Result
2:1 penalties
14/02/2026 at 00:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 2
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.58 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 72% | 28% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (520/608) | 68% (161/238) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.58 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.70 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (520/608) | 68% (161/238) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (31/70) | 27% (12/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (151/202) | 54% (46/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (4/24) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.82 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (7/15) | 59% (10/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.53 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.30 | -0.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 10', 0 - 1, Esaka A. ⚽,
- 42', Omori H. 🟨,
- 45+3', 1 - 1, Germain R. ⚽, Suzuki A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Ogura K. 🟨,
- 59', Kawano K. ↓, Kimura T. ↑,
- 60', Ohara M. ↓, Kato M. ↑,
- 70', Lucao ↓, Ichimi K. ↑,
- 70', Matsumoto M. ↓, Shirai K. ↑,
- 71', Ogura K. 🟨,
- 73', Higashi S. ↓, Suga D. ↑,
- 73', Germain R. ↓, Nakamura S. ↑,
- 80', Miyamoto E. ↓, Kamiya Yuta ↑,
- 81', Esaka A. ↓, Fujii K. ↑,
- 85', Kawabe H. ↓, Arslan T. ↑,
- 85', Suzuki A. ↓, Kinoshita K. ↑,
- Penalties (5 - 4)
- 1, Ichimi K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 1, Arslan T. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Shirai K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Kinoshita K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Kimura T. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Nakamura S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Fujii K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Suga D. (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, Kamiya Yuta (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, Shiotani T. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
63.8% | Draw
22.4% | Fagiano Okayama
13.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sanfrecce Hiroshima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)Fagiano Okayama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Fagiano Okayama Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.47 ↓
(1.6) |
4.2 ↑
(3.74) |
6.76 ↑
(6.04) |
6.6%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Fagiano Okayama?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Hiroshima will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Okayama will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hiroshima: 45% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sanfrecce Hiroshima will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Hiroshima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Hiroshima is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Okayama: Fujita I.
(Yellow Cards)
Ichimi K.
(Yellow Cards)
Kimura T.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Okayama: Fujita I.
(Injury)
Kamiya Yuta
(Injury)
Nishikawa J.
(Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Hiroshima won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Hiroshima won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Sanfrecce Hiroshima won against Fagiano Okayama?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fagiano Okayama won against Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Fagiano Okayama has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Fagiano Okayama were as follows:
05.07.2025
Fagiano Okayama
-
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0:1
12.04.2025
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
-
Fagiano Okayama
0:1
Latest results of Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Latest results of Fagiano Okayama
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 16:7 | 23 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 10 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 16:9 | 20 |
| 3 | Machida | 10 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16:16 | 19 |
| 4 | Kawasaki Frontale | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 16:17 | 14 |
| 5 | Verdy | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14:14 | 13 |
| 6 | Kashiwa Reysol | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15:13 | 11 |
| 7 | Urawa Reds | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 8 | Mito | 9 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:18 | 10 |
| 9 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12:15 | 9 |
| 10 | Chiba | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9:16 | 8 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 10 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 20:10 | 22 |
| 2 | Gamba Osaka | 9 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 16:13 | 17 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 9 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 15:12 | 16 |
| 4 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 10 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 14:12 | 16 |
| 5 | Kyoto | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12:11 | 14 |
| 6 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10:14 | 12 |
| 7 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 8 | Cerezo Osaka | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | 11 |
| 9 | Okayama | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10:15 | 11 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:17 | 8 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
