Result
4:1
12/07/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Pekmic I. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Usa | MLS Season Pass |
World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
3.02 | 1.29 |
Ball Possession |
---|
35% | 65% |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
5 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
70% (168/240) | 82% (359/437) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
0 | 5 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
3.02 | 1.29 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
3.63 | 1.45 |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
10 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
2 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
5 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 8 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
24 | 29 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 18 |
Passes |
---|
70% (168/240) | 82% (359/437) |
Long passes |
---|
24% (11/46) | 55% (17/31) |
Passes in final third |
---|
47% (30/64) | 71% (103/145) |
Crosses |
---|
36% (5/14) | 17% (5/30) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.19 | 1.09 |
Throw-ins |
---|
18 | 28 |
Fouls |
---|
18 | 13 |
Tackles |
---|
60% (12/20) | 61% (11/18) |
Duels won |
---|
47 | 61 |
Clearances |
---|
31 | 29 |
Interceptions |
---|
11 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.45 | 3.63 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.45 | -0.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Oluwaseyi T. ⚽, Lod R. (A), Pereyra J. (A2)
- 9', Harkes I. 🟨,
- 30', Kikanovic B. ↓, Lima N. ↑,
- 38', Rodrigues 🟨,
- 42', 2 - 0, Yeboah K. ⚽, Oluwaseyi T. (A),
- 45+5', 3 - 0, Markanich A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Romney D. ↓, Roberts R. ↑,
- 62', Diaz J. ↓, Harvey C. ↑,
- 62', Markanich A. ↓, Rosales J. ↑,
- 64', Roberts R. 🟨,
- 65', Munie D. 🟨,
- 68', Munie D. ↓, Wilson Valdez B. R. ↑,
- 68', Bouda O. ↓, Tsakiris N. ↑,
- 68', Vitor Costa ↓, Judd P. ↑,
- 70', 3 - 1, Wilson Valdez B. R. ⚽, Judd P. (A),
- 77', Gressel J. ↓, Hlongwane B. ↑,
- 84', Arango C. 🟨,
- 85', Pereyra J. ↓, Duggan M. ↑,
- 90+5', 4 - 1, Rosales J. ⚽, Oluwaseyi T. (A), Yeboah K. (A2)
- 90+5', Yeboah K. ↓, Randell A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Minnesota United 48.4% | Draw 24.3% | San Jose Earthquakes 27.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Minnesota United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)San Jose Earthquakes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota United than the current prediction. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Minnesota United - San Jose Earthquakes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.96 ↑ (1.82) |
3.91 ↓ (4.13) |
3.47 ↓ (3.92) |
5.5% (4.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Minnesota United - San Jose Earthquakes?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Minnesota will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). San Jose will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Minnesota: 50.9% – 95.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Minnesota (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 3.
- Minnesota is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- San Jose's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- San Jose may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Minnesota might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Minnesota: Dotson H.
(Knee Injury)
Keller K.
(Thigh Injury)
Speel W.
(Shoulder Injury)
- There will not play in San Jose: Buck N.
(Knee Injury)
Jones D.
(Red Card)
Tsakiris N.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Wilson Valdez B. R.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- There are questionable in San Jose: Espinoza C.
(Injury)
Ricketts J.
(Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 31:22. (average 1.7:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Minnesota won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.4:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Minnesota United won against San Jose Earthquakes?
Minnesota United has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has San Jose Earthquakes won against Minnesota United?
San Jose Earthquakes has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Minnesota United - San Jose Earthquakes were as follows:
08.03.2025
San Jose Earthquakes
-
Minnesota United
0:1
31.08.2024
San Jose Earthquakes
-
Minnesota United
1:2
20.07.2024
Minnesota United
-
San Jose Earthquakes
2:0
30.09.2023
Minnesota United
-
San Jose Earthquakes
1:1
02.09.2023
San Jose Earthquakes
-
Minnesota United
1:1
Latest results of Minnesota United
Latest results of San Jose Earthquakes
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | San Diego FC | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 48:32 | 16 | 46 |
2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 42:26 | 16 | 45 |
3 | Minnesota United | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 42:28 | 14 | 44 |
4 | Seattle Sounders | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 39:35 | 4 | 38 |
5 | Portland Timbers | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 33:32 | 1 | 37 |
6 | Los Angeles FC | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 39:28 | 11 | 36 |
7 | Austin FC | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 21:26 | -5 | 33 |
8 | Real Salt Lake | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 26:30 | -4 | 31 |
9 | Colorado Rapids | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 31:39 | -8 | 30 |
10 | San Jose Earthquakes | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 47:44 | 3 | 29 |
11 | Houston Dynamo | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 30:39 | -9 | 27 |
12 | FC Dallas | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 35:45 | -10 | 25 |
13 | Sporting Kansas City | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 36:45 | -9 | 24 |
14 | St. Louis City | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 24:40 | -16 | 18 |
15 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 28:48 | -20 | 16 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Philadelphia Union | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 43:24 | 19 | 50 |
2 | FC Cincinnati | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 39:31 | 8 | 49 |
3 | Nashville SC | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 42:26 | 16 | 47 |
4 | Columbus Crew | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 41:36 | 5 | 44 |
5 | Inter Miami | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 49:34 | 15 | 42 |
6 | Orlando City | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 46:33 | 13 | 41 |
7 | Charlotte | 25 | 12 | 2 | 11 | 43:39 | 4 | 38 |
8 | New York City | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 34:29 | 5 | 38 |
9 | Chicago Fire | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 45:40 | 5 | 35 |
10 | New York Red Bulls | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 39:36 | 3 | 33 |
11 | New England Revolution | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 31:35 | -4 | 25 |
12 | Toronto FC | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 25:32 | -7 | 21 |
13 | Atlanta Utd | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29:45 | -16 | 21 |
14 | DC United | 25 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 22:49 | -27 | 19 |
15 | CF Montreal | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 23:46 | -23 | 18 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)