
    (3.25)
    2.34
    (2.5)
    4.3%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orenburg won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Orenburg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Orenburg won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:18. (average 1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Orenburg won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.4:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Orenburg - Rubin Kazan were as follows:
    30.08.2025 Orenburg - Rubin Kazan 2:2
    31.07.2025 Rubin Kazan - Orenburg 2:0
    24.05.2025 Rubin Kazan - Orenburg 4:2
    27.10.2024 Orenburg - Rubin Kazan 1:2
    08.04.2024 Orenburg - Rubin Kazan 3:0
    Latest results of Orenburg
    13.09.2025 Pari NN - Orenburg 3:1
    30.08.2025 Orenburg - Rubin Kazan 2:2
    26.08.2025 Orenburg - Zenit 3:5
    22.08.2025 Orenburg - Akhmat Grozny 2:2
    17.08.2025 Akron Tolyatti - Orenburg 1:2
    Latest results of Rubin Kazan
    Russian Cup Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWWLLPts
    1Zenit ✔ 4400012:512
    2Orenburg411025:85
    3Rubin Kazan410122:54
    4Akhmat Grozny410035:63


    Group B
    PlWWLLPts
    1Krasnodar4300111:59
    2Dynamo Moscow420117:67
    3Krylya Sovetov411114:46
    4Sochi401035:122


    Group C
    PlWWLLPts
    1Dynamo Makhachkala ✔ 431007:311
    2Spartak Moscow420118:37
    3Pari NN410032:73
    4FK Rostov410033:73


    Group D
    PlWWLLPts
    1Lokomotiv Moscow430018:39
    2CSKA Moscow420206:38
    3Akron Togliatti411024:75
    4Baltika401032:72

          Promotion ~ Russian Cup (Play Offs: )
          Promotion ~ Russian Cup (Regions Path ~ Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Zenit is Qualified for Russian Cup (Play Offs )
    Dynamo Makhachkala is Qualified for Russian Cup (Play Offs )