San Jose Earthquakes vs San Diego – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS
Football MLS San Jose Earthquakes - San Diego
Result
1:2
17/08/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Dickerson J. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaHBO Max, TNT, TNT Sports
australiaAustraliaSBS On Demand, SBS Viceland
brazilBrazilHBO Max
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
chileChileTNT Sports
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL 2
indiaIndiaEurosport, JioTV app
israelIsraelSport 2
mexicoMexicoHBO Max, TNT Sports
spainSpain3Cat, Esport3
turkeyTurkeyTabii, TRT Spor
usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.430.67
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
165
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
36
Passes
78% (294/378)79% (386/488)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.430.67
xG on target (xGOT)
1.121.42
Total shots
165
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
71
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
124
Shots outside the Box
41
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
36
Touches in opposition box
3018
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
24
Free Kicks
1411
Passes
78% (294/378)79% (386/488)
Long passes
46% (26/56)51% (31/61)
Passes in final third
70% (83/118)65% (81/124)
Crosses
24% (4/17)25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.781.11
Throw-ins
2918
Fouls
1114
Tackles
43% (6/14)73% (19/26)
Duels won
3950
Clearances
2427
Interceptions
1414
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
1.421.12
Goals prevented
-0.580.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 38', Harangi A. ↓, Negri F. ↑,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 48', Angel T. ↓, de la Torre L. ↑,
  • 64', Godoy A. ↓, Ingvartsen M. ↑,
  • 71', Kaye M. ↓, Harkes I. ↑,
  • 71', Leroux B. ↓, Buck N. ↑,
  • 73', 1 - 0, Martinez J. ⚽,
  • 75', Vazquez D. ↓, Boateng E. ↑,
  • 75', Valakari O. ↓, Soma P. ↑,
  • 79', Daniel 🟨,
  • 81', 1 - 1, Ingvartsen M. ⚽, Negri F. (A),
  • 83', Duah M. 🟨,
  • 83', Arango C. ↓, Bouda O. ↑,
  • 83', Martinez J. ↓, Judd P. ↑,
  • 84', 1 - 2, Dreyer A. ⚽, Ingvartsen M. (A),
  • 85', Dreyer A. 🟨,
  • 86', Boateng E. 🟨,
  • 87', Vitor Costa ↓, Ricketts J. ↑,
  • 88', Judd P. 🟨,

Chances of winning


San Jose Earthquakes
40.7%		Draw
24.5%		San Diego
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.4% 24.6% 38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1% 25.1% 37.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Jose Earthquakes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • San Diego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
    •

    San Jose Earthquakes - San Diego Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.33 ↓
    (2.55)    		 3.86
    (3.86)    		 2.74 ↑
    (2.5)    		 5.4%
    (5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    •
    What is the prediction for San Jose Earthquakes - San Diego?
  • Users Predictions: San Jose Earthquakes will win (24 of 28 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 72.75% – 98.67%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): San Jose Earthquakes will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Recent form of San Jose has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • San Diego has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • San Diego may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, San Diego has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in San Jose: Kikanovic B. (Upper-Body Injury)
    • There will not play in San Diego: Alvarado Jr A. (Knee Injury) Ingvartsen M. (Lower-Body Injury) Kumado W. (Lower-Body Injury) McNair P. (Lower-Body Injury) Reyes A. (Lower-Body Injury) Verhoeven O. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of San Jose Earthquakes
    09.08.2025 San Jose Earthquakes - Vancouver Whitecaps 2:1 ✺
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    19.07.2025 Seattle Sounders - San Jose Earthquakes 3:2 ✺
    16.07.2025 San Jose Earthquakes - FC Dallas 2:2 ✺
    12.07.2025 Minnesota United - San Jose Earthquakes 4:1 ✺
    Latest results of San Diego
    09.08.2025 Sporting Kansas City - San Diego 0:2 ✺
    05.08.2025 Mazatlan - San Diego 0:2 ✺
    01.08.2025 Tigres UANL - San Diego 2:1 ✺
    29.07.2025 Pachuca - San Diego 3:2 ✺
    25.07.2025 San Diego - Nashville SC 2:0 ✺
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC29175754:342056
    2Minnesota United29149648:321651
    3Vancouver Whitecaps27147647:311649
    4Seattle Sounders27128748:381044
    5Los Angeles FC26118745:331241
    6Portland Timbers28109936:38-239
    7Austin FC27108929:33-438
    8Colorado Rapids291061338:48-1036
    9San Jose Earthquakes29981253:51235
    10Houston Dynamo28881237:46-932
    11Real Salt Lake27941428:36-831
    12FC Dallas27791139:47-830
    13Sporting Kansas City28761543:57-1427
    14St. Louis City28561733:50-1721
    15Los Angeles Galaxy27471632:55-2319


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union29176649:262357
    2FC Cincinnati29164942:36652
    3Charlotte291621148:40850
    4Nashville SC29155949:331650
    5Orlando City28138754:401447
    6Inter Miami25137554:401446
    7Columbus Crew281210643:39446
    8New York City27135938:32644
    9New York Red Bulls291171142:38440
    10Chicago Fire271161050:48239
    11New England Revolution28871336:40-431
    12Atlanta Utd285111232:49-1726
    13Toronto FC285101328:35-725
    14CF Montreal29591529:51-2224
    15DC United29591526:54-2824

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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