Result
2:2
30/08/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.70 | 1.30 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (397/467) | 75% (182/244) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.70 | 1.30 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 1.77 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (397/467) | 75% (182/244) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (23/50) | 46% (18/39) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 84% (126/150) | 58% (45/78) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 27% (4/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.87 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 65% (11/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.77 | 1.52 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.23 | -0.48 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 16', 0 - 1, Daku M. ⚽, Iwu U. (A),
- 34', 0 - 2, Daku M. ⚽, Jocic B. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Rybchinskiy D. ↓, Guzina G. ↑,
- 52', 1 - 2, Guzina G. ⚽, Thompson J. (A),
- 53', Tataev A. 🟨,
- 57', Daku M. 🟨,
- 61', Kvekveskiri I. ↓, Bolotov E. ↑,
- 72', 2 - 2, Thompson J. (Pen),
- 72', Tataev A. ↓, Kasimov A. ↑,
- 74', Guzina G. 🟨,
- 75', Jocic B. ↓, Jukic A. ↑,
- 79', Rozhkov I. ↓, Bezrukov R. ↑,
- 81', Bezrukov R. 🟨,
- 84', Gurluk E. ↓, Revazov A. ↑,
- 89', Bolotov E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Orenburg
31.4% | Draw
27.8% | Rubin Kazan
40.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Orenburg's performance.Rubin Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rubin Kazan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orenburg than the current prediction. (-8.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Orenburg that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubin Kazan than the current prediction. (+7.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rubin Kazan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Orenburg - Rubin Kazan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.06 ↓
(4.29) |
3.45 ↓
(3.47) |
2.35 ↑
(2.02) |
4.2%
(1.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Orenburg - Rubin Kazan?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Orenburg will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Rubin will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orenburg won 1.
- Orenburg has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Rubin has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Orenburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Orenburg has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Rubin: Drezgic U.
(Knee Injury)
Kuznetsov D.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Rubin: Maldonado D.
(Inactive)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Orenburg won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 0.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Orenburg won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Orenburg won against Rubin Kazan?
Orenburg has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rubin Kazan won against Orenburg?
Rubin Kazan has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Orenburg - Rubin Kazan were as follows:
31.07.2025
Rubin Kazan
-
Orenburg
2:0
24.05.2025
Rubin Kazan
-
Orenburg
4:2
27.10.2024
Orenburg
-
Rubin Kazan
1:2
08.04.2024
Orenburg
-
Rubin Kazan
3:0
30.07.2023
Rubin Kazan
-
Orenburg
1:1
Latest results of Orenburg
Latest results of Rubin Kazan
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18:4 | 14 | 16 |
| 2 | CSKA Moscow | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 15:6 | 9 | 15 |
| 3 | Baltika | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 13:5 | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 18:11 | 7 | 15 |
| 5 | Zenit | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 12 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 11 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 11 |
| 8 | Krylya Sovetov | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:14 | -3 | 9 |
| 9 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 8 |
| 10 | Dynamo Moscow | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:7 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 | Akhmat Grozny | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Orenburg | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 | Akron Togliatti | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 6 |
| 14 | FK Rostov | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 5 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4:14 | -10 | 3 |
| 16 | Sochi | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4:19 | -15 | 1 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
