Tokyo vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

25/05/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

New National Stadium (Tokyo).

J1 League - Round 18
Where to Watch on TV:


China	QQ Sports
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.28	1.92
Ball Possession
59%	41%
Total shots
7	18
Shots on target
1	8
Big Chances
0	3
Corner Kicks
2	7
Passes
80% (416/518)	80% (286/359)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.28	1.92
xG on target (xGOT)
0.01	2.30
Total shots
7	18
Shots on target
1	8
Shots off target
4	6
Blocked Shots
2	4
Shots inside the Box
2	10
Shots outside the Box
5	7
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
0	3
Corner Kicks
2	7
Touches in opposition box
11	27
Accurate through passes
0	2
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
11	13
Passes
80% (416/518)	80% (286/359)
Long passes
40% (19/48)	38% (18/48)
Passes in final third
65% (82/126)	67% (70/104)
Crosses
21% (3/14)	41% (9/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.40	1.39
Throw-ins
32	22
Fouls
13	11
Tackles
58% (7/12)	61% (11/18)
Duels won
52	52
Clearances
25	26
Interceptions
6	11
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	1
xGOT faced
2.30	0.01
Goals prevented
-0.70	0.01

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Shiotani T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Maeda N. ↓, Nakamura S. ↑,
49', 0 - 1, Araki H. ⚽, Arai N. (A),
60', 0 - 2, Germain R. ⚽,
62', Ko T. ↓, Higashi K. ↑,
62', Shirai K. ↓, Marcelo Ryan ↑,
73', Henrique Trevisan ↓, Morishige M. ↑,
74', Sato K. ↓, Nakagawa T. ↑,
78', Marcelo Ryan ↓, Oka T. ↑,
85', Koizumi K. 🟨,
87', Kato M. (Pen),
89', 0 - 3, Kawabe H. ⚽, Nakamura S. (A),
90', Kato M. ↓, Germain V. ↑,
90+1', Shiotani T. ↓, Koshimichi S. ↑,
90+1', Araki H. ↓, Yamasaki T. ↑,
90+4', Germain V. ↓, Matsumoto H. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Tokyo
23.1%

Draw
26.9%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.5%

26.5%

52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1%

26%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tokyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Tokyo - Sanfrecce Hiroshima Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.06 ↓ (4.39)	3.48 ↓ (3.56)	1.89 ↑ (1.81)	6.4% (6.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Tokyo - Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Tokyo will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Hiroshima will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hiroshima: 19% – 81%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Hiroshima (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

Neutral location - New National Stadium.
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 and 5).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 0.
In recent matches, Tokyo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Hiroshima is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Tokyo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Hiroshima is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Tokyo: Ogashiwa T. (Inactive)
There will not play in Hiroshima: Arslan T. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Hiroshima: Kawanami G. (Hand Injury) Nakajima Y. (Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:23. (average 1.4:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.1:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Tokyo won against Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Tokyo has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Sanfrecce Hiroshima won against Tokyo?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Tokyo - Sanfrecce Hiroshima were as follows:

31.08.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Tokyo 3:2

09.06.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Tokyo 3:1

05.06.2024 Tokyo - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1:2

02.03.2024 Tokyo - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1:1

28.10.2023 Tokyo - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1:2

Latest results of Tokyo

21.05.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo 1:0 ✺

17.05.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Tokyo 3:2 ✺

10.05.2025 Tokyo - Vissel Kobe 1:0 ✺

03.05.2025 Albirex Niigata - Tokyo 2:3 ✺

29.04.2025 Tokyo - Shimizu S-Pulse 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Sanfrecce Hiroshima

17.05.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Tokyo Verdy 2:1 ✺

11.05.2025 Gamba Osaka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0:1 ✺

07.05.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0:1 ✺

03.05.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Avispa Fukuoka 2:1 ✺

29.04.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Albirex Niigata 0:1 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	24	14	4	6	34:22	12	46
2	Kashima Antlers	24	14	2	8	36:24	12	44
3	Kashiwa Reysol	24	12	8	4	33:23	10	44
4	Kyoto	24	12	6	6	40:29	11	42
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	24	13	3	8	29:18	11	42
6	Machida	24	12	4	8	34:25	9	40
7	Kawasaki Frontale	24	10	8	6	38:26	12	38
8	Urawa Reds	23	10	7	6	32:24	8	37
9	Cerezo Osaka	24	9	7	8	37:33	4	34
10	Gamba Osaka	24	10	4	10	29:31	-2	34
11	Avispa Fukuoka	23	8	7	8	21:23	-2	31
12	Okayama	24	8	6	10	20:22	-2	30
13	Shimizu S-Pulse	24	8	6	10	29:32	-3	30
14	FC Tokyo	24	8	5	11	27:34	-7	29
15	Nagoya Grampus	24	7	7	10	28:33	-5	28
16	Verdy	24	7	7	10	15:24	-9	28
17	Shonan Bellmare	24	6	6	12	20:37	-17	24
18	Yokohama F. Marinos	24	5	6	13	23:32	-9	21
19	Yokohama FC	24	5	4	15	14:30	-16	19
20	Albirex Niigata	24	4	7	13	24:41	-17	19

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League