Le Mans vs Saint-Étienne – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
03/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 18
  • Referee: Taleb A. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
japanJapanDAZN Japan
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 6
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.750.82
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
510
Passes
70% (230/329)83% (459/553)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.750.82
xG on target (xGOT)
0.240.55
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
16
Shots inside the Box
98
Shots outside the Box
15
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
510
Touches in opposition box
2229
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
716
Passes
70% (230/329)83% (459/553)
Long passes
42% (27/64)52% (31/60)
Passes in final third
59% (63/106)72% (88/123)
Crosses
22% (5/23)8% (1/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.041.08
Throw-ins
3021
Fouls
167
Tackles
67% (16/24)73% (11/15)
Duels won
6057
Clearances
2029
Interceptions
148
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
0.550.24
Goals prevented
0.550.24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Eymard P. , Cardona I. ,
  • 54', Tardieu F. 🟨,
  • 68', Quarshie E. , Rossignol M. ,
  • 68', Gueye D. , Colas E. ,
  • 69', Miladinovic I. , Moueffek A. ,
  • 71', Ribelin A. 🟨,
  • 74', Rabillard A. , Luvambo T. ,
  • 82', Lauray A. 🟨,
  • 85', Ribelin A. , Oggad B. ,
  • 85', Lauray A. , Hammoudi I. ,

Chances of winning


Le Mans
34.2%
Draw
26.8%
Saint-Étienne
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.6% 27.5% 38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5% 27.6% 39%

Le Mans - Saint-Étienne Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.72
(2.78)
3.46
(3.39)
2.38
(2.4)
7.6%
(7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Le Mans - Saint-Étienne?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Le Mans will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). Saint-Étienne will win (votes: 1 - 5.3%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 68.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 47.5%89.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Le Mans (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Le Mans (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Le Mans (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)).
    • Le Mans is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Saint-Étienne has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Le Mans may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Le Mans has had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Le Mans: Calodat L. (Inactive) Cisse A. (Knee Injury) Gomes M. (Ankle Injury) Harhouz W. (Leg Injury) Vercruysse J. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Saint-Étienne: Annan E. (Injury) Boakye A. (Yellow Cards) Duffus J. (Inactive) Ekwah P. (Inactive) Ferreira J. (Inactive) Lamba C. (Muscle Injury) Moueffek A. (Inactive) Traore L. (Inactive)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Le Mans won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Le Mans - Saint-Étienne were as follows:
    18.10.2025 Saint-Étienne - Le Mans 2:3
    Latest results of Le Mans
    19.12.2025 Périgny - Le Mans 1:2
    12.12.2025 Annecy - Le Mans 1:2
    05.12.2025 Le Mans - Amiens 1:0
    21.11.2025 Pau - Le Mans 1:2
    Latest results of Saint-Étienne
    21.12.2025 Nice - Saint-Étienne 2:1
    13.12.2025 Saint-Étienne - Bastia 2:2
    06.12.2025 Dunkerque - Saint-Étienne 1:0
    22.11.2025 Saint-Étienne - Nancy 2:1
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes21125433:201341
    2Reims21115537:231438
    3Le Mans21108326:18838
    4Red Star21107430:191137
    5St Etienne21104736:27934
    6Dunkerque2196635:231233
    7Guingamp2195733:33032
    8Annecy2194827:21631
    9Montpellier2194824:21331
    10Pau FC2187630:33-331
    11Rodez2169626:29-327
    12Grenoble2167823:28-525
    13Boulogne21651022:31-923
    14Clermont2157921:26-522
    15Nancy21641118:29-1122
    16Amiens21541223:32-919
    17Laval21371114:29-1516
    18Bastia21361211:27-1615

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National