Result
0:0
03/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 18
- Referee: Taleb A. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 6 |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.82 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (230/329) | 83% (459/553) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.82 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.24 | 0.55 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (230/329) | 83% (459/553) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (27/64) | 52% (31/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (63/106) | 72% (88/123) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (5/23) | 8% (1/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 1.08 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 30 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (16/24) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Eymard P. ↓, Cardona I. ↑,
- 54', Tardieu F. 🟨,
- 68', Quarshie E. ↓, Rossignol M. ↑,
- 68', Gueye D. ↓, Colas E. ↑,
- 69', Miladinovic I. ↓, Moueffek A. ↑,
- 71', Ribelin A. 🟨,
- 74', Rabillard A. ↓, Luvambo T. ↑,
- 82', Lauray A. 🟨,
- 85', Ribelin A. ↓, Oggad B. ↑,
- 85', Lauray A. ↓, Hammoudi I. ↑,
Chances of winning
Le Mans
34.2% | Draw
26.8% | Saint-Étienne
39% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Le Mans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Saint-Étienne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Mans than the current prediction. (-0.7%)The ML Model estimate for Saint-Étienne aligns with the current prediction.
Le Mans - Saint-Étienne Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.72 ↓
(2.78) |
3.46 ↑
(3.39) |
2.38 ↓
(2.4) |
7.6%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Le Mans - Saint-Étienne?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Le Mans will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). Saint-Étienne will win (votes: 1 - 5.3%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 68.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 47.5% – 89.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Le Mans (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Le Mans (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Le Mans (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)).
- Le Mans is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Saint-Étienne has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Le Mans may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Le Mans has had a series of away games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Le Mans: Calodat L.
(Inactive)
Cisse A.
(Knee Injury)
Gomes M.
(Ankle Injury)
Harhouz W.
(Leg Injury)
Vercruysse J.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Saint-Étienne: Annan E.
(Injury)
Boakye A.
(Yellow Cards)
Duffus J.
(Inactive)
Ekwah P.
(Inactive)
Ferreira J.
(Inactive)
Lamba C.
(Muscle Injury)
Moueffek A.
(Inactive)
Traore L.
(Inactive)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Le Mans won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Le Mans won against Saint-Étienne?
Le Mans has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Saint-Étienne won against Le Mans?
Saint-Étienne has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Le Mans - Saint-Étienne were as follows:
18.10.2025
Saint-Étienne
-
Le Mans
2:3
Latest results of Le Mans
Latest results of Saint-Étienne
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 44:27 | 17 | 54 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 46:29 | 17 | 50 |
| 3 | Le Mans | 27 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 37:26 | 11 | 47 |
| 4 | Red Star | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 31:27 | 4 | 44 |
| 5 | Reims | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 39:26 | 13 | 43 |
| 6 | Rodez | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 34:32 | 2 | 43 |
| 7 | Montpellier | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 33:25 | 8 | 41 |
| 8 | Dunkerque | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 42:29 | 13 | 39 |
| 9 | Annecy | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 35:30 | 5 | 39 |
| 10 | Guingamp | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 38:38 | 0 | 39 |
| 11 | Pau FC | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 40:44 | -4 | 38 |
| 12 | Boulogne | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 30:38 | -8 | 33 |
| 13 | Grenoble | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 30 |
| 14 | Clermont | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 30:36 | -6 | 28 |
| 15 | Nancy | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 24:40 | -16 | 27 |
| 16 | Amiens | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 30:46 | -16 | 23 |
| 17 | Laval | 27 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 21:39 | -18 | 20 |
| 18 | Bastia | 27 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 14:30 | -16 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
