Fenerbahçe vs Samsunspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
06/01/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Super Cup - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
egyptEgyptOn Time Sports 1
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport, Sportdigital1+
israelIsraelSport 2
polandPolandPolsat Sport Premium 1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 5
turkeyTurkeyATV
united-arab-emiratesUnited-arab-emiratesMaraya, Sharjah Sports

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.900.46
Ball possession
49%51%
Total shots
176
Shots on target
41
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
76
Passes
87% (407/468)86% (414/484)
Yellow cards
11
Red Cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
1.900.46
xG on target (xGOT)
1.290.08
Total shots
176
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
103
Blocked shots
32
Shots inside the box
124
Shots outside the box
52
Hit the woodwork
20
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
76
Touches in opposition box
2711
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
11
Free kicks
138
Passes
87% (407/468)86% (414/484)
Long passes
59% (27/46)53% (20/38)
Passes in final third
79% (88/112)73% (69/95)
Crosses
20% (3/15)16% (3/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.830.58
Throw-ins
1921
Fouls
813
Tackles
60% (9/15)50% (9/18)
Duels won
4144
Clearances
2318
Interceptions
84
Errors leading to shot
21
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
12
xGOT faced
0.081.29
Goals prevented
0.08-0.71

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Akturkoglu K. , Musaba A. (A),
  • 33', Borevkovic T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Tomasson L. , Gonul S. ,
  • 46', Ceesay E. , Jarju S. ,
  • 46', Borevkovic T. , Aydogdu S. ,
  • 61', Elmaz B. , Demir Y. E. ,
  • 67', 2 - 0, Duran J. , Musaba A. (A),
  • 69', Musaba A. , Aydin O. ,
  • 72', Yavru Z. , Mendes J. ,
  • 77', Makoumbou A. 🟥,
  • 83', Satka L. , Diabbate A. B. ,
  • 87', Akturkoglu K. , Szymanski S. ,
  • 88', Oosterwolde J. , Soyuncu C. ,
  • 90+3', Aydin O. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Fenerbahçe
54.2%
Draw
25.8%
Samsunspor
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.9% 22.7% 20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58% 22.3% 20%

Fenerbahçe - Samsunspor Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.73
(1.66)
3.63
(4.16)
4.69
(4.63)
6.8%
(5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Fenerbahçe - Samsunspor?
  • Users Predictions: Fenerbahçe will win (41 of 42 users predict this - 97.62%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 93.01%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Fenerbahçe will win (14 of 14 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fenerbahçe won 1.
    • Fenerbahçe is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Samsunspor is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Fenerbahçe is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Fenerbahçe: Brown A. (Injury) Semedo N. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Samsunspor: Cetin B. (Knee Injury) Coulibaly T. (Knee Injury) Sousa A. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Fenerbahçe: Talisca (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Samsunspor: Ntcham O. (Injury)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Fenerbahçe won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.3:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fenerbahçe won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fenerbahçe - Samsunspor were as follows:
    05.10.2025 Samsunspor - Fenerbahçe 0:0
    20.10.2024 Samsunspor - Fenerbahçe 2:2
    21.01.2024 Fenerbahçe - Samsunspor 1:1
    21.08.2023 Samsunspor - Fenerbahçe 0:2
    Latest results of Fenerbahçe
    23.12.2025 Fenerbahçe - Beşiktaş 1:2
    20.12.2025 Eyüpspor - Fenerbahçe 0:3
    15.12.2025 Fenerbahçe - Konyaspor 4:0
    11.12.2025 Brann - Fenerbahçe 0:4
    Latest results of Samsunspor
    24.12.2025 Samsunspor - Eyüpspor 2:1
    21.12.2025 Göztepe - Samsunspor 2:0
    18.12.2025 Mainz - Samsunspor 2:0
    11.12.2025 Samsunspor - AEK Athens 1:2
    Draw
    2025

    Semi-finals
    1GalatasarayTrabzonspor4 : 1
    2FenerbahceSamsunspor2 : 0

    Final
    1GalatasarayFenerbahce0 : 2