Result
2:2
13/12/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 17
- Referee: Stinat J. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 2, Free |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Israel | 5 GOLD Israel |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 6 |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.14 | 0.57 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 77% | 23% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (615/691) | 63% (128/203) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.14 | 0.57 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.88 | 1.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 40 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (615/691) | 63% (128/203) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (24/40) | 34% (24/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (133/181) | 55% (35/64) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (2/25) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 0.43 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 85% (17/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.05 | 2.88 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.95 | 0.88 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 19', 0 - 1, Sebas J. ⚽, Tomi F. (A),
- 24', 1 - 1, Davitashvili Z. ⚽, Bernauer M. (A),
- 32', Tomi F. 🟨,
- 34', 1 - 2, Tomi F. ⚽, Placide J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Nade M. ↓, Pedro K. ↑,
- 49', Ducrocq T. 🟨,
- 53', Pedro K. 🟨,
- 56', Zilliox N. 🟨,
- 60', Miladinovic I. ↓, Stassin L. ↑,
- 60', Appiah D. ↓, Macon Y. ↑,
- 73', Sebas J. ↓, Ble M. ↑,
- 73', Guevara J. ↓, Meynadier T. ↑,
- 73', Cardona I. ↓, El Jamali N. ↑,
- 76', Ariss Z. 🟨,
- 81', 2 - 2, Davitashvili Z. ⚽,
- 83', Boakye A. 🟨,
- 87', Tardieu F. (Penalty Awarded),
- 88', Vincent C. ↓, Bohnert F. ↑,
- 88', Tomi F. ↓, Etoga L. ↑,
- 89', Petrignani M. ↓, Karamoko I. ↑,
- 90+3', Bohnert F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Saint-Étienne
58.5% | Draw
23.9% | Bastia
17.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Saint-Étienne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Saint-Étienne's performance.Bastia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Saint-Étienne - Bastia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.6 ↓
(1.76) |
3.94 ↑
(3.67) |
5.29 ↑
(4.37) |
6.9%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Saint-Étienne - Bastia?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.75 - Saint-Étienne (1.75) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Saint-Étienne will win
(22 of 22 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Saint-Étienne will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Saint-Étienne (votes: 8 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saint-Étienne won 3.
- Saint-Étienne is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Bastia has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Saint-Étienne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Saint-Étienne is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Saint-Étienne: Ekwah P.
(Inactive)
Ferreira J.
(Inactive)
Lamba C.
(Muscle Injury)
Stassin L.
(Inactive)
Traore L.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Bastia: Akueson G.
(Knee Injury)
Bathily Y.
(Injury)
Ble M.
(Inactive)
Djedje D.
(Injury)
Meynadier T.
(Inactive)
Parravicini N.
(Hernia)
- There are questionable in Saint-Étienne: Annan E.
(Injury)
- We predict that Saint-Étienne will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Saint-Étienne won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 27:8. (average 1.9:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Saint-Étienne won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:5. (average 2.4:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Saint-Étienne won against Bastia?
Saint-Étienne has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bastia won against Saint-Étienne?
Bastia has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Saint-Étienne - Bastia were as follows:
16.03.2024
Bastia
-
Saint-Étienne
0:4
19.12.2023
Saint-Étienne
-
Bastia
3:2
31.01.2023
Bastia
-
Saint-Étienne
2:0
30.08.2022
Saint-Étienne
-
Bastia
5:0
Latest results of Saint-Étienne
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 40:25 | 15 | 48 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 44:29 | 15 | 46 |
| 3 | Reims | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 37:23 | 14 | 42 |
| 4 | Le Mans | 25 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 30:24 | 6 | 41 |
| 5 | Red Star | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 30:25 | 5 | 41 |
| 6 | Annecy | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 39 |
| 7 | Dunkerque | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 41:27 | 14 | 38 |
| 8 | Rodez | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 31:31 | 0 | 37 |
| 9 | Montpellier | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 28:25 | 3 | 35 |
| 10 | Guingamp | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 35:36 | -1 | 35 |
| 11 | Pau FC | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 37:42 | -5 | 34 |
| 12 | Grenoble | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 24:29 | -5 | 29 |
| 13 | Clermont | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 29:33 | -4 | 28 |
| 14 | Nancy | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 22:33 | -11 | 27 |
| 15 | Boulogne | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 25:36 | -11 | 27 |
| 16 | Amiens | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 28:41 | -13 | 23 |
| 17 | Laval | 25 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 19:35 | -16 | 19 |
| 18 | Bastia | 25 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 12:27 | -15 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
