Result
3:0
28/11/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 36
- Referee: Fernandes de Lima F. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 1 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.40 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (322/376) | 83% (290/351) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.40 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.46 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (322/376) | 83% (290/351) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 64% (23/36) | 62% (21/34) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (92/118) | 77% (73/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (3/20) | 10% (1/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.41 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (13/17) | 53% (10/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.46 | 1.55 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.46 | -0.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 25', 1 - 0, Neymar ⚽, Guilherme (A),
- 36', 2 - 0, Lucas Kal (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Tiquinho Soares ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
- 46', Pablo ↓, Hyoran ↑,
- 46', Lucas Kal ↓, Gomes do Nascimento A. ↑,
- 60', Guilherme ↓, Rollheiser B. ↑,
- 61', Arao W. ↓, Ze Rafael ↑,
- 65', Rivera C. 🟨,
- 67', 3 - 0, Joao Schmidt ⚽, Neymar (A),
- 75', Matheusinho ↓, Igor Carius ↑,
- 76', Barreal A. ↓, Robson Junior ↑,
- 76', Matheus Alexandre ↓, Aderlan ↑,
- 84', Hyoran ↓, Romarinho ↑,
- 85', Aderlan 🟨,
- 90', Neymar ↓, Gabriel Bontempo ↑,
Chances of winning
Santos
71% | Draw
17.7% | Sport Recife
11.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santos's performance.Sport Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos than the current prediction. (-21.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santos that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sport Recife could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Santos - Sport Recife Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.35 ↓
(1.47) |
5.33 ↑
(4.4) |
8.52 ↑
(7.36) |
4.4%
(4.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Santos - Sport Recife?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Santos will win (votes: 12 - 92.3%). Recife will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Santos: 77.8% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- EH -1 - Santos (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Santos will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Santos (votes: 8 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos won 0.
- In recent matches, Santos has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Recife has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Recently, Recife has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Santos is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Recife: Denis
(Knee Injury)
Derik Lacerda
(Inactive)
Hereda
(Health problems)
Kevyson
(Yellow Cards)
Pedro Augusto
(Hip Injury)
Ze Lucas
(International duty)
Ze Roberto
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santos won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:24. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Santos won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:8. (average 1.8:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Santos won against Sport Recife?
Santos has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sport Recife won against Santos?
Sport Recife has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Santos - Sport Recife were as follows:
26.07.2025
Sport Recife
-
Santos
2:2
24.11.2024
Sport Recife
-
Santos
2:1
02.08.2024
Santos
-
Sport Recife
1:1
Latest results of Sport Recife
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Bahia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Corinthians | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Bragantino | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | Chapecoense-SC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8:6 | 2 | 5 |
| 9 | Mirassol | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 10 | Coritiba | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Flamengo RJ | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Botafogo RJ | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Gremio | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 | Vitoria | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 | Atletico-MG | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 2 |
| 16 | Remo | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5:7 | -2 | 2 |
| 17 | Vasco | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
| 18 | Santos | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 1 |
| 19 | Internacional | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
| 20 | Cruzeiro | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
