Result
0:2
23/08/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 6
- Referee: Shafeev R. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Asia | Q Sport Asia |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
Croatia | Arena Sport 2 |
Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.69 | 1.38 |
Ball Possession |
---|
26% | 74% |
Total shots |
---|
7 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
67% (143/214) | 88% (552/627) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.69 | 1.38 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.15 | 0.86 |
Total shots |
---|
7 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
5 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
2 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
9 | 19 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 14 |
Passes |
---|
67% (143/214) | 88% (552/627) |
Long passes |
---|
30% (11/37) | 55% (30/55) |
Passes in final third |
---|
48% (29/60) | 73% (118/161) |
Crosses |
---|
30% (3/10) | 17% (2/12) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.80 | 0.63 |
Throw-ins |
---|
15 | 19 |
Fouls |
---|
14 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
50% (5/10) | 89% (16/18) |
Duels won |
---|
38 | 47 |
Clearances |
---|
20 | 16 |
Interceptions |
---|
13 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.86 | 0.15 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-1.14 | 0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 35', Jocic B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Jocic B. ↓, Jukic A. ↑,
- 46', Marquinhos ↓, Solari P. ↑,
- 57', 0 - 1, Solari P. ⚽, Litvinov R. (A),
- 61', Solari P. 🟨,
- 63', Jukic A. 🟨,
- 73', 0 - 2, Martins C. ⚽, Fernandes G. (A),
- 78', Fernandes G. 🟨,
- 79', Hodza V. ↓, Ivanov O. ↑,
- 84', Martins C. ↓, Zobnin R. ↑,
- 89', Daku M. ↓, Cumic N. ↑,
- 90', Barco E. ↓, Garcia L. ↑,
- 90', Ugalde M. ↓, Dmitriev I. ↑,
- 90', Kabutov D. ↓, Bezrukov R. ↑,
- 90+3', Babic S. ↓, Guziev E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Rubin Kazan 28.1% | Draw 26.5% | Spartak Moscow 45.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rubin Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rubin Kazan's form might have worsened.Spartak Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Spartak Moscow's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubin Kazan than the current prediction. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Moscow than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Rubin Kazan - Spartak Moscow Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.44 ↑ (2.96) |
3.64 ↓ (3.67) |
2.13 ↓ (2.47) |
3.5% (1.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Rubin Kazan - Spartak Moscow?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Rubin will win (votes: 6 - 28.6%). Spartak M will win (votes: 11 - 52.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 19%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Spartak M: 31% – 73.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Rubin (votes: 2 - 25%). Spartak M (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).
- BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rubin won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Spartak M could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Rubin: Kuznetsov D.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Spartak M: Bongonda T.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Rubin: Kabutov D.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Spartak M: Garcia L.
(Injury)
Marquinhos
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rubin won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 20:31. (average 1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rubin won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:21. (average 1.3:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Rubin Kazan won against Spartak Moscow?
Rubin Kazan has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Spartak Moscow won against Rubin Kazan?
Spartak Moscow has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rubin Kazan - Spartak Moscow were as follows:
09.03.2025
Rubin Kazan
-
Spartak Moscow
2:1
31.08.2024
Spartak Moscow
-
Rubin Kazan
1:0
19.05.2024
Spartak Moscow
-
Rubin Kazan
3:1
05.08.2023
Rubin Kazan
-
Spartak Moscow
1:4
Latest results of Rubin Kazan
Latest results of Spartak Moscow
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Krasnodar | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18:4 | 14 | 16 |
2 | CSKA Moscow | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 15:6 | 9 | 15 |
3 | Baltika | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 13:5 | 8 | 15 |
4 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 18:11 | 7 | 15 |
5 | Zenit | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 12 |
6 | Spartak Moscow | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 11 |
7 | Rubin Kazan | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 11 |
8 | Krylya Sovetov | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:14 | -3 | 9 |
9 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 8 |
10 | Dynamo Moscow | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:7 | 0 | 8 |
11 | Akhmat Grozny | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 8 |
12 | Orenburg | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 7 |
13 | Akron Togliatti | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 6 |
14 | FK Rostov | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 5 |
15 | Pari NN | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4:14 | -10 | 3 |
16 | Sochi | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4:19 | -15 | 1 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL