Result
0:2
23/08/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 6
- Referee: Shafeev R. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | Q Sport Asia |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2 |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 1.38 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 26% | 74% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (143/214) | 88% (552/627) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 1.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.15 | 0.86 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (143/214) | 88% (552/627) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (11/37) | 55% (30/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 48% (29/60) | 73% (118/161) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.63 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 89% (16/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.15 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.14 | 0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 35', Jocic B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Jocic B. ↓, Jukic A. ↑,
- 46', Marquinhos ↓, Solari P. ↑,
- 57', 0 - 1, Solari P. ⚽, Litvinov R. (A),
- 61', Solari P. 🟨,
- 63', Jukic A. 🟨,
- 73', 0 - 2, Martins C. ⚽, Fernandes G. (A),
- 78', Fernandes G. 🟨,
- 79', Hodza V. ↓, Ivanov O. ↑,
- 84', Martins C. ↓, Zobnin R. ↑,
- 89', Daku M. ↓, Cumic N. ↑,
- 90', Barco E. ↓, Garcia L. ↑,
- 90', Ugalde M. ↓, Dmitriev I. ↑,
- 90', Kabutov D. ↓, Bezrukov R. ↑,
- 90+3', Babic S. ↓, Guziev E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Rubin Kazan
28.1% | Draw
26.5% | Spartak Moscow
45.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rubin Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rubin Kazan's form might have worsened.Spartak Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Spartak Moscow's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubin Kazan than the current prediction. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Moscow than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Rubin Kazan - Spartak Moscow Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.44 ↑
(2.96) |
3.64 ↓
(3.67) |
2.13 ↓
(2.47) |
3.5%
(1.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Rubin Kazan - Spartak Moscow?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Rubin will win (votes: 6 - 28.6%). Spartak M will win (votes: 11 - 52.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 19%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Spartak M: 31% – 73.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Rubin (votes: 2 - 20%). Spartak M (votes: 7 - 70%). Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Rubin (2.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH +0.5 - Spartak M (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Rubin (votes: 3 - 25%). Spartak M (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rubin won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Spartak M could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Rubin: Kuznetsov D.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Spartak M: Bongonda T.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Rubin: Kabutov D.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Spartak M: Garcia L.
(Injury)
Marquinhos
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rubin won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 20:31. (average 1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rubin won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:21. (average 1.3:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Rubin Kazan won against Spartak Moscow?
Rubin Kazan has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Spartak Moscow won against Rubin Kazan?
Spartak Moscow has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rubin Kazan - Spartak Moscow were as follows:
09.03.2025
Rubin Kazan
-
Spartak Moscow
2:1
31.08.2024
Spartak Moscow
-
Rubin Kazan
1:0
19.05.2024
Spartak Moscow
-
Rubin Kazan
3:1
05.08.2023
Rubin Kazan
-
Spartak Moscow
1:4
Latest results of Rubin Kazan
Latest results of Spartak Moscow
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 47:16 | 31 | 49 |
| 2 | Zenit | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 41:15 | 26 | 48 |
| 3 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 48:30 | 18 | 44 |
| 4 | Baltika | 22 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 30:9 | 21 | 42 |
| 5 | CSKA Moscow | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 34:24 | 10 | 39 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 35:30 | 5 | 38 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 22:25 | -3 | 30 |
| 8 | Akhmat Grozny | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 27:28 | -1 | 30 |
| 9 | Dynamo Moscow | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 37:30 | 7 | 30 |
| 10 | Akron Togliatti | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 27:38 | -11 | 22 |
| 11 | FK Rostov | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 17:25 | -8 | 22 |
| 12 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 12:27 | -15 | 21 |
| 13 | Krylya Sovetov | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 22:40 | -18 | 21 |
| 14 | Pari NN | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 18:36 | -18 | 20 |
| 15 | Orenburg | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 21:33 | -12 | 18 |
| 16 | Sochi | 22 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 20:52 | -32 | 9 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
