Tokyo vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Tokyo - Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Result
0:3
25/05/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 18
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaQQ Sports
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.281.92
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
718
Shots on target
18
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
27
Passes
80% (416/518)80% (286/359)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.281.92
xG on target (xGOT)
0.012.30
Total shots
718
Shots on target
18
Shots off target
46
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
210
Shots outside the Box
57
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
27
Touches in opposition box
1127
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1113
Passes
80% (416/518)80% (286/359)
Long passes
40% (19/48)38% (18/48)
Passes in final third
65% (82/126)67% (70/104)
Crosses
21% (3/14)41% (9/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.401.39
Throw-ins
3222
Fouls
1311
Tackles
58% (7/12)61% (11/18)
Duels won
5252
Clearances
2526
Interceptions
611
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
2.300.01
Goals prevented
-0.700.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 23', Shiotani T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 46', Maeda N. , Nakamura S. ,
  • 49', 0 - 1, Araki H. , Arai N. (A),
  • 60', 0 - 2, Germain R. ,
  • 62', Ko T. , Higashi K. ,
  • 62', Shirai K. , Marcelo Ryan ,
  • 73', Henrique Trevisan , Morishige M. ,
  • 74', Sato K. , Nakagawa T. ,
  • 78', Marcelo Ryan , Oka T. ,
  • 85', Koizumi K. 🟨,
  • 87', Kato M. (Pen),
  • 89', 0 - 3, Kawabe H. , Nakamura S. (A),
  • 90', Kato M. , Germain V. ,
  • 90+1', Shiotani T. , Koshimichi S. ,
  • 90+1', Araki H. , Yamasaki T. ,
  • 90+4', Germain V. , Matsumoto H. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Tokyo
23.1%
Draw
26.9%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.5% 26.5% 52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1% 26% 52.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tokyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • Tokyo - Sanfrecce Hiroshima Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.06
    (4.39)
    3.48
    (3.56)
    1.89
    (1.81)
    6.4%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Tokyo - Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Tokyo will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Hiroshima will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Hiroshima: 19%81%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Hiroshima (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Neutral location - New National Stadium.
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 0.
    • In recent matches, Tokyo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Hiroshima is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Tokyo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Hiroshima is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Tokyo: Ogashiwa T. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Hiroshima: Arslan T. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Hiroshima: Kawanami G. (Hand Injury) Nakajima Y. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:23. (average 1.4:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.1:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tokyo - Sanfrecce Hiroshima were as follows:
    31.08.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Tokyo 3:2
    09.06.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Tokyo 3:1
    05.06.2024 Tokyo - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1:2
    02.03.2024 Tokyo - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1:1
    28.10.2023 Tokyo - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1:2
    Latest results of Tokyo
    21.05.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo 1:0
    17.05.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Tokyo 3:2
    10.05.2025 Tokyo - Vissel Kobe 1:0
    03.05.2025 Albirex Niigata - Tokyo 2:3
    29.04.2025 Tokyo - Shimizu S-Pulse 0:2
    Latest results of Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers31194848:282061
    2Vissel Kobe31176841:261557
    3Kyoto31168754:332156
    4Kashiwa Reysol311511543:291456
    5Machida31157947:331452
    6Sanfrecce Hiroshima31157935:211452
    7Kawasaki Frontale31149855:401551
    8Urawa Reds31139939:32748
    9Gamba Osaka311441342:45-346
    10Cerezo Osaka3111101048:45343
    11Shimizu S-Pulse3110101133:36-340
    12Okayama311171328:33-540
    13FC Tokyo311171333:42-940
    14Avispa Fukuoka319101230:35-537
    15Nagoya Grampus31991338:43-536
    16Verdy31981420:35-1535
    17Yokohama F. Marinos31771729:41-1228
    18Yokohama FC31771720:36-1628
    19Shonan Bellmare31671828:55-2725
    20Albirex Niigata31491827:50-2321

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          Relegation ~ J2 League