Aretxabaleta vs Santurtzi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
04/01/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 20', 1 - 0, ,
  • 21', 1 - 1, Hierro I. ,
  • 32', 1 - 2, Hernandez B. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Aretxabaleta
39.2%
Draw
30.2%
Santurtzi
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.7% 30.2% 31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5% 30.8% 30.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aretxabaleta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Santurtzi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aretxabaleta than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santurtzi than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Aretxabaleta - Santurtzi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.3
    (2.3)
    2.99
    (2.95)
    2.95
    (2.87)
    10.7%
    (12.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 12).
    • Aretxabaleta has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Santurtzi has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Aretxabaleta won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Aretxabaleta won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aretxabaleta - Santurtzi were as follows:
    09.03.2025 Aretxabaleta - Santurtzi 1:1
    27.10.2024 Santurtzi - Aretxabaleta 0:0
    Latest results of Aretxabaleta
    14.12.2025 Aretxabaleta - Pasaia 1:0
    06.12.2025 Lagun Onak - Aretxabaleta 2:0
    23.11.2025 Aretxabaleta - Deusto 0:2
    16.11.2025 Portugalete - Aretxabaleta 3:2
    Latest results of Santurtzi
    20.12.2025 Santurtzi - Zamudio 2:0
    14.12.2025 Santurtzi - Zarautz KE 2:1
    22.11.2025 Santurtzi - Pasaia 1:3
    16.11.2025 Lagun Onak - Santurtzi 1:2
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Portugalete27214258:174167
    2Leioa27164740:251552
    3Touring KE27138636:261047
    4Lagun Onak27144941:261546
    5Derio27144945:311446
    6Aurrera de Vitoria27144935:31446
    7Alaves C27126944:311342
    8San Ignacio27126927:20742
    9UD Aretxabaleta271151144:44038
    10Durango2799929:28136
    11Real Sociedad C271131329:35-636
    12Santurtzi277101027:35-831
    13Pasaia27771320:32-1228
    14Eibar C27761430:43-1327
    15Anorga27831626:49-2327
    16Zamudio27751528:43-1526
    17Zarautz KE27641722:50-2822
    18SD Deusto27461718:33-1521

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