Tokyo vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Tokyo - Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Result
0:3
25/05/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 18
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaQQ Sports
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.281.92
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
718
Shots on target
18
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
27
Passes
80% (416/518)80% (286/359)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.281.92
xG on target (xGOT)
0.012.30
Total shots
718
Shots on target
18
Shots off target
46
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
210
Shots outside the Box
57
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
27
Touches in opposition box
1127
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1113
Passes
80% (416/518)80% (286/359)
Long passes
40% (19/48)38% (18/48)
Passes in final third
65% (82/126)67% (70/104)
Crosses
21% (3/14)41% (9/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.401.39
Throw-ins
3222
Fouls
1311
Tackles
58% (7/12)61% (11/18)
Duels won
5252
Clearances
2526
Interceptions
611
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
2.300.01
Goals prevented
-0.700.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 23', Shiotani T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 46', Maeda N. , Nakamura S. ,
  • 49', 0 - 1, Araki H. , Arai N. (A),
  • 60', 0 - 2, Germain R. ,
  • 62', Ko T. , Higashi K. ,
  • 62', Shirai K. , Marcelo Ryan ,
  • 73', Henrique Trevisan , Morishige M. ,
  • 74', Sato K. , Nakagawa T. ,
  • 78', Marcelo Ryan , Oka T. ,
  • 85', Koizumi K. 🟨,
  • 87', Kato M. (Pen),
  • 89', 0 - 3, Kawabe H. , Nakamura S. (A),
  • 90', Kato M. , Germain V. ,
  • 90+1', Shiotani T. , Koshimichi S. ,
  • 90+1', Araki H. , Yamasaki T. ,
  • 90+4', Germain V. , Matsumoto H. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Tokyo
23.1%
Draw
26.9%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.5% 26.5% 52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1% 26% 52.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tokyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • Tokyo - Sanfrecce Hiroshima Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.06
    (4.39)
    3.48
    (3.56)
    1.89
    (1.81)
    6.4%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Tokyo - Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Tokyo will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Hiroshima will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Hiroshima: 19%81%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Hiroshima (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Neutral location - New National Stadium.
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 0.
    • In recent matches, Tokyo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Hiroshima is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Tokyo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Hiroshima is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Tokyo: Ogashiwa T. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Hiroshima: Arslan T. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Hiroshima: Kawanami G. (Hand Injury) Nakajima Y. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:23. (average 1.4:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.1:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tokyo - Sanfrecce Hiroshima were as follows:
    31.08.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Tokyo 3:2
    09.06.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Tokyo 3:1
    05.06.2024 Tokyo - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1:2
    02.03.2024 Tokyo - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1:1
    28.10.2023 Tokyo - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1:2
    Latest results of Tokyo
    21.05.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo 1:0
    17.05.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Tokyo 3:2
    10.05.2025 Tokyo - Vissel Kobe 1:0
    03.05.2025 Albirex Niigata - Tokyo 2:3
    29.04.2025 Tokyo - Shimizu S-Pulse 0:2
    Latest results of Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vissel Kobe24144634:221246
    2Kashima Antlers24142836:241244
    3Kashiwa Reysol24128433:231044
    4Kyoto24126640:291142
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima24133829:181142
    6Machida24124834:25940
    7Kawasaki Frontale24108638:261238
    8Urawa Reds23107632:24837
    9Cerezo Osaka2497837:33434
    10Gamba Osaka241041029:31-234
    11Avispa Fukuoka2387821:23-231
    12Okayama24861020:22-230
    13Shimizu S-Pulse24861029:32-330
    14FC Tokyo24851127:34-729
    15Nagoya Grampus24771028:33-528
    16Verdy24771015:24-928
    17Shonan Bellmare24661220:37-1724
    18Yokohama F. Marinos24561323:32-921
    19Yokohama FC24541514:30-1619
    20Albirex Niigata24471324:41-1719

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