Result
1:0
13/04/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 3
- Referee: Fernandes de Lima F. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.12 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (449/515) | 82% (293/357) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.12 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (449/515) | 82% (293/357) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (24/43) | 50% (19/38) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (119/157) | 60% (29/48) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (3/17) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 0.27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 22 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 47 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 10 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.03 | 0.53 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.03 | -0.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 31', Ze Ivaldo 🟨,
- 37', Cano G. 🟨,
- 39', Joao Paulo 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Hercules ↓, Bernal F. ↑,
- 46', Tiquinho Soares ↓, Deivid Washington ↑,
- 46', Thaciano ↓, Soteldo Y. ↑,
- 46', Rollheiser B. ↓, Neymar ↑,
- 60', Neymar 🟨,
- 69', Canobbio A. ↓, PH Ganso ↑,
- 69', Lima ↓, Keno ↑,
- 70', Diego Pituca ↓, Gabriel Bontempo ↑,
- 75', Soteldo Y. ↓, Gabriel Veron ↑,
- 78', Bernal F. 🟨,
- 83', Godoy L. 🟨,
- 85', Cano G. ↓, Everaldo ↑,
- 89', Martinelli ↓, Thiago Santos ↑,
- 90+6', 1 - 0, Samuel Xavier ⚽, Arias J. (A),
Chances of winning
Fluminense
50.6% | Draw
29.6% | Santos
19.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (-3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Fluminense - Santos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↓
(1.98) |
3.23 ↑
(3.2) |
4.69 ↑
(4.1) |
4.8%
(6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Fluminense - Santos?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 5 - 100%).
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Fluminense will win
(13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Fluminense won 2.
- Fluminense is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Santos is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Fluminense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Fluminense is a favorite.
- There will not play in Fluminense: Fuentes G.
(Hamstring Injury)
Isaque Silva
(Inactive)
Otavio
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Renato Augusto
(Shoulder Injury)
Riquelme Felipe
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Santos: Aderlan
(Knee Injury)
Hyan
(Inactive)
Neymar
(Hamstring Injury)
Souza
(Ankle Injury)
Ze Rafael
(Back Injury)
- There are questionable in Fluminense: Guga
(Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Fluminense won 8 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 24:25 (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Fluminense won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14:10 (average 1.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Fluminense won against Santos?
Fluminense has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Santos won against Fluminense?
Santos has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fluminense - Santos were as follows:
29.11.2023
Santos
-
Fluminense
0:3
29.07.2023
Fluminense
-
Santos
1:0
Latest results of Fluminense
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cruzeiro | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 27:9 | 18 | 34 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 29:6 | 23 | 33 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 29 |
| 4 | Bragantino | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 19:17 | 2 | 27 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17:7 | 10 | 25 |
| 6 | Bahia | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 25 |
| 7 | Mirassol | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 23:13 | 10 | 24 |
| 8 | Fluminense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 16:17 | -1 | 20 |
| 9 | Atletico-MG | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 20 |
| 10 | Internacional | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 20 |
| 11 | Corinthians | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 15:18 | -3 | 19 |
| 13 | Ceara | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 14:15 | -1 | 18 |
| 14 | Gremio | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14:20 | -6 | 17 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13:17 | -4 | 16 |
| 16 | Vasco | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15:19 | -4 | 14 |
| 17 | Santos | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 13:19 | -6 | 14 |
| 18 | Juventude | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 10:29 | -19 | 11 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 13:20 | -7 | 11 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 14 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 7:23 | -16 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
