Result
27/09/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Villarreal A. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video |
 China | QQ Sports |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.44 | 0.97 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 72% | 28% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (621/710) | 68% (189/276) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.44 | 0.97 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.94 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 43 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (621/710) | 68% (189/276) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (29/46) | 35% (24/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (202/254) | 58% (39/67) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (10/26) | 0% (0/3) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.47 | 1.05 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 45% (5/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 25 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.94 | 1.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.06 | 1.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 14', 0 - 1, Martinez J. ⚽, Arango C. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 63', Pellegrino A. ↓, Mighten A. ↑,
- 63', Godoy A. ↓, de la Torre L. ↑,
- 69', Kikanovic B. ↓, Judd P. ↑,
- 69', Arango C. ↓, Vitor Costa ↑,
- 71', Vieira R. 🟨,
- 72', Pilcher I. ↓, Negri F. ↑,
- 72', Harangi A. ↓, Kumado W. ↑,
- 81', Martinez J. ↓, Buck N. ↑,
- 82', Lozano H. ↓, Vazquez D. ↑,
- 82', Vieira R. ↓, Leroux B. ↑,
- 84', Bouda O. 🟨,
- 88', Espinoza C. ↓, Romney D. ↑,
Chances of winning
San Diego
54.8% | Draw
20.9% | San Jose Earthquakes
24.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Diego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)San Jose Earthquakes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
San Diego - San Jose Earthquakes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.74 ↑
(1.67) |
4.55 ↑
(4.5) |
3.95 ↓
(4.21) |
4.9%
(5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for San Diego - San Jose Earthquakes?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. San Diego (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
San Diego will win
(10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
- San Diego is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- San Diego has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- San Jose is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- San Jose may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, San Diego is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in San Diego: Alvarado Jr A.
(Knee Injury)
Ingvartsen M.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Negri F.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Verhoeven O.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- There will not play in San Jose: Jones D.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, San Diego won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has San Diego won against San Jose Earthquakes?
San Diego has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has San Jose Earthquakes won against San Diego?
San Jose Earthquakes has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Diego - San Jose Earthquakes were as follows:
17.08.2025
San Jose Earthquakes
-
San Diego
1:2
Latest results of San Diego
Latest results of San Jose Earthquakes
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Diego FC ✔ | 32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 56:39 | 17 | 57 |
| 2 | Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 59:34 | 25 | 57 |
| 3 | Minnesota United ✔ | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 52:37 | 15 | 55 |
| 4 | Los Angeles FC ✔ | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 60:37 | 23 | 53 |
| 5 | Seattle Sounders | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 54:47 | 7 | 46 |
| 6 | Austin FC | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 34:40 | -6 | 44 |
| 7 | Portland Timbers | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 41:43 | -2 | 44 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 42:53 | -11 | 40 |
| 9 | San Jose Earthquakes | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 57:58 | -1 | 38 |
| 10 | FC Dallas | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 47:51 | -4 | 38 |
| 11 | Real Salt Lake | 31 | 11 | 4 | 16 | 35:46 | -11 | 37 |
| 12 | Houston Dynamo | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 41:52 | -11 | 36 |
| 13 | St. Louis City | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 39:55 | -16 | 28 |
| 14 | Sporting Kansas City | 32 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 46:67 | -21 | 27 |
| 15 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 31 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 41:62 | -21 | 24 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Philadelphia Union ✔ | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 56:33 | 23 | 63 |
| 2 | FC Cincinnati ✔ | 31 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 47:39 | 8 | 58 |
| 3 | New York City ✔ | 32 | 17 | 5 | 10 | 49:41 | 8 | 56 |
| 4 | Inter Miami ✔ | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 65:47 | 18 | 56 |
| 5 | Charlotte ✔ | 32 | 17 | 2 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 53 |
| 6 | Nashville SC | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 55:39 | 16 | 53 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 58:43 | 15 | 51 |
| 8 | Columbus Crew | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 51:49 | 2 | 50 |
| 9 | Chicago Fire | 31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | 59:53 | 6 | 48 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 47:43 | 4 | 43 |
| 11 | New England Revolution | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 41:45 | -4 | 35 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 31 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 31:38 | -7 | 28 |
| 13 | CF Montreal | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 33:56 | -23 | 27 |
| 14 | Atlanta Utd | 31 | 5 | 12 | 14 | 37:57 | -20 | 27 |
| 15 | DC United | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 29:64 | -35 | 25 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
