Result
4:0
31/01/2026 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 23
- Referee: Erdemir B. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.37 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (439/494) | 85% (395/464) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 0.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (439/494) | 85% (395/464) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 65% (34/52) | 44% (15/34) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (58/81) | 67% (71/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.70 | 0.30 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 60% (6/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 27 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.07 | 1.92 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.07 | -2.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 1', 1 - 0, Tozlu E. ⚽, Keser B. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 57', Yesilyurt H. E. 🟨,
- 66', 2 - 0, Akgun S. ⚽, Keser B. (A),
- 71', 3 - 0, Baiye B. ⚽, Rodriguez M. (A),
- 72', Yesilyurt H. E. ↓, Traore H. ↑,
- 74', Crociata G. ↓, Akpinar M. ↑,
- 74', Rodriguez M. ↓, Yener H. ↑,
- 80', Keser B. ↓, Kabak A. ↑,
- 80', Baiye B. ↓, Ulgen A. ↑,
- 81', Kulasin E. ↓, Dembele P. M. ↑,
- 81', Eze E. ↓, Kor B. ↑,
- 83', Yumlu M. ↓, Gerxhaliu A. ↑,
- 88', Bayram O. ↓, Korkmazoglu E. ↑,
- 88', Regattin A. ↓, Yilmaz O. ↑,
- 90+6', 4 - 0, Akpinar M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Erzurumspor
59.5% | Draw
24.8% | Sarıyer
15.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Erzurumspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)Sarıyer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzurumspor than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarıyer than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Erzurumspor - Sarıyer Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.56 ↓
(1.66) |
3.76 ↑
(3.66) |
5.93 ↑
(4.95) |
7.7%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Erzurumspor - Sarıyer?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Sarıyer (3.63) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DC - Sarıyer (2.06) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Erzurumspor will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Erzurumspor will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Erzurumspor (votes: 4 - 50%). Sarıyer (votes: 4 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig and 16).
- Erzurumspor is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Sarıyer is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Erzurumspor is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Erzurumspor: Fettahoglu M.
(Yellow Cards)
Ozhan F.
(Suspended)
Sasi F.
(Inactive)
Sever I.
(Suspended)
Sylla C.
(Yellow Cards)
Yigit E.
(Suspended)
- There will not play in Sarıyer: Berber O.
(Yellow Cards)
Djilobodji P.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Erzurumspor: Keser B.
(Injury)
- We predict that Erzurumspor will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Erzurumspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Erzurumspor won against Sarıyer?
Erzurumspor has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sarıyer won against Erzurumspor?
Sarıyer has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Erzurumspor - Sarıyer were as follows:
29.08.2025
Sarıyer
-
Erzurumspor
0:2
Latest results of Erzurumspor
Latest results of Sarıyer
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Erzurumspor | 35 | 23 | 9 | 3 | 79:24 | 55 | 78 |
| 2 | Amedspor | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 75:34 | 41 | 71 |
| 3 | Erokspor | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 77:32 | 45 | 67 |
| 4 | Corum | 35 | 19 | 7 | 9 | 55:37 | 18 | 64 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 69:36 | 33 | 62 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 35 | 15 | 13 | 7 | 54:31 | 23 | 58 |
| 7 | Keciorengucu | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 67:40 | 27 | 54 |
| 8 | Bandirmaspor | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 43:33 | 10 | 53 |
| 9 | Sivasspor | 35 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 44:38 | 6 | 50 |
| 10 | Manisa FK | 35 | 14 | 7 | 14 | 50:54 | -4 | 49 |
| 11 | Igdir FK | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 47:48 | -1 | 48 |
| 12 | Vanspor FK | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 48:40 | 8 | 46 |
| 13 | Sariyer | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 41:41 | 0 | 46 |
| 14 | Istanbulspor AS | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 43:52 | -9 | 43 |
| 15 | Boluspor | 35 | 12 | 6 | 17 | 52:54 | -2 | 42 |
| 16 | Umraniyespor | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 40:42 | -2 | 42 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 35 | 10 | 6 | 19 | 39:69 | -30 | 36 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 43:60 | -17 | 33 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 35 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 27:96 | -69 | 10 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor ✔ | 35 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 20:152 | -132 | -54 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Adana Demirspor is Relegated to
