Fagiano Okayama vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

05/07/2025 at 05:55 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

City Light Stadium (Okayama).

J1 League - Round 23
Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.39	1.70
Ball Possession
35%	65%
Total shots
7	17
Shots on target
3	4
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
5	13
Passes
63% (151/239)	77% (333/433)
Yellow Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.39	1.70
xG on target (xGOT)
0.18	1.39
Total shots
7	17
Shots on target
3	4
Shots off target
4	8
Blocked Shots
0	5
Shots inside the Box
2	13
Shots outside the Box
5	4
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
5	13
Touches in opposition box
8	28
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
7	12
Passes
63% (151/239)	77% (333/433)
Long passes
27% (16/59)	32% (22/68)
Passes in final third
56% (49/87)	66% (104/158)
Crosses
17% (3/18)	30% (9/30)
Expected assists (xA)
0.30	1.11
Throw-ins
24	31
Fouls
12	7
Tackles
75% (6/8)	63% (12/19)
Duels won
47	59
Clearances
38	28
Interceptions
7	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	3
xGOT faced
1.39	0.18
Goals prevented
-0.40	0.18

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Germain V. ↓, Kinoshita K. ↑,
46', Nakajima Y. ↓, Tanaka S. ↑,
54', Kimura T. ↓, Werik Popo ↑,
54', Yanagi T. ↓, Motoyama H. ↑,
55', Germain R. ↓, Kato M. ↑,
65', Esaka A. 🟨,
71', Lucao ↓, Iwabuchi H. ↑,
71', Sasaki S. ↓, Higashi S. ↑,
82', Arai N. ↓, Maeda N. ↑,
86', Esaka A. ↓, Sueyoshi R. ↑,
86', Kamiya Yuta ↓, Takeuchi R. ↑,
90+7', 0 - 1, Nakamura S. ⚽, Kinoshita K. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Fagiano Okayama
23.4%

Draw
28%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
48.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

30.3%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

31.5%

34.7%

Fagiano Okayama - Sanfrecce Hiroshima Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.06 ↑ (2.82)	3.34 ↑ (3.14)	1.93 ↓ (2.63)	6.6% (5.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Fagiano Okayama - Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Okayama will win (votes: 2 - 9.1%). Hiroshima will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hiroshima: 59.8% – 94.8%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sanfrecce Hiroshima will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 5).
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Okayama may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Hiroshima is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Hiroshima: Arslan T. (Knee Injury)
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Okayama won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

How many head-to-head matches has Fagiano Okayama won against Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Fagiano Okayama has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Sanfrecce Hiroshima won against Fagiano Okayama?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Fagiano Okayama - Sanfrecce Hiroshima were as follows:

12.04.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Fagiano Okayama 0:1

Latest results of Fagiano Okayama

21.06.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Fagiano Okayama 0:1 ✺

15.06.2025 Fagiano Okayama - Avispa Fukuoka 0:1 ✺

11.06.2025 Fagiano Okayama - Giravanz Kitakyushu 0:2 ✺

01.06.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Fagiano Okayama 1:1 ✺

25.05.2025 Fagiano Okayama - Machida Zelvia 2:2 ✺

Latest results of Sanfrecce Hiroshima

02.07.2025 Vissel Kobe - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1:0 ✺

22.06.2025 Yokohama FC - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0:4 ✺

14.06.2025 Kashima Antlers - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1:1 ✺

11.06.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Brew Saga 3:1 ✺

08.06.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Avispa Fukuoka 2:1 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	38	23	7	8	58:31	27	76
2	Kashiwa Reysol	38	21	12	5	60:34	26	75
3	Kyoto	38	19	11	8	62:40	22	68
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	38	20	8	10	46:28	18	68
5	Vissel Kobe	38	18	10	10	46:33	13	64
6	Machida	38	17	9	12	52:38	14	60
7	Urawa Reds	38	16	11	11	45:39	6	59
8	Kawasaki Frontale	38	15	12	11	67:57	10	57
9	Gamba Osaka	38	17	6	15	53:55	-2	57
10	Cerezo Osaka	38	14	10	14	60:57	3	52
11	FC Tokyo	38	13	11	14	41:48	-7	50
12	Avispa Fukuoka	38	12	12	14	34:38	-4	48
13	Okayama	38	12	9	17	34:43	-9	45
14	Shimizu S-Pulse	38	11	11	16	41:51	-10	44
15	Yokohama F. Marinos	38	12	7	19	46:47	-1	43
16	Nagoya Grampus	38	11	10	17	44:56	-12	43
17	Verdy	38	11	10	17	23:41	-18	43
18	Yokohama FC	38	9	8	21	27:45	-18	35
19	Shonan Bellmare	38	8	8	22	36:63	-27	32
20	Albirex Niigata	38	4	12	22	36:67	-31	24

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League