Result
0:3
25/05/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 18
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
China | QQ Sports |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.28 | 1.92 |
Ball Possession |
---|
59% | 41% |
Total shots |
---|
7 | 18 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 8 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
80% (416/518) | 80% (286/359) |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.28 | 1.92 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.01 | 2.30 |
Total shots |
---|
7 | 18 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 8 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
2 | 10 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 7 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 7 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
11 | 27 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 2 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 13 |
Passes |
---|
80% (416/518) | 80% (286/359) |
Long passes |
---|
40% (19/48) | 38% (18/48) |
Passes in final third |
---|
65% (82/126) | 67% (70/104) |
Crosses |
---|
21% (3/14) | 41% (9/22) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.40 | 1.39 |
Throw-ins |
---|
32 | 22 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 11 |
Tackles |
---|
58% (7/12) | 61% (11/18) |
Duels won |
---|
52 | 52 |
Clearances |
---|
25 | 26 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 11 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
5 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
2.30 | 0.01 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.70 | 0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 23', Shiotani T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', Maeda N. ↓, Nakamura S. ↑,
- 49', 0 - 1, Araki H. ⚽, Arai N. (A),
- 60', 0 - 2, Germain R. ⚽,
- 62', Ko T. ↓, Higashi K. ↑,
- 62', Shirai K. ↓, Marcelo Ryan ↑,
- 73', Henrique Trevisan ↓, Morishige M. ↑,
- 74', Sato K. ↓, Nakagawa T. ↑,
- 78', Marcelo Ryan ↓, Oka T. ↑,
- 85', Koizumi K. 🟨,
- 87', Kato M. (Pen),
- 89', 0 - 3, Kawabe H. ⚽, Nakamura S. (A),
- 90', Kato M. ↓, Germain V. ↑,
- 90+1', Shiotani T. ↓, Koshimichi S. ↑,
- 90+1', Araki H. ↓, Yamasaki T. ↑,
- 90+4', Germain V. ↓, Matsumoto H. ↑,
Chances of winning
Tokyo 23.1% | Draw 26.9% | Sanfrecce Hiroshima 50% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tokyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)Sanfrecce Hiroshima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Tokyo - Sanfrecce Hiroshima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.06 ↓ (4.39) |
3.48 ↓ (3.56) |
1.89 ↑ (1.81) |
6.4% (6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Tokyo - Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Tokyo will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Hiroshima will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hiroshima: 19% – 81%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Hiroshima (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Neutral location - New National Stadium.
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 0.
- In recent matches, Tokyo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Hiroshima is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Tokyo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Hiroshima is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Tokyo: Ogashiwa T.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Hiroshima: Arslan T.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Hiroshima: Kawanami G.
(Hand Injury)
Nakajima Y.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:23. (average 1.4:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Tokyo won against Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Tokyo has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sanfrecce Hiroshima won against Tokyo?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tokyo - Sanfrecce Hiroshima were as follows:
31.08.2024
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
-
Tokyo
3:2
09.06.2024
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
-
Tokyo
3:1
05.06.2024
Tokyo
-
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1:2
02.03.2024
Tokyo
-
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1:1
28.10.2023
Tokyo
-
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1:2
Latest results of Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Vissel Kobe | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 34:22 | 12 | 46 |
2 | Kashima Antlers | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 36:24 | 12 | 44 |
3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 33:23 | 10 | 44 |
4 | Kyoto | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 40:29 | 11 | 42 |
5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 29:18 | 11 | 42 |
6 | Machida | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 40 |
7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 38:26 | 12 | 38 |
8 | Urawa Reds | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 32:24 | 8 | 37 |
9 | Cerezo Osaka | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 37:33 | 4 | 34 |
10 | Gamba Osaka | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 29:31 | -2 | 34 |
11 | Avispa Fukuoka | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 21:23 | -2 | 31 |
12 | Okayama | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 20:22 | -2 | 30 |
13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 30 |
14 | FC Tokyo | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
15 | Nagoya Grampus | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 28 |
16 | Verdy | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 15:24 | -9 | 28 |
17 | Shonan Bellmare | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 20:37 | -17 | 24 |
18 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23:32 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Yokohama FC | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 14:30 | -16 | 19 |
20 | Albirex Niigata | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 19 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League