Vasco da Gama vs São Paulo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

02/11/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Sao Januário (Rio de Janeiro).

Serie A Betano - Round 31
Referee: Sampaio W. (Bra)
Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Record, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	K-Ball
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Mexico	Fanatiz
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Portugal	Canal 11
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.40	1.91
Ball Possession
62%	38%
Total shots
25	11
Shots on target
8	6
Big Chances
2	4
Corner Kicks
6	5
Passes
93% (518/556)	82% (294/358)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40	1.91
xG on target (xGOT)
1.97	1.87
Total shots
25	11
Shots on target
8	6
Shots off target
7	4
Blocked Shots
10	1
Shots inside the Box
11	6
Shots outside the Box
14	5
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
2	4
Corner Kicks
6	5
Touches in opposition box
28	17
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	2
Free Kicks
15	11
Passes
93% (518/556)	82% (294/358)
Long passes
71% (24/34)	36% (16/45)
Passes in final third
85% (130/153)	63% (49/78)
Crosses
18% (6/33)	29% (2/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.24	0.87
Throw-ins
15	13
Fouls
11	15
Tackles
70% (7/10)	47% (9/19)
Duels won
49	40
Clearances
14	35
Interceptions
12	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	8
xGOT faced
1.87	1.97
Goals prevented
-0.13	1.97

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+5', Paulo Henrique 🟨,
45+7', 0 - 1, Lucas Moura (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', Moreira N. 🟨,
58', Cauan Barros ↓, Matheus Franca ↑,
58', Moreira N. ↓, Vegetti P. ↑,
66', Tapia G. ↓, Ferreira ↑,
66', Lucas Moura ↓, Rigoni E. ↑,
72', Franco A. 🟨,
73', Bobadilla D. ↓, Luiz Gustavo ↑,
73', Marcos Antonio ↓, Alisson ↑,
75', Diaz E. 🟨,
76', Tche Tche ↓, GB ↑,
83', Lucas Piton ↓, David ↑,
83', Coutinho ↓, Mateus Carvalho ↑,
83', Mailton ↓, Ferraresi N. ↑,
87', 0 - 2, Luiz Gustavo ⚽, Ferreira (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Vasco da Gama
40.3%

Draw
31.1%

São Paulo
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

30.4%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

30%

28%

Vasco da Gama - São Paulo Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.29)	3.06 ↓ (3.11)	3.28 ↓ (3.34)	5.7% (5.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Vasco da Gama - São Paulo?

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Vasco will win (votes: 20 - 71.4%). São Paulo will win (votes: 6 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vasco: 54.7% – 88.1%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Vasco da Gama will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 2.
Vasco is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In recent matches, São Paulo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Vasco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Vasco is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Vasco: Adson (Broken Leg) Garre B. (Injury) Jair (Knee Injury) Rayan (Injury)
There will not play in São Paulo: Andre Silva (Knee Injury) Dinenno J. (Inactive) Jonathan Calleri (Knee Injury) Luan Silva (Muscle Injury) Luciano (Yellow Cards) Maik (Yellow Cards) Oscar (Calf Injury) Ryan Francisco (Knee Injury) Soares C. (Toe Injury) Toloi R. (Hamstring Injury) Wendell (Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 22:32. (average 1.1:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Vasco won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.3:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Vasco da Gama won against São Paulo?

Vasco da Gama has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has São Paulo won against Vasco da Gama?

São Paulo has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Vasco da Gama - São Paulo were as follows:

12.06.2025 São Paulo - Vasco da Gama 1:3

16.10.2024 São Paulo - Vasco da Gama 3:0

22.06.2024 Vasco da Gama - São Paulo 4:1

07.10.2023 Vasco da Gama - São Paulo 0:0

20.05.2023 São Paulo - Vasco da Gama 4:2

Latest results of Vasco da Gama

26.10.2025 Red Bull Bragantino - Vasco da Gama 0:3 ✺

20.10.2025 Vasco da Gama - Fluminense 2:0 ✺

15.10.2025 Fortaleza - Vasco da Gama 0:2 ✺

05.10.2025 Vasco da Gama - Vitória Salvador 4:3 ✺

01.10.2025 Palmeiras - Vasco da Gama 3:0 ✺

Latest results of São Paulo

25.10.2025 São Paulo - Bahia 2:0 ✺

19.10.2025 Mirassol - São Paulo 3:0 ✺

16.10.2025 Grêmio - São Paulo 2:0 ✺

05.10.2025 São Paulo - Palmeiras 2:3 ✺

02.10.2025 Fortaleza - São Paulo 0:2 ✺

Brazilian Serie A Table

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bragantino	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Internacional	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Vasco	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Gremio	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Botafogo RJ	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Santos	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Sao Paulo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Coritiba	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Cruzeiro	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Vitoria	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Atletico-MG	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Fluminense	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Flamengo RJ	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Palmeiras	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Athletico-PR	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Bahia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Corinthians	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Mirassol	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Remo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Chapecoense-SC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
      Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet