Result
1:3
12/06/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 12
- Referee: Klein R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globo Internacional TV, Globoplay, Premiere, Rede Globo, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 1.81 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (394/465) | 85% (383/452) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 1.81 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.06 | 3.25 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (394/465) | 85% (383/452) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (24/54) | 53% (20/38) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (79/107) | 68% (52/76) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (3/19) | 13% (2/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.76 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 72% (13/18) | 65% (11/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.25 | 0.06 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.25 | -0.64 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 26', 0 - 1, Rayan ⚽, Paulo Henrique (A),
- 33', Luciano 🟨,
- 38', Robert Arboleda 🟨,
- 40', 0 - 2, Moreira N. ⚽,
- 45', Andre Silva 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Pablo Maia ↓, Bobadilla D. ↑,
- 46', Diaz E. ↓, Wendell ↑,
- 46', Lucca Marques ↓, Dinenno J. ↑,
- 59', Joao Victor 🟨,
- 69', 0 - 3, Vegetti P. ⚽, Paulo Henrique (A),
- 71', Hugo Moura 🟨,
- 75', Paulo Henrique ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
- 81', Soares C. ↓, Sabino ↑,
- 81', Andre Silva ↓, Ryan Francisco ↑,
- 87', Dinenno J. 🟨,
- 88', Coutinho ↓, Adson ↑,
- 88', Vegetti P. ↓, Alex Teixeira ↑,
- 88', Tche Tche ↓, Mateus Carvalho ↑,
- 90+1', Moreira N. ↓, Augusto L. ↑,
- 90+3', 1 - 3, Ryan Francisco ⚽, Alisson (A),
Chances of winning
São Paulo
51.9% | Draw
28.9% | Vasco da Gama
19.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
São Paulo - Vasco da Gama Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83 ↓
(1.97) |
3.28
(3.28) |
4.84 ↑
(4.17) |
5.8%
(5.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for São Paulo - Vasco da Gama?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. São Paulo (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
São Paulo will win
(14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Recently, Vasco has had a series of home games.
- In this match, São Paulo is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in São Paulo: Ferreira
(Foot Injury)
Igor Vinicius
(Back Injury)
Jonathan Calleri
(Knee Injury)
Lucas Moura
(Knee Injury)
Luiz Gustavo
(Contusion)
Marcos Antonio
(Hamstring Injury)
Oscar
(Thigh Injury)
Rodriguinho
(Yellow Cards)
Ruan Tressoldi
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Vasco: David
(Knee Injury)
Guilherme Estrella
(Knee Injury)
Payet D.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 36:20. (average 1.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, São Paulo won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 24:7. (average 2.4:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has São Paulo won against Vasco da Gama?
São Paulo has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vasco da Gama won against São Paulo?
Vasco da Gama has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between São Paulo - Vasco da Gama were as follows:
16.10.2024
São Paulo
-
Vasco da Gama
3:0
22.06.2024
Vasco da Gama
-
São Paulo
4:1
07.10.2023
Vasco da Gama
-
São Paulo
0:0
20.05.2023
São Paulo
-
Vasco da Gama
4:2
Latest results of São Paulo
Latest results of Vasco da Gama
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 30:6 | 24 | 36 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 28:11 | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 32 |
| 4 | Bahia | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 20:13 | 7 | 28 |
| 5 | Bragantino | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 27 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 18:8 | 10 | 26 |
| 7 | Mirassol | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 24:14 | 10 | 25 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 22 |
| 9 | Ceara | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 16:16 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 | Internacional | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 21 |
| 11 | Corinthians | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 21 |
| 12 | Fluminense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 20 |
| 13 | Atletico-MG | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 20 |
| 14 | Gremio | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16:22 | -6 | 20 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
| 16 | Vasco | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 16:20 | -4 | 15 |
| 17 | Santos | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15:21 | -6 | 15 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 14 |
| 19 | Juventude | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10:32 | -22 | 11 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 15 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 9:25 | -16 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
