Result
0:1
05/07/2025 at 05:55 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 1.70 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (151/239) | 77% (333/433) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 1.70 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.18 | 1.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (151/239) | 77% (333/433) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 27% (16/59) | 32% (22/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (49/87) | 66% (104/158) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (3/18) | 30% (9/30) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.30 | 1.11 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 63% (12/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.40 | 0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Germain V. ↓, Kinoshita K. ↑,
- 46', Nakajima Y. ↓, Tanaka S. ↑,
- 54', Kimura T. ↓, Werik Popo ↑,
- 54', Yanagi T. ↓, Motoyama H. ↑,
- 55', Germain R. ↓, Kato M. ↑,
- 65', Esaka A. 🟨,
- 71', Lucao ↓, Iwabuchi H. ↑,
- 71', Sasaki S. ↓, Higashi S. ↑,
- 82', Arai N. ↓, Maeda N. ↑,
- 86', Esaka A. ↓, Sueyoshi R. ↑,
- 86', Kamiya Yuta ↓, Takeuchi R. ↑,
- 90+7', 0 - 1, Nakamura S. ⚽, Kinoshita K. (A),
Chances of winning
Fagiano Okayama
23.4% | Draw
28% | Sanfrecce Hiroshima
48.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fagiano Okayama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fagiano Okayama's form might have worsened.Sanfrecce Hiroshima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sanfrecce Hiroshima's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (+11.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fagiano Okayama, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (-13.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sanfrecce Hiroshima, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Fagiano Okayama - Sanfrecce Hiroshima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.06 ↑
(2.82) |
3.34 ↑
(3.14) |
1.93 ↓
(2.63) |
6.6%
(5.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Fagiano Okayama - Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Okayama will win (votes: 2 - 9.1%). Hiroshima will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hiroshima: 59.8% – 94.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sanfrecce Hiroshima will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 5).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Okayama may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Hiroshima is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Hiroshima: Arslan T.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Okayama won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Fagiano Okayama won against Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Fagiano Okayama has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sanfrecce Hiroshima won against Fagiano Okayama?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fagiano Okayama - Sanfrecce Hiroshima were as follows:
12.04.2025
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
-
Fagiano Okayama
0:1
Latest results of Fagiano Okayama
Latest results of Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 34:22 | 12 | 46 |
| 2 | Kashima Antlers | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 36:24 | 12 | 44 |
| 3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 33:23 | 10 | 44 |
| 4 | Kyoto | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 40:29 | 11 | 42 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 29:18 | 11 | 42 |
| 6 | Machida | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 40 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 38:26 | 12 | 38 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 32:24 | 8 | 38 |
| 9 | Cerezo Osaka | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 37:33 | 4 | 34 |
| 10 | Gamba Osaka | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 29:31 | -2 | 34 |
| 11 | Avispa Fukuoka | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 21:23 | -2 | 32 |
| 12 | Okayama | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 20:22 | -2 | 30 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 30 |
| 14 | FC Tokyo | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
| 15 | Nagoya Grampus | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 28 |
| 16 | Verdy | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 15:24 | -9 | 28 |
| 17 | Shonan Bellmare | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 20:37 | -17 | 24 |
| 18 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23:32 | -9 | 21 |
| 19 | Yokohama FC | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 14:30 | -16 | 19 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 19 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
