Result
0:0
05/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super Lig - Round 8
- Referee: Meler H. U. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | SupeSport ESPN 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports 3 |
 Asia | TOD |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | SportKlub 4 |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free |
 Hungary | Sport 1 |
 Kosovo | ART Sport 5 |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+, Fox Sports 3 |
 Portugal | Sport TV5 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 8 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 5 |
 South-africa | SupeSport ESPN 2 |
 South-america | ESPN 6 South |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.32 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (297/371) | 84% (355/422) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.32 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.48 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (297/371) | 84% (355/422) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (20/35) | 42% (14/33) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (81/105) | 76% (70/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (2/20) | 17% (3/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.43 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.48 | 0.64 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.48 | 0.64 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Talisca ↓, Yuksek I. ↑,
- 46', Szymanski S. ↓, Nene D. ↑,
- 46', Akturkoglu K. ↓, Aydin O. ↑,
- 50', Skriniar M. 🟨,
- 63', Alvarez E. ↓, Fred ↑,
- 67', Asensio M. ↓, Kahveci I. C. ↑,
- 78', Ntcham O. ↓, Yuksel C. ↑,
- 83', Coulibaly T. ↓, Mendes J. ↑,
- 83', Musaba A. ↓, Yaldir P. ↑,
- 85', Yuksek I. 🟨,
- 90+3', Holse C. ↓, Cift Y. E. ↑,
- 90+4', Semedo N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Samsunspor
19.9% | Draw
24.1% | Fenerbahçe
56% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Samsunspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Fenerbahçe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samsunspor than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Samsunspor - Fenerbahçe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.78 ↓
(5.05) |
3.91 ↓
(3.99) |
1.68 ↑
(1.64) |
6%
(5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Samsunspor - Fenerbahçe?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1 - Fenerbahçe (votes: 3 - 75%).
Users Predictions:
Fenerbahçe will win
(14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Fenerbahçe will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Samsunspor won 0.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Samsunspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Fenerbahçe is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Samsunspor: Aydogdu S.
(Injury)
Ceesay E.
(Inactive)
Cetin B.
(Knee Injury)
Kilinc E.
(Injury)
Ndiaye C.
(Red Card)
Sousa A.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Fenerbahçe: Duran J.
(Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Samsunspor won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Samsunspor won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Samsunspor won against Fenerbahçe?
Samsunspor has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fenerbahçe won against Samsunspor?
Fenerbahçe has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Samsunspor - Fenerbahçe were as follows:
20.10.2024
Samsunspor
-
Fenerbahçe
2:2
21.01.2024
Fenerbahçe
-
Samsunspor
1:1
21.08.2023
Samsunspor
-
Fenerbahçe
0:2
Latest results of Samsunspor
Latest results of Fenerbahçe
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 20:3 | 17 | 22 |
| 2 | Trabzonspor | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 17 |
| 3 | Goztepe | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 11:2 | 9 | 16 |
| 4 | Fenerbahce | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 16 |
| 5 | Gaziantep | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 14 |
| 6 | Besiktas | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Konyaspor | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 11 |
| 9 | Alanyaspor | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 10 |
| 10 | Antalyaspor | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 10 |
| 11 | Kasimpasa | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 9 |
| 12 | Rizespor | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Basaksehir | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 14 | Genclerbirligi | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 5 |
| 15 | Kocaelispor | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:12 | -7 | 5 |
| 16 | Eyupspor | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4:11 | -7 | 5 |
| 17 | Kayserispor | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 5:17 | -12 | 5 |
| 18 | Karagumruk | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7:18 | -11 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig
