Result
0:2
02/11/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 31
- Referee: Sampaio W. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Record, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 1.91 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 93% (518/556) | 82% (294/358) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 1.91 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.97 | 1.87 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 93% (518/556) | 82% (294/358) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 71% (24/34) | 36% (16/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 85% (130/153) | 63% (49/78) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (6/33) | 29% (2/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.87 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 47% (9/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.87 | 1.97 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.13 | 1.97 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 45+5', Paulo Henrique 🟨,
- 45+7', 0 - 1, Lucas Moura (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 47', Moreira N. 🟨,
- 58', Cauan Barros ↓, Matheus Franca ↑,
- 58', Moreira N. ↓, Vegetti P. ↑,
- 66', Tapia G. ↓, Ferreira ↑,
- 66', Lucas Moura ↓, Rigoni E. ↑,
- 72', Franco A. 🟨,
- 73', Bobadilla D. ↓, Luiz Gustavo ↑,
- 73', Marcos Antonio ↓, Alisson ↑,
- 75', Diaz E. 🟨,
- 76', Tche Tche ↓, GB ↑,
- 83', Lucas Piton ↓, David ↑,
- 83', Coutinho ↓, Mateus Carvalho ↑,
- 83', Mailton ↓, Ferraresi N. ↑,
- 87', 0 - 2, Luiz Gustavo ⚽, Ferreira (A),
Chances of winning
Vasco da Gama
40.3% | Draw
31.1% | São Paulo
28.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Vasco da Gama - São Paulo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.35 ↑
(2.29) |
3.06 ↓
(3.11) |
3.28 ↓
(3.34) |
5.7%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Vasco da Gama - São Paulo?
Users Predictions:
28 users predict this event. Vasco will win (votes: 20 - 71.4%). São Paulo will win (votes: 6 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vasco: 54.7% – 88.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Vasco (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - São Paulo (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Vasco (votes: 5 - 62.5%). São Paulo (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 2.
- Vasco is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, São Paulo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Vasco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Vasco is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Vasco: Adson
(Broken Leg)
Garre B.
(Injury)
Jair
(Knee Injury)
Rayan
(Injury)
- There will not play in São Paulo: Andre Silva
(Knee Injury)
Dinenno J.
(Inactive)
Jonathan Calleri
(Knee Injury)
Luan Silva
(Muscle Injury)
Luciano
(Yellow Cards)
Maik
(Yellow Cards)
Oscar
(Calf Injury)
Ryan Francisco
(Knee Injury)
Soares C.
(Toe Injury)
Toloi R.
(Hamstring Injury)
Wendell
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 22:32. (average 1.1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vasco won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.3:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Vasco da Gama won against São Paulo?
Vasco da Gama has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has São Paulo won against Vasco da Gama?
São Paulo has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vasco da Gama - São Paulo were as follows:
12.06.2025
São Paulo
-
Vasco da Gama
1:3
16.10.2024
São Paulo
-
Vasco da Gama
3:0
22.06.2024
Vasco da Gama
-
São Paulo
4:1
07.10.2023
Vasco da Gama
-
São Paulo
0:0
20.05.2023
São Paulo
-
Vasco da Gama
4:2
Latest results of Vasco da Gama
Latest results of São Paulo
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Corinthians | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Bahia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 7 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 7 |
| 7 | Bragantino | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 | Gremio | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Chapecoense-SC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8:6 | 2 | 5 |
| 10 | Mirassol | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 11 | Flamengo RJ | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
| 13 | Santos | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 4 |
| 14 | Botafogo RJ | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 3 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 16 | Remo | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6:8 | -2 | 3 |
| 17 | Atletico-MG | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 2 |
| 18 | Internacional | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 | Cruzeiro | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:9 | -5 | 2 |
| 20 | Vasco | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
