Result
3:3
10/02/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 24
- Referee: Di Marco D. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 2 |
 Slovenia | Sport TV3 |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1 |
 United-kingdom | DCTV |
 Usa | DCTV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 1.31 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (297/372) | 79% (324/408) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 1.31 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.02 | 0.66 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (297/372) | 79% (324/408) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (16/57) | 41% (20/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (62/94) | 60% (61/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 42% (5/12) | 19% (5/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 1.13 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 4 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 25% (2/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.66 | 2.02 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.34 | -0.98 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 1', Bani M. 🟨,
- 40', Gomes C. 🟨,
- 45+2', 0 - 1, Abildgaard O. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (3 - 2)
- 46', Conti F. ↓, Ricci M. ↑,
- 46', Gomes C. ↓, Segre J. ↑,
- 50', 1 - 1, Begic T. ⚽, Di Pardo A. (A),
- 53', 2 - 1, Pierini N. ⚽, Brunori M. (A),
- 59', Begic T. 🟨,
- 62', Peda P. ↓, Ceccaroni P. ↑,
- 63', Brunori M. ↓, Soleri E. ↑,
- 63', Begic T. ↓, Cherubini L. ↑,
- 66', Magnani G. ↓, Le Douaron J. ↑,
- 68', 3 - 1, Cherubini L. ⚽, Hadzikadunic D. (A),
- 69', Cherubini L. 🟨,
- 71', Ranocchia F. 🟨,
- 75', Henderson L. ↓, Barak A. ↑,
- 77', Le Douaron J. 🟨,
- 78', 3 - 2, Augello T. ⚽, Johnsen D. (A),
- 80', Barak A. 🟨,
- 84', Ranocchia F. ↓, Gyasi E. ↑,
- 84', Johnsen D. ↓, Vasic A. ↑,
- 90+2', Pierini N. ↓, Riccio A. ↑,
- 90+2', 3 - 3, Ceccaroni P. ⚽, Palumbo A. (A),
Chances of winning
Sampdoria
30.5% | Draw
32.2% | Palermo
37.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sampdoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)The chances for Palermo have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Sampdoria - Palermo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.08 ↑
(2.7) |
2.92 ↓
(3.22) |
2.51 ↑
(2.48) |
6.5%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Sampdoria - Palermo?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Palermo will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 53.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 28.1% – 78.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Palermo (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Sampdoria (2.35) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Palermo (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Palermo (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Sampdoria (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Palermo (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sampdoria won 0.
- Sampdoria has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Palermo is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Palermo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Sampdoria: Depaoli F.
(Inactive)
Esposito Sa.
(Inactive)
Ferri J.
(Inactive)
Giordano S.
(Inactive)
Venuti L.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Palermo: Modesto R.
(Injury)
Veroli D.
(Inactive)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Sampdoria won 2 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:18. (average 0.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sampdoria won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Sampdoria won against Palermo?
Sampdoria has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Palermo won against Sampdoria?
Palermo has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sampdoria - Palermo were as follows:
12.12.2025
Palermo
-
Sampdoria
1:0
08.03.2025
Sampdoria
-
Palermo
1:1
24.11.2024
Palermo
-
Sampdoria
1:1
17.05.2024
Palermo
-
Sampdoria
2:0
06.04.2024
Palermo
-
Sampdoria
2:2
Latest results of Sampdoria
Latest results of Palermo
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 63:26 | 37 | 67 |
| 2 | Monza | 31 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 49:25 | 24 | 64 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 31 | 17 | 11 | 3 | 59:31 | 28 | 62 |
| 4 | Palermo | 31 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 51:27 | 24 | 58 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 48:35 | 13 | 52 |
| 6 | Modena | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 40:24 | 16 | 47 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 31 | 9 | 15 | 7 | 35:37 | -2 | 42 |
| 8 | Cesena | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38:46 | -8 | 40 |
| 9 | Avellino | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 36:49 | -13 | 39 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 31 | 8 | 14 | 9 | 33:32 | 1 | 38 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 38:42 | -4 | 36 |
| 12 | Padova | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 32:42 | -10 | 34 |
| 13 | Mantova | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 35:46 | -11 | 34 |
| 14 | Empoli | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 39:45 | -6 | 33 |
| 15 | Sampdoria | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 29:42 | -13 | 31 |
| 16 | Bari | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 30:47 | -17 | 31 |
| 17 | Entella | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 28:45 | -17 | 31 |
| 18 | Spezia | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 30:43 | -13 | 30 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 30:46 | -16 | 30 |
| 20 | Pescara | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 41:54 | -13 | 29 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
