Result
1:0
13/04/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 3
- Referee: Fernandes de Lima F. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.66 | 0.12 |
Ball Possession |
---|
59% | 41% |
Total shots |
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13 | 4 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
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3 | 3 |
Passes |
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87% (449/515) | 82% (293/357) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.66 | 0.12 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.53 | 0.03 |
Total shots |
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13 | 4 |
Shots on target |
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4 | 1 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
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5 | 3 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
8 | 1 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
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16 | 10 |
Offsides |
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1 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
22 | 16 |
Passes |
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87% (449/515) | 82% (293/357) |
Long passes |
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56% (24/43) | 50% (19/38) |
Passes in final third |
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76% (119/157) | 60% (29/48) |
Crosses |
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18% (3/17) | 18% (2/11) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.42 | 0.27 |
Fouls |
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16 | 22 |
Tackles |
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53% (8/15) | 73% (11/15) |
Duels won |
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51 | 47 |
Clearances Total |
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10 | 28 |
Interceptions |
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6 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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1 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
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0.03 | 0.53 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.03 | -0.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 31', Ze Ivaldo 🟨,
- 37', Cano G. 🟨,
- 39', Joao Paulo 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Hercules ↓, Bernal F. ↑,
- 46', Tiquinho Soares ↓, Deivid Washington ↑,
- 46', Thaciano ↓, Soteldo Y. ↑,
- 46', Rollheiser B. ↓, Neymar ↑,
- 60', Neymar 🟨,
- 69', Canobbio A. ↓, PH Ganso ↑,
- 69', Lima ↓, Keno ↑,
- 70', Diego Pituca ↓, Gabriel Bontempo ↑,
- 75', Soteldo Y. ↓, Gabriel Veron ↑,
- 78', Bernal F. 🟨,
- 83', Godoy L. 🟨,
- 85', Cano G. ↓, Everaldo ↑,
- 89', Martinelli ↓, Thiago Santos ↑,
- 90+6', 1 - 0, Samuel Xavier ⚽, Arias J. (A),
Chances of winning
Fluminense 50.6% | Draw 29.6% | Santos 19.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (-3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Fluminense - Santos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.9 ↓ (1.98) |
3.23 ↑ (3.2) |
4.69 ↑ (4.1) |
4.8% (6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Fluminense - Santos?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 5 - 100%).
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Fluminense will win
(13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Fluminense won 2.
- Fluminense is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Santos is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Fluminense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Fluminense is a favorite.
- There will not play in Fluminense: Fuentes G.
(Hamstring Injury)
Isaque Silva
(Inactive)
Otavio
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Renato Augusto
(Shoulder Injury)
Riquelme Felipe
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Santos: Aderlan
(Knee Injury)
Hyan
(Inactive)
Neymar
(Hamstring Injury)
Souza
(Ankle Injury)
Ze Rafael
(Back Injury)
- There are questionable in Fluminense: Guga
(Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Fluminense won 8 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 24:25 (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Fluminense won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14:10 (average 1.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Fluminense won against Santos?
Fluminense has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Santos won against Fluminense?
Santos has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fluminense - Santos were as follows:
29.11.2023
Santos
-
Fluminense
0:3
29.07.2023
Fluminense
-
Santos
1:0
Latest results of Fluminense
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Cruzeiro | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 27:9 | 18 | 34 |
2 | Flamengo RJ | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 29:6 | 23 | 33 |
3 | Palmeiras | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 29 |
4 | Bragantino | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 19:17 | 2 | 27 |
5 | Botafogo RJ | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17:7 | 10 | 25 |
6 | Bahia | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Mirassol | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 23:13 | 10 | 24 |
8 | Fluminense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 16:17 | -1 | 20 |
9 | Atletico-MG | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 20 |
10 | Internacional | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 20 |
11 | Corinthians | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 |
12 | Sao Paulo | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 15:18 | -3 | 19 |
13 | Ceara | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 14:15 | -1 | 18 |
14 | Gremio | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14:20 | -6 | 17 |
15 | Vitoria | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13:17 | -4 | 16 |
16 | Vasco | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15:19 | -4 | 14 |
17 | Santos | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 13:19 | -6 | 14 |
18 | Juventude | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 10:29 | -19 | 11 |
19 | Fortaleza | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 13:20 | -7 | 11 |
20 | Sport Recife | 14 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 7:23 | -16 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet