Fluminense vs Santos – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Fluminense - Santos
Result
1:0
13/04/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 3
  • Referee: Fernandes de Lima F. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.660.12
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
134
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
87% (449/515)82% (293/357)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
0.660.12
xG on target (xGOT)
0.530.03
Total shots
134
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
40
Shots inside the Box
53
Shots outside the Box
81
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
1610
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
2216
Passes
87% (449/515)82% (293/357)
Long passes
56% (24/43)50% (19/38)
Passes in final third
76% (119/157)60% (29/48)
Crosses
18% (3/17)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.420.27
Fouls
1622
Tackles
53% (8/15)73% (11/15)
Duels won
5147
Clearances Total
1028
Interceptions
67
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.030.53
Goals prevented
0.03-0.47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 31', Ze Ivaldo 🟨,
  • 37', Cano G. 🟨,
  • 39', Joao Paulo 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Hercules , Bernal F. ,
  • 46', Tiquinho Soares , Deivid Washington ,
  • 46', Thaciano , Soteldo Y. ,
  • 46', Rollheiser B. , Neymar ,
  • 60', Neymar 🟨,
  • 69', Canobbio A. , PH Ganso ,
  • 69', Lima , Keno ,
  • 70', Diego Pituca , Gabriel Bontempo ,
  • 75', Soteldo Y. , Gabriel Veron ,
  • 78', Bernal F. 🟨,
  • 83', Godoy L. 🟨,
  • 85', Cano G. , Everaldo ,
  • 89', Martinelli , Thiago Santos ,
  • 90+6', 1 - 0, Samuel Xavier , Arias J. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Fluminense
50.6%
Draw
29.6%
Santos
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.6% 29.4% 23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6% 29.4% 23%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • Fluminense - Santos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.9
    (1.98)
    3.23
    (3.2)
    4.69
    (4.1)
    4.8%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Fluminense - Santos?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 5 - 100%).
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Fluminense will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 79.37%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Fluminense won 2.
    • Fluminense is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Santos is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Fluminense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Fluminense is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Fluminense: Fuentes G. (Hamstring Injury) Isaque Silva (Inactive) Otavio (Achilles Tendon Injury) Renato Augusto (Shoulder Injury) Riquelme Felipe (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Santos: Aderlan (Knee Injury) Hyan (Inactive) Neymar (Hamstring Injury) Souza (Ankle Injury) Ze Rafael (Back Injury)
    • There are questionable in Fluminense: Guga (Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Fluminense won 8 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 24:25 (average 1.2:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Fluminense won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14:10 (average 1.4:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fluminense - Santos were as follows:
    29.11.2023 Santos - Fluminense 0:3
    29.07.2023 Fluminense - Santos 1:0
    Latest results of Fluminense
    01.04.2025 Once Caldas - Fluminense 0:1
    29.03.2025 Fortaleza - Fluminense 2:0
    12.03.2025 Fluminense - Flamengo 1:2
    Latest results of Santos
    06.04.2025 Santos - Bahia 2:2
    30.03.2025 Vasco da Gama - Santos 2:1
    09.03.2025 Corinthians - Santos 2:1
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cruzeiro16104227:91834
    2Flamengo RJ15103229:62333
    3Palmeiras1492318:12629
    4Bragantino1683519:17227
    5Botafogo RJ1474317:71025
    6Bahia1474317:13425
    7Mirassol1466223:131024
    8Fluminense1462616:17-120
    9Atletico-MG1455416:15120
    10Internacional1555516:19-320
    11Corinthians1655615:19-420
    12Sao Paulo1647515:18-319
    13Ceara1553714:15-118
    14Gremio1445514:20-617
    15Vitoria1637613:17-416
    16Vasco1442815:19-414
    17Santos1542913:19-614
    18Juventude1432910:29-1911
    19Fortaleza1425713:20-711
    20Sport Recife1404107:23-164

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