Result
0:1
27/09/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Villarreal A. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video |
 China | QQ Sports |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.44 | 0.97 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 72% | 28% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (621/710) | 68% (189/276) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.44 | 0.97 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.94 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 43 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (621/710) | 68% (189/276) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (29/46) | 35% (24/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (202/254) | 58% (39/67) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (10/26) | 0% (0/3) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.47 | 1.05 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 45% (5/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 25 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.94 | 1.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.06 | 1.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 14', 0 - 1, Martinez J. ⚽, Arango C. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 63', Pellegrino A. ↓, Mighten A. ↑,
- 63', Godoy A. ↓, de la Torre L. ↑,
- 69', Kikanovic B. ↓, Judd P. ↑,
- 69', Arango C. ↓, Vitor Costa ↑,
- 71', Vieira R. 🟨,
- 72', Pilcher I. ↓, Negri F. ↑,
- 72', Harangi A. ↓, Kumado W. ↑,
- 81', Martinez J. ↓, Buck N. ↑,
- 82', Lozano H. ↓, Vazquez D. ↑,
- 82', Vieira R. ↓, Leroux B. ↑,
- 84', Bouda O. 🟨,
- 88', Espinoza C. ↓, Romney D. ↑,
Chances of winning
San Diego
54.8% | Draw
20.9% | San Jose Earthquakes
24.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Diego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)San Jose Earthquakes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
San Diego - San Jose Earthquakes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.74 ↑
(1.67) |
4.55 ↑
(4.5) |
3.95 ↓
(4.21) |
4.9%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for San Diego - San Jose Earthquakes?
Users Predictions:
San Diego will win
(10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): San Diego will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
- San Diego is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- San Diego has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- San Jose is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- San Jose may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, San Diego is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in San Diego: Alvarado Jr A.
(Knee Injury)
Ingvartsen M.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Negri F.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Verhoeven O.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- There will not play in San Jose: Jones D.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, San Diego won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has San Diego won against San Jose Earthquakes?
San Diego has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has San Jose Earthquakes won against San Diego?
San Jose Earthquakes has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Diego - San Jose Earthquakes were as follows:
17.08.2025
San Jose Earthquakes
-
San Diego
1:2
Latest results of San Diego
Latest results of San Jose Earthquakes
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14:1 | 13 | 12 |
| 2 | Los Angeles FC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:0 | 8 | 12 |
| 3 | San Diego FC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 10 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:1 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | Seattle Sounders | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 9 |
| 6 | Real Salt Lake | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 9 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | Houston Dynamo | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | FC Dallas | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 | Austin FC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 4 |
| 12 | Sporting Kansas City | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
| 13 | Minnesota United | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:11 | -7 | 4 |
| 14 | Portland Timbers | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 3 |
| 15 | St. Louis City | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 1 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | New York City | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 10 |
| 2 | Nashville SC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 10 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 4 | New York Red Bulls | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 7 |
| 5 | DC United | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 6 | Charlotte | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 5 |
| 7 | Chicago Fire | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Toronto FC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
| 9 | New England Revolution | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Atlanta Utd | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 3 |
| 11 | FC Cincinnati | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 |
| 12 | CF Montreal | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:10 | -6 | 3 |
| 13 | Orlando City | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:12 | -7 | 3 |
| 14 | Columbus Crew | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 2 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:7 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
