Minnesota United vs San Jose Earthquakes: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Minnesota United - San Jose Earthquakes
Result
4:1
12/07/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Pekmic I. (Usa)
Minnesota United - San Jose Earthquakes - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.021.29
Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
58
Passes
70% (168/240)82% (359/437)
Yellow Cards
05
Expected Goals (xG)
3.021.29
xG on target (xGOT)
3.631.45
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
107
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
58
Touches in opposition box
2429
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1318
Passes
70% (168/240)82% (359/437)
Long passes
24% (11/46)55% (17/31)
Passes in final third
47% (30/64)71% (103/145)
Crosses
36% (5/14)17% (5/30)
Expected assists (xA)
1.191.09
Throw-ins
1828
Fouls
1813
Tackles
60% (12/20)61% (11/18)
Duels won
4761
Clearances
3129
Interceptions
119
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
1.453.63
Goals prevented
0.45-0.37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Oluwaseyi T. , Lod R. (A), Pereyra J. (A2)
  • 9', Harkes I. 🟨,
  • 30', Kikanovic B. , Lima N. ,
  • 38', Rodrigues 🟨,
  • 42', 2 - 0, Yeboah K. , Oluwaseyi T. (A),
  • 45+5', 3 - 0, Markanich A. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Romney D. , Roberts R. ,
  • 62', Diaz J. , Harvey C. ,
  • 62', Markanich A. , Rosales J. ,
  • 64', Roberts R. 🟨,
  • 65', Munie D. 🟨,
  • 68', Munie D. , Wilson Valdez B. R. ,
  • 68', Bouda O. , Tsakiris N. ,
  • 68', Vitor Costa , Judd P. ,
  • 70', 3 - 1, Wilson Valdez B. R. , Judd P. (A),
  • 77', Gressel J. , Hlongwane B. ,
  • 84', Arango C. 🟨,
  • 85', Pereyra J. , Duggan M. ,
  • 90+5', 4 - 1, Rosales J. , Oluwaseyi T. (A), Yeboah K. (A2)
  • 90+5', Yeboah K. , Randell A. ,

Chances of winning


Minnesota United
48.4%
Draw
24.3%
San Jose Earthquakes
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.5% 23.2% 24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3% 22.9% 24%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Minnesota United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • San Jose Earthquakes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota United than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • Minnesota United - San Jose Earthquakes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (1.82)
    3.91
    (4.13)
    3.47
    (3.92)
    5.5%
    (4.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Minnesota United - San Jose Earthquakes?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Minnesota will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). San Jose will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Minnesota: 50.9%95.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Minnesota (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 3.
    • Minnesota is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • San Jose's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • San Jose may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Minnesota might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Minnesota: Dotson H. (Knee Injury) Keller K. (Thigh Injury) Speel W. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There will not play in San Jose: Buck N. (Knee Injury) Jones D. (Red Card) Tsakiris N. (Lower-Body Injury) Wilson Valdez B. R. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in San Jose: Espinoza C. (Injury) Ricketts J. (Injury)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 31:22. (average 1.7:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Minnesota won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.4:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Minnesota United - San Jose Earthquakes were as follows:
    08.03.2025 San Jose Earthquakes - Minnesota United 0:1
    31.08.2024 San Jose Earthquakes - Minnesota United 1:2
    20.07.2024 Minnesota United - San Jose Earthquakes 2:0
    30.09.2023 Minnesota United - San Jose Earthquakes 1:1
    02.09.2023 San Jose Earthquakes - Minnesota United 1:1
    Latest results of Minnesota United
    Latest results of San Jose Earthquakes
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC22133646:301642
    2Minnesota United22117439:251440
    3Vancouver Whitecaps21115535:251038
    4Seattle Sounders2196631:28333
    5Portland Timbers2196631:30133
    6Los Angeles FC1995535:241132
    7Colorado Rapids23851027:33-629
    8San Jose Earthquakes2277842:37528
    9Austin FC2176815:23-827
    10Houston Dynamo22751029:35-626
    11Real Salt Lake21741023:28-525
    12Sporting Kansas City22651135:41-623
    13FC Dallas21561027:39-1221
    14St. Louis City22461223:35-1218
    15Los Angeles Galaxy22361324:43-1915


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union22134537:211643
    2FC Cincinnati22133635:31442
    3Nashville SC22125538:251341
    4Columbus Crew22118338:29941
    5Inter Miami19115344:301438
    6Orlando City2298540:291135
    7New York City2194827:24331
    8New York Red Bulls2286833:27630
    9Charlotte22921136:36029
    10Chicago Fire2184940:38228
    11New England Revolution2167826:25125
    12Atlanta Utd21471023:38-1519
    13DC United22471118:41-2319
    14Toronto FC21461124:29-518
    15CF Montreal22361319:41-2215

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Minnesota United - San Jose Earthquakes?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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