Result
0:2
13/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 34
- Referee: Aureliano G. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.50 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (237/322) | 79% (314/399) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.50 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 1.62 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (237/322) | 79% (314/399) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (16/44) | 41% (33/81) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (73/115) | 57% (48/84) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (7/23) | 44% (7/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.72 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 31 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 41% (7/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 65 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.62 | 0.46 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.38 | 0.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 8', Amatucci F. 🟨,
- 11', 0 - 1, Hrustic A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Rabbi S. ↓, Pandolfi L. ↑,
- 56', Salvi A. ↓, Masciangelo E. ↑,
- 56', Tessiore A. ↓, Okwonkwo O. ↑,
- 64', Christensen O. 🟨,
- 67', Caligara F. ↓, Soriano R. ↑,
- 68', Tronchin S. ↓, Vita A. ↑,
- 75', 0 - 2, Simy ⚽,
- 77', Amatucci F. ↓, Diaw D. ↑,
- 78', Simy ↓, Cerri A. ↑,
- 79', Hrustic A. 🟨,
- 90', Tongya F. ↓, Verde D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cittadella
28.9% | Draw
31% | Salernitana
40.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cittadella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cittadella's form might have worsened.Salernitana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Salernitana's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cittadella, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (-6.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Salernitana, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Cittadella - Salernitana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.26 ↑
(2.71) |
3.01 ↑
(2.94) |
2.35 ↓
(2.79) |
6.4%
(6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cittadella - Salernitana?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Cittadella will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%). Salernitana will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 36.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cittadella: 24.9% – 69.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Cittadella (votes: 1 - 20%). Salernitana (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Cittadella won 1.
- Cittadella is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Salernitana is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- There will not play in Cittadella: Cecchetto A.
(Inactive)
Desogus J.
(Inactive)
Diaw D.
(Inactive)
Djibril A.
(Injury)
Negro S.
(Injury)
Okwonkwo O.
(Yellow Cards)
Palmieri R.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Salernitana: Braaf J.
(Injury)
Bronn D.
(Injury)
Jaroszynski P.
(Injury)
Simy
(Inactive)
Wlodarczyk S.
(Inactive)
- Last 11 head-to-head matches Cittadella won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 18:17 (average 1.6:1.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Cittadella won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11:5 (average 2.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Cittadella won against Salernitana?
Cittadella has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Salernitana won against Cittadella?
Salernitana has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cittadella - Salernitana were as follows:
17.08.2024
Salernitana
-
Cittadella
2:1
Latest results of Cittadella
Latest results of Salernitana
Draw
Play OutFinal| 1 | Salernitana (16) | Sampdoria (17) | 0 : 3, 0 : 2 |
