Result
1:0
21/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 23
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 21', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Vitória de Sernache
66.6% | Draw
22.2% | Samora Correia
11.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitória de Sernache has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)Samora Correia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória de Sernache than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samora Correia than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Vitória de Sernache - Samora Correia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.34 ↑
(1.3) |
4.03 ↑
(3.75) |
7.97 ↑
(7) |
11.8%
(17.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group and 12 in the zone Relegation).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, Sernache is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sernache won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Vitória de Sernache won against Samora Correia?
Vitória de Sernache has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Samora Correia won against Vitória de Sernache?
Samora Correia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vitória de Sernache - Samora Correia were as follows:
29.11.2025
Samora Correia
-
Vitória de Sernache
0:1
Latest results of Vitória de Sernache
Latest results of Samora Correia
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vitoria Sernache | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 30:8 | 22 | 50 |
| 2 | SB Castelo Branco | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 39:20 | 19 | 42 |
| 3 | Naval 1893 | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 32:22 | 10 | 41 |
| 4 | Uniao Da Serra | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 32:19 | 13 | 40 |
| 5 | Oliveira Hospital | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 30:12 | 18 | 38 |
| 6 | Mortagua | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 20:22 | -2 | 33 |
| 7 | Os Marialvas | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 30:26 | 4 | 31 |
| 8 | Peniche | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 26:32 | -6 | 27 |
| 9 | Lajense | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 30:31 | -1 | 26 |
| 10 | Fatima | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 18:24 | -6 | 25 |
| 11 | Marinhense | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 15:28 | -13 | 23 |
| 12 | Electrico | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 31:55 | -24 | 19 |
| 13 | Samora Correia | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 14:29 | -15 | 17 |
| 14 | SC Lusitania | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 21:40 | -19 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation
