Result
3:0
28/11/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 36
- Referee: Fernandes de Lima F. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 1 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.40 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (322/376) | 83% (290/351) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.40 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.46 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (322/376) | 83% (290/351) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 64% (23/36) | 62% (21/34) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (92/118) | 77% (73/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (3/20) | 10% (1/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.41 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (13/17) | 53% (10/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.46 | 1.55 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.46 | -0.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 25', 1 - 0, Neymar ⚽, Guilherme (A),
- 36', 2 - 0, Lucas Kal (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Tiquinho Soares ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
- 46', Pablo ↓, Hyoran ↑,
- 46', Lucas Kal ↓, Gomes do Nascimento A. ↑,
- 60', Guilherme ↓, Rollheiser B. ↑,
- 61', Arao W. ↓, Ze Rafael ↑,
- 65', Rivera C. 🟨,
- 67', 3 - 0, Joao Schmidt ⚽, Neymar (A),
- 75', Matheusinho ↓, Igor Carius ↑,
- 76', Barreal A. ↓, Robson Junior ↑,
- 76', Matheus Alexandre ↓, Aderlan ↑,
- 84', Hyoran ↓, Romarinho ↑,
- 85', Aderlan 🟨,
- 90', Neymar ↓, Gabriel Bontempo ↑,
Chances of winning
Santos
71% | Draw
17.7% | Sport Recife
11.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Santos - Sport Recife Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.35 ↓
(1.47) |
5.33 ↑
(4.4) |
8.52 ↑
(7.36) |
4.4%
(4.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Santos - Sport Recife?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Santos will win (votes: 12 - 92.3%). Recife will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Santos: 77.8% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Santos will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos won 0.
- In recent matches, Santos has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Recife has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Recently, Recife has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Santos is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Recife: Denis
(Knee Injury)
Derik Lacerda
(Inactive)
Hereda
(Health problems)
Kevyson
(Yellow Cards)
Pedro Augusto
(Hip Injury)
Ze Lucas
(International duty)
Ze Roberto
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santos won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:24. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Santos won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:8. (average 1.8:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Santos won against Sport Recife?
Santos has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sport Recife won against Santos?
Sport Recife has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Santos - Sport Recife were as follows:
26.07.2025
Sport Recife
-
Santos
2:2
24.11.2024
Sport Recife
-
Santos
2:1
02.08.2024
Santos
-
Sport Recife
1:1
Latest results of Sport Recife
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ ✔ | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 74:24 | 50 | 75 |
| 2 | Palmeiras ✔ | 36 | 21 | 7 | 8 | 60:32 | 28 | 70 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 35 | 19 | 11 | 5 | 52:25 | 27 | 68 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 36 | 17 | 12 | 7 | 58:36 | 22 | 63 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 36 | 17 | 7 | 12 | 46:38 | 8 | 58 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 35 | 16 | 10 | 9 | 50:32 | 18 | 58 |
| 7 | Bahia | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 48:44 | 4 | 57 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 40:46 | -6 | 48 |
| 9 | Gremio | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 42:48 | -6 | 46 |
| 10 | Vasco | 36 | 13 | 6 | 17 | 55:53 | 2 | 45 |
| 11 | Bragantino | 36 | 13 | 6 | 17 | 40:54 | -14 | 45 |
| 12 | Corinthians | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 38:42 | -4 | 45 |
| 13 | Atletico-MG | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38:40 | -2 | 45 |
| 14 | Ceara | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 32:35 | -3 | 42 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 34:48 | -14 | 42 |
| 16 | Santos | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 39:50 | -11 | 41 |
| 17 | Internacional | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 41:53 | -12 | 41 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 35 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 38:53 | -15 | 37 |
| 19 | Juventude | 36 | 9 | 7 | 20 | 34:65 | -31 | 34 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 36 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 28:69 | -41 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
Clinched Spots for Teams
Flamengo RJ is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
Palmeiras is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
