Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Fagiano Okayama – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1 penalties
14/02/2026 at 00:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 2
  • Where to Watch on TV:
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.620.58
Ball possession
72%28%
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
41
Big chances
32
Corner kicks
61
Passes
86% (520/608)68% (161/238)
Yellow cards
03
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
0.620.58
xG on target (xGOT)
0.530.70
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
17
Blocked shots
64
Shots inside the box
67
Shots outside the box
55
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
32
Corner kicks
61
Touches in opposition box
3115
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free kicks
118
Passes
86% (520/608)68% (161/238)
Long passes
44% (31/70)27% (12/45)
Passes in final third
75% (151/202)54% (46/85)
Crosses
17% (4/24)27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.900.82
Throw ins
2020
Fouls
811
Tackles
47% (7/15)59% (10/17)
Duels won
4749
Clearances
1641
Interceptions
45
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
03
xGOT faced
0.700.53
Goals prevented
-0.30-0.47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Esaka A. ,
  • 42', Omori H. 🟨,
  • 45+3', 1 - 1, Germain R. , Suzuki A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Ogura K. 🟨,
  • 59', Kawano K. , Kimura T. ,
  • 60', Ohara M. , Kato M. ,
  • 70', Lucao , Ichimi K. ,
  • 70', Matsumoto M. , Shirai K. ,
  • 71', Ogura K. 🟨,
  • 73', Higashi S. , Suga D. ,
  • 73', Germain R. , Nakamura S. ,
  • 80', Miyamoto E. , Kamiya Yuta ,
  • 81', Esaka A. , Fujii K. ,
  • 85', Kawabe H. , Arslan T. ,
  • 85', Suzuki A. , Kinoshita K. ,
  • Penalties (5 - 4)
  • 1, Ichimi K. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 1, Arslan T. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Shirai K. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Kinoshita K. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Kimura T. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Nakamura S. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Fujii K. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Suga D. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 5, Kamiya Yuta (Penalty Awarded),
  • 5, Shiotani T. (Penalty Awarded),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sanfrecce Hiroshima
63.8%
Draw
22.4%
Fagiano Okayama
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.1% 25.3% 15.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • Fagiano Okayama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Fagiano Okayama Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.6)
    4.2
    (3.74)
    6.76
    (6.04)
    6.6%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Fagiano Okayama?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Hiroshima will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Okayama will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Hiroshima: 45%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Hiroshima (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Hiroshima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Hiroshima is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Okayama: Fujita I. (Yellow Cards) Ichimi K. (Yellow Cards) Kimura T. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Okayama: Fujita I. (Injury) Kamiya Yuta (Injury) Nishikawa J. (Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Hiroshima won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Hiroshima won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Fagiano Okayama were as follows:
    05.07.2025 Fagiano Okayama - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0:1
    12.04.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Fagiano Okayama 0:1
    Latest results of Fagiano Okayama
    Japan J1 League Table
    2026

    East
    PlWWLLPts
    1Verdy321008:48
    2FC Tokyo312006:37
    3Urawa Reds320105:27
    4Kashima Antlers320104:27
    5Machida311108:76
    6Kawasaki Frontale311017:55
    7Mito301115:73
    8Chiba300211:52
    9Yokohama F. Marinos300032:60
    10Kashiwa Reysol300034:90


    West
    PlWWLLPts
    1Sanfrecce Hiroshima321007:38
    2Kyoto311105:36
    3Gamba Osaka311103:26
    4Vissel Kobe311014:25
    5Nagoya Grampus311013:35
    6Cerezo Osaka310113:34
    7Shimizu S-Pulse310112:34
    8V-Varen Nagasaki310024:63
    9Okayama300213:62
    10Avispa Fukuoka301022:52

          Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)