Result
18/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Bastia
27.1% | Draw
27.9% | Saint-Étienne
44.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Bastia have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Saint-Étienne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Bastia - Saint-Étienne Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.44 ↑
(3.44) |
3.34 ↑
(3.34) |
2.07 ↓
(2.07) |
7.3%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bastia won 1.
- Bastia is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Saint-Étienne is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Saint-Étienne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Saint-Étienne will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Bastia won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 10:29. (average 0.7:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bastia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 0.4:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Bastia won against Saint-Étienne?
Bastia has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Saint-Étienne won against Bastia?
Saint-Étienne has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bastia - Saint-Étienne were as follows:
13.12.2025
Saint-Étienne
-
Bastia
2:2
16.03.2024
Bastia
-
Saint-Étienne
0:4
19.12.2023
Saint-Étienne
-
Bastia
3:2
31.01.2023
Bastia
-
Saint-Étienne
2:0
30.08.2022
Saint-Étienne
-
Bastia
5:0
Latest results of Saint-Étienne
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 29 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 51:30 | 21 | 58 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 53:31 | 22 | 57 |
| 3 | Le Mans | 30 | 14 | 12 | 4 | 45:29 | 16 | 54 |
| 4 | Red Star | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 36:30 | 6 | 51 |
| 5 | Reims | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 43:28 | 15 | 48 |
| 6 | Rodez | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 36:34 | 2 | 45 |
| 7 | Montpellier | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 35:27 | 8 | 44 |
| 8 | Annecy | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 36:34 | 2 | 43 |
| 9 | Pau FC | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 41:48 | -7 | 42 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 45:37 | 8 | 40 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 39:42 | -3 | 40 |
| 12 | Boulogne | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 30:38 | -8 | 36 |
| 13 | Grenoble | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 29:36 | -7 | 32 |
| 14 | Clermont | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 34:41 | -7 | 30 |
| 15 | Nancy | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 27:43 | -16 | 30 |
| 16 | Laval | 30 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 26:43 | -17 | 25 |
| 17 | Amiens | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 34:52 | -18 | 24 |
| 18 | Bastia | 30 | 3 | 12 | 15 | 19:36 | -17 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
