Result
0:1
05/07/2025 at 05:55 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 1.70 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (151/239) | 77% (333/433) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 1.70 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.18 | 1.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (151/239) | 77% (333/433) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 27% (16/59) | 32% (22/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (49/87) | 66% (104/158) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (3/18) | 30% (9/30) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.30 | 1.11 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 63% (12/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.40 | 0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Germain V. ↓, Kinoshita K. ↑,
- 46', Nakajima Y. ↓, Tanaka S. ↑,
- 54', Kimura T. ↓, Werik Popo ↑,
- 54', Yanagi T. ↓, Motoyama H. ↑,
- 55', Germain R. ↓, Kato M. ↑,
- 65', Esaka A. 🟨,
- 71', Lucao ↓, Iwabuchi H. ↑,
- 71', Sasaki S. ↓, Higashi S. ↑,
- 82', Arai N. ↓, Maeda N. ↑,
- 86', Esaka A. ↓, Sueyoshi R. ↑,
- 86', Kamiya Yuta ↓, Takeuchi R. ↑,
- 90+7', 0 - 1, Nakamura S. ⚽, Kinoshita K. (A),
Chances of winning
Fagiano Okayama
23.4% | Draw
28% | Sanfrecce Hiroshima
48.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Fagiano Okayama - Sanfrecce Hiroshima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.06 ↑
(2.82) |
3.34 ↑
(3.14) |
1.93 ↓
(2.63) |
6.6%
(5.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Fagiano Okayama - Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Okayama will win (votes: 2 - 9.1%). Hiroshima will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hiroshima: 59.8% – 94.8%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Hiroshima (1.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sanfrecce Hiroshima will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Hiroshima (votes: 9 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 5).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Okayama may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Hiroshima is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Hiroshima: Arslan T.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Okayama won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Fagiano Okayama won against Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Fagiano Okayama has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sanfrecce Hiroshima won against Fagiano Okayama?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fagiano Okayama - Sanfrecce Hiroshima were as follows:
12.04.2025
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
-
Fagiano Okayama
0:1
Latest results of Fagiano Okayama
Latest results of Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Mito | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 | Verdy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Kawasaki Frontale | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 | Kashiwa Reysol | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 | Chiba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 | Urawa Reds | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 | FC Tokyo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 | Kashima Antlers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 | Machida | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Avispa Fukuoka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | Kyoto | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Nagoya Grampus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 | Vissel Kobe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 | Gamba Osaka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 | Okayama | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
