Result
2:3
18/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 10
- Referee: Batta F. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
 Asia | beIN Sports MENA 9, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2 |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 5 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 1.98 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 73% | 27% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (541/608) | 73% (164/226) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 1.98 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 2.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 24 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (541/608) | 73% (164/226) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 65% (22/34) | 38% (18/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (108/133) | 58% (42/73) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (2/9) | 86% (6/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 1.44 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 24 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.73 | 1.23 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.27 | -0.77 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 15', Jaber M. 🟨,
- 21', 0 - 1, Rabillard A. ⚽, Gueye D. (A),
- 27', Lauray A. 🟨,
- 28', 1 - 1, Tardieu F. ⚽,
- 32', Yohou S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 55', 1 - 2, Gueye D. (Pen),
- 62', Gueye D. ↓, Harhouz W. ↑,
- 62', Rabillard A. ↓, Colas E. ↑,
- 68', Macon Y. ↓, Stojkovic S. ↑,
- 68', Davitashvili Z. ↓, Cardona I. ↑,
- 68', Jaber M. ↓, Moueffek A. ↑,
- 68', 1 - 3, Harhouz W. ⚽, Calodat L. (A),
- 72', Robin M. 🟨,
- 78', Robin M. ↓, Rossignol M. ↑,
- 78', Quarshie E. ↓, Gomes M. ↑,
- 80', 2 - 3, Tardieu F. (Pen),
- 81', Cardona I. 🟨,
- 81', 🟨,
- 89', Buades L. ↓, Oggad B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Saint-Étienne
50.7% | Draw
26.5% | Le Mans
22.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Saint-Étienne - Le Mans Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.1 ↑
(1.58) |
3.79 ↓
(4.09) |
4.39 ↓
(5.27) |
-3.2%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Saint-Étienne - Le Mans?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Saint-Étienne will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Le Mans will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Saint-Étienne: 50.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Le Mans (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final) and 12).
- Saint-Étienne is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Le Mans has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Le Mans may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Saint-Étienne is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Saint-Étienne: Bernauer M.
(Red Card)
Ekwah P.
(Inactive)
Gadegbeku L.
(Ankle Injury)
N'Guessan D.
(International duty)
Traore L.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Le Mans: Abanda L.
(Inactive)
Cisse A.
(Inactive)
Colas E.
(Injury)
Delbecque A.
(Inactive)
Luvambo T.
(Inactive)
Ribelin A.
(Inactive)
Rossignol M.
(Injury)
- We predict that Saint-Étienne will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Saint-Étienne won against Le Mans?
Saint-Étienne has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Le Mans won against Saint-Étienne?
Le Mans has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Saint-Étienne - Le Mans were as follows:
Latest results of Saint-Étienne
Latest results of Le Mans
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 30:16 | 14 | 35 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 35:25 | 10 | 30 |
| 3 | Le Mans | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 22:17 | 5 | 30 |
| 4 | Reims | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 32:20 | 12 | 29 |
| 5 | Red Star | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 21:15 | 6 | 29 |
| 6 | Dunkerque | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 29:19 | 10 | 27 |
| 7 | Pau FC | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 23:25 | -2 | 26 |
| 8 | Montpellier | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 18:16 | 2 | 25 |
| 9 | Guingamp | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 25:30 | -5 | 23 |
| 10 | Annecy | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21:18 | 3 | 22 |
| 11 | Grenoble | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19:21 | -2 | 21 |
| 12 | Rodez | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:23 | -5 | 21 |
| 13 | Clermont | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 16:21 | -5 | 19 |
| 14 | Amiens | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 |
| 15 | Nancy | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 15:22 | -7 | 18 |
| 16 | Boulogne | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 18:26 | -8 | 16 |
| 17 | Laval | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 13:22 | -9 | 15 |
| 18 | Bastia | 16 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 8:22 | -14 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
