Result
0:0
11/04/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 24
- Referee: Prokopov A. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | Q Football Asia |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 0.69 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (322/428) | 68% (197/291) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 0.69 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.01 | 0.16 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (322/428) | 68% (197/291) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (43/85) | 44% (31/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 49% (49/100) | 55% (61/110) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (1/7) | 40% (8/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.24 | 0.78 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 85% (17/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.16 | 0.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.16 | 0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 33', Du Queiroz 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 54', Daku M. 🟨,
- 54', Tataev A. 🟨,
- 56', Vasiljev N. ↓, Kuzyaev D. ↑,
- 60', Golybin R. ↓, Gurluk E. ↑,
- 71', Bezrukov R. ↓, Kuznetsov D. ↑,
- 72', Nizhegorodov K. ↓, Rozhkov I. ↑,
- 79', Du Queiroz ↓, Puebla D. ↑,
- 79', Thompson J. ↓, Kul R. ↑,
- 79', Cantero A. ↓, Vedernikov D. ↑,
- 86', Arroyo A. ↓, Kabutov D. ↑,
- 86', Gripshi N. ↓, Motorin D. N. ↑,
- 87', Bolotov E. 🟨,
- 90', Guzina G. ↓, Alexandre Jesus ↑,
Chances of winning
Rubin Kazan
45.1% | Draw
29% | Orenburg
25.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rubin Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rubin Kazan's form might have worsened.Orenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubin Kazan than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rubin Kazan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orenburg than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Rubin Kazan - Orenburg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.14 ↑
(1.8) |
3.32 ↓
(3.45) |
3.72 ↓
(4.3) |
3.7%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Rubin Kazan - Orenburg?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Rubin will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Orenburg will win (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rubin won 3.
- Rubin is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Orenburg's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Rubin is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Rubin: Hodza V.
(Yellow Cards)
Iwu U.
(Muscle Injury)
Shvets A.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Orenburg: Bolotov E.
(Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Rubin won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:14. (average 1.3:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rubin won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 1.7:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Rubin Kazan won against Orenburg?
Rubin Kazan has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Orenburg won against Rubin Kazan?
Orenburg has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rubin Kazan - Orenburg were as follows:
20.02.2026
Orenburg
-
Rubin Kazan
0:1
16.09.2025
Orenburg
-
Rubin Kazan
1:0
30.08.2025
Orenburg
-
Rubin Kazan
2:2
31.07.2025
Rubin Kazan
-
Orenburg
2:0
24.05.2025
Rubin Kazan
-
Orenburg
4:2
Latest results of Rubin Kazan
Latest results of Orenburg
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 24 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 49:17 | 32 | 53 |
| 2 | Zenit | 24 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 44:17 | 27 | 52 |
| 3 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 24 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 50:33 | 17 | 45 |
| 4 | Baltika | 24 | 11 | 11 | 2 | 34:13 | 21 | 44 |
| 5 | CSKA Moscow | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 36:26 | 10 | 42 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 38:32 | 6 | 42 |
| 7 | Dynamo Moscow | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 43:35 | 8 | 34 |
| 8 | Rubin Kazan | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 23:25 | -2 | 34 |
| 9 | Akhmat Grozny | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 29:31 | -2 | 31 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 19:26 | -7 | 26 |
| 11 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 15:30 | -15 | 23 |
| 12 | Akron Togliatti | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 30:43 | -13 | 22 |
| 13 | Krylya Sovetov | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 25:44 | -19 | 22 |
| 14 | Pari NN | 24 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 20:39 | -19 | 21 |
| 15 | Orenburg | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 24:36 | -12 | 20 |
| 16 | Sochi | 24 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 21:53 | -32 | 12 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
