Aretxabaleta vs Santurtzi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Aretxabaleta - Santurtzi
Result
1:1
09/03/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 36', 1 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 82', 1 - 1, Castillo Marcilla A. ,

Chances of winning


Aretxabaleta
41.4%
Draw
26.7%
Santurtzi
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.6% 27.6% 23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8% 27.7% 23.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aretxabaleta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aretxabaleta's form might have worsened.
  • Santurtzi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Santurtzi's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aretxabaleta than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aretxabaleta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santurtzi than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Santurtzi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Aretxabaleta - Santurtzi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (1.87)
    3.4
    (3.3)
    2.86
    (3.82)
    9.9%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 15).
    • Recent matches Aretxabaleta is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Santurtzi is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recently Santurtzi have a series of home games.
    • In this match Aretxabaleta is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Aretxabaleta won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aretxabaleta - Santurtzi were as follows:
    27.10.2024 Santurtzi - Aretxabaleta 0:0
    Latest results of Aretxabaleta
    23.02.2025 Aretxabaleta - Pasaia 2:1
    16.02.2025 San Ignacio - Aretxabaleta 4:1
    09.02.2025 Aretxabaleta - Basconia 1:4
    01.02.2025 Leioa - Aretxabaleta 2:1
    19.01.2025 Aretxabaleta - San Viator 2:1
    Latest results of Santurtzi
    01.03.2025 Santurtzi - San Viator 5:0
    22.02.2025 Portugalete - Santurtzi 2:2
    16.02.2025 Santurtzi - Eibar C 3:0
    19.01.2025 Santurtzi - Urduliz 2:0
    12.01.2025 Santurtzi - Lagun Onak 2:3
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SocuellamosCayon2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2CastellonenseBurgos CF B0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3CortesBeasain0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Girona BSan Fernando2 : 0, 1 : 0
    5PulpilenoSarriana2 : 3, 0 : 0
    6LlerenenseLealtad1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Atletico CentralJaen1 : 2, 0 : 1
    8PorreresAtletico Monzon2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9VareaRayo Vallecano B0 : 3, 1 : 2