Minnesota United vs San Jose Earthquakes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Minnesota United - San Jose Earthquakes
Result
4:1
12/07/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Pekmic I. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.021.29
Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
58
Passes
70% (168/240)82% (359/437)
Yellow Cards
05
Expected Goals (xG)
3.021.29
xG on target (xGOT)
3.631.45
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
107
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
58
Touches in opposition box
2429
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1318
Passes
70% (168/240)82% (359/437)
Long passes
24% (11/46)55% (17/31)
Passes in final third
47% (30/64)71% (103/145)
Crosses
36% (5/14)17% (5/30)
Expected assists (xA)
1.191.09
Throw-ins
1828
Fouls
1813
Tackles
60% (12/20)61% (11/18)
Duels won
4761
Clearances
3129
Interceptions
119
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
1.453.63
Goals prevented
0.45-0.37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Oluwaseyi T. , Lod R. (A), Pereyra J. (A2)
  • 9', Harkes I. 🟨,
  • 30', Kikanovic B. , Lima N. ,
  • 38', Rodrigues 🟨,
  • 42', 2 - 0, Yeboah K. , Oluwaseyi T. (A),
  • 45+5', 3 - 0, Markanich A. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Romney D. , Roberts R. ,
  • 62', Diaz J. , Harvey C. ,
  • 62', Markanich A. , Rosales J. ,
  • 64', Roberts R. 🟨,
  • 65', Munie D. 🟨,
  • 68', Munie D. , Wilson Valdez B. R. ,
  • 68', Bouda O. , Tsakiris N. ,
  • 68', Vitor Costa , Judd P. ,
  • 70', 3 - 1, Wilson Valdez B. R. , Judd P. (A),
  • 77', Gressel J. , Hlongwane B. ,
  • 84', Arango C. 🟨,
  • 85', Pereyra J. , Duggan M. ,
  • 90+5', 4 - 1, Rosales J. , Oluwaseyi T. (A), Yeboah K. (A2)
  • 90+5', Yeboah K. , Randell A. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Minnesota United
48.4%
Draw
24.3%
San Jose Earthquakes
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.5% 23.2% 24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3% 22.9% 24%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Minnesota United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • San Jose Earthquakes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota United than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • Minnesota United - San Jose Earthquakes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (1.82)
    3.91
    (4.13)
    3.47
    (3.92)
    5.5%
    (4.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Minnesota United - San Jose Earthquakes?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Minnesota will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). San Jose will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Minnesota: 50.9%95.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Minnesota (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 3.
    • Minnesota is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • San Jose's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • San Jose may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Minnesota might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Minnesota: Dotson H. (Knee Injury) Keller K. (Thigh Injury) Speel W. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There will not play in San Jose: Buck N. (Knee Injury) Jones D. (Red Card) Tsakiris N. (Lower-Body Injury) Wilson Valdez B. R. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in San Jose: Espinoza C. (Injury) Ricketts J. (Injury)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 31:22. (average 1.7:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Minnesota won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.4:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Minnesota United - San Jose Earthquakes were as follows:
    08.03.2025 San Jose Earthquakes - Minnesota United 0:1
    31.08.2024 San Jose Earthquakes - Minnesota United 1:2
    20.07.2024 Minnesota United - San Jose Earthquakes 2:0
    30.09.2023 Minnesota United - San Jose Earthquakes 1:1
    02.09.2023 San Jose Earthquakes - Minnesota United 1:1
    Latest results of Minnesota United
    Latest results of San Jose Earthquakes
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC25144748:321646
    2Vancouver Whitecaps24136542:261645
    3Minnesota United25128542:281444
    4Seattle Sounders24108639:35438
    5Portland Timbers24107733:32137
    6Los Angeles FC22106639:281136
    7Austin FC2396821:26-533
    8Real Salt Lake24941126:30-431
    9Colorado Rapids25861131:39-830
    10San Jose Earthquakes25781047:44329
    11Houston Dynamo24761130:39-927
    12FC Dallas24671135:45-1025
    13Sporting Kansas City24661236:45-924
    14St. Louis City24461424:40-1618
    15Los Angeles Galaxy24371428:48-2016


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union25155543:241950
    2FC Cincinnati25154639:31849
    3Nashville SC25145642:261647
    4Columbus Crew25128541:36544
    5Inter Miami22126449:341542
    6Orlando City25118646:331341
    7Charlotte251221143:39438
    8New York City24115834:29538
    9Chicago Fire24105945:40535
    10New York Red Bulls25961039:36333
    11New England Revolution24671131:35-425
    12Toronto FC24561325:32-721
    13Atlanta Utd24491129:45-1621
    14DC United25471422:49-2719
    15CF Montreal25461523:46-2318

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