Result
4:1
12/07/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Pekmic I. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.02 | 1.29 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (168/240) | 82% (359/437) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.02 | 1.29 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.63 | 1.45 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (168/240) | 82% (359/437) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 24% (11/46) | 55% (17/31) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 47% (30/64) | 71% (103/145) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (5/14) | 17% (5/30) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.09 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (12/20) | 61% (11/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.45 | 3.63 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.45 | -0.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Oluwaseyi T. ⚽, Lod R. (A), Pereyra J. (A2)
- 9', Harkes I. 🟨,
- 30', Kikanovic B. ↓, Lima N. ↑,
- 38', Rodrigues 🟨,
- 42', 2 - 0, Yeboah K. ⚽, Oluwaseyi T. (A),
- 45+5', 3 - 0, Markanich A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Romney D. ↓, Roberts R. ↑,
- 62', Diaz J. ↓, Harvey C. ↑,
- 62', Markanich A. ↓, Rosales J. ↑,
- 64', Roberts R. 🟨,
- 65', Munie D. 🟨,
- 68', Munie D. ↓, Wilson Valdez B. R. ↑,
- 68', Bouda O. ↓, Tsakiris N. ↑,
- 68', Vitor Costa ↓, Judd P. ↑,
- 70', 3 - 1, Wilson Valdez B. R. ⚽, Judd P. (A),
- 77', Gressel J. ↓, Hlongwane B. ↑,
- 84', Arango C. 🟨,
- 85', Pereyra J. ↓, Duggan M. ↑,
- 90+5', 4 - 1, Rosales J. ⚽, Oluwaseyi T. (A), Yeboah K. (A2)
- 90+5', Yeboah K. ↓, Randell A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Minnesota United
48.4% | Draw
24.3% | San Jose Earthquakes
27.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Minnesota United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)San Jose Earthquakes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota United than the current prediction. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Minnesota United - San Jose Earthquakes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↑
(1.82) |
3.91 ↓
(4.13) |
3.47 ↓
(3.92) |
5.5%
(4.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Minnesota United - San Jose Earthquakes?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Minnesota will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). San Jose will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Minnesota: 50.9% – 95.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Minnesota (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 3.
- Minnesota is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- San Jose's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- San Jose may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Minnesota might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Minnesota: Dotson H.
(Knee Injury)
Keller K.
(Thigh Injury)
Speel W.
(Shoulder Injury)
- There will not play in San Jose: Buck N.
(Knee Injury)
Jones D.
(Red Card)
Tsakiris N.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Wilson Valdez B. R.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- There are questionable in San Jose: Espinoza C.
(Injury)
Ricketts J.
(Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 31:22. (average 1.7:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Minnesota won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.4:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Minnesota United won against San Jose Earthquakes?
Minnesota United has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has San Jose Earthquakes won against Minnesota United?
San Jose Earthquakes has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Minnesota United - San Jose Earthquakes were as follows:
08.03.2025
San Jose Earthquakes
-
Minnesota United
0:1
31.08.2024
San Jose Earthquakes
-
Minnesota United
1:2
20.07.2024
Minnesota United
-
San Jose Earthquakes
2:0
30.09.2023
Minnesota United
-
San Jose Earthquakes
1:1
02.09.2023
San Jose Earthquakes
-
Minnesota United
1:1
Latest results of Minnesota United
Latest results of San Jose Earthquakes
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Bye | |
| 2 | Chicago Fire | Orlando City | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Charlotte | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | New York City | |
| 5 | Inter Miami | Bye | |
| 6 | Bye | Nashville SC | |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | Bye | |
| 8 | Bye | Columbus Crew | |
| 9 | San Diego FC | Bye | |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | Real Salt Lake | 3 : 1 |
| 11 | Minnesota United | Bye | |
| 12 | Bye | Seattle Sounders | |
| 13 | Los Angeles FC | Bye | |
| 14 | Bye | Austin FC | |
| 15 | Vancouver Whitecaps | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | FC Dallas | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Chicago Fire | |
| 2 | Charlotte | New York City | |
| 3 | Inter Miami | Nashville SC | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | FC Cincinnati | Columbus Crew | |
| 5 | San Diego FC | Portland Timbers | |
| 6 | Minnesota United | Seattle Sounders | |
| 7 | Los Angeles FC | Austin FC | |
| 8 | Vancouver Whitecaps | FC Dallas | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
