Result
1:0 penalties
16/09/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Russian Cup - Group Stage - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belarus | Belarus 5 |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 14', Cumic N. 🟨,
- 24', Cumic N. 🟨,
- 36', Tataev A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Tataev A. ↓, Du Queiroz ↑,
- 61', Apshatsev M. ↓, Hodza V. ↑,
- 61', Ivanov O. ↓, Shvets A. ↑,
- 61', Rybchinskiy D. ↓, Thompson J. ↑,
- 61', Revazov A. ↓, Gurluk E. ↑,
- 68', Jukic A. ↓, Iwu U. ↑,
- 74', Alexandre Jesus ↓, Savelyev M. ↑,
- 85', 🟨,
- 86', Bezrukov R. ↓, Rozhkov I. ↑,
- 90', Vedernikov D. ↓, Gorelov P. ↑,
- Penalties (4 - 2)
- 1, Du Queiroz (Pen),
- 1, Shvets A. (Pen),
- 2, Thompson J. (Pen),
- 2, Hodza V. (Pen),
- 3, Gurluk E. (Pen),
- 3, Siwe J. (Pen),
- 4, Koserik N. (Pen),
- 4, Nizhegorodov K. (Pen),
- 5, Savelyev M. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Orenburg
30.8% | Draw
28.3% | Rubin Kazan
40.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orenburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)Rubin Kazan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orenburg than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rubin Kazan than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Orenburg - Rubin Kazan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.11 ↑
(2.8) |
3.39 ↑
(3.25) |
2.34 ↓
(2.5) |
4.3%
(6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orenburg won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Orenburg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Orenburg won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:18. (average 1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Orenburg won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.4:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Orenburg won against Rubin Kazan?
Orenburg has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rubin Kazan won against Orenburg?
Rubin Kazan has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Orenburg - Rubin Kazan were as follows:
30.08.2025
Orenburg
-
Rubin Kazan
2:2
31.07.2025
Rubin Kazan
-
Orenburg
2:0
24.05.2025
Rubin Kazan
-
Orenburg
4:2
27.10.2024
Orenburg
-
Rubin Kazan
1:2
08.04.2024
Orenburg
-
Rubin Kazan
3:0
Latest results of Orenburg
Latest results of Rubin Kazan
Russian Cup Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Zenit ✔ | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:5 | 12 |
| 2 | Orenburg | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:8 | 5 |
| 3 | Rubin Kazan | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | 4 |
| 4 | Akhmat Grozny | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5:6 | 3 |
Group B | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:5 | 9 |
| 2 | Dynamo Moscow | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 3 | Krylya Sovetov | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 6 |
| 4 | Sochi | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:12 | 2 |
Group C | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Dynamo Makhachkala ✔ | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7:3 | 11 |
| 2 | Spartak Moscow | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Pari NN | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | 3 |
| 4 | FK Rostov | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | 3 |
Group D | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 9 |
| 2 | CSKA Moscow | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | 8 |
| 3 | Akron Togliatti | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | 5 |
| 4 | Baltika | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Russian Cup (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ Russian Cup (Regions Path ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Zenit is Qualified for Russian Cup (Play Offs )
Dynamo Makhachkala is Qualified for Russian Cup (Play Offs )
