Result
18/04/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Vasco da Gama
40.8% | Draw
29.5% | São Paulo
29.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Vasco da Gama - São Paulo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.32 ↓
(2.39) |
3.19 ↑
(3.12) |
3.18 ↑
(2.88) |
5.9%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Vasco could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 22:32. (average 1.1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vasco won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.3:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Vasco da Gama won against São Paulo?
Vasco da Gama has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has São Paulo won against Vasco da Gama?
São Paulo has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vasco da Gama - São Paulo were as follows:
02.11.2025
Vasco da Gama
-
São Paulo
0:2
12.06.2025
São Paulo
-
Vasco da Gama
1:3
16.10.2024
São Paulo
-
Vasco da Gama
3:0
22.06.2024
Vasco da Gama
-
São Paulo
4:1
07.10.2023
Vasco da Gama
-
São Paulo
0:0
Latest results of Vasco da Gama
Latest results of São Paulo
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | Sao Paulo | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:9 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:13 | 5 | 20 |
| 5 | Bahia | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 20 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Atletico-MG | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14:13 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11:12 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Vitoria | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 14 |
| 11 | Botafogo RJ | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 | Gremio | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 13 |
| 13 | Vasco | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 13 |
| 14 | Internacional | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 13 |
| 15 | Santos | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 13 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 11 |
| 17 | Cruzeiro | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14:21 | -7 | 10 |
| 18 | Remo | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11:18 | -7 | 8 |
| 19 | Chapecoense-SC | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10:18 | -8 | 8 |
| 20 | Mirassol | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
