Erzurumspor vs Sarıyer – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

31/01/2026 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Kâzım Karabekir Stadyumu (Erzurum).

1. Lig - Round 23
Referee: Erdemir B. (Tur)
Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.55	0.37
Ball possession
51%	49%
Total shots
14	6
Shots on target
7	2
Big chances
1	1
Corner kicks
5	4
Passes
89% (439/494)	85% (395/464)
Yellow cards
0	1
Expected goals (xG)
1.55	0.37
xG on target (xGOT)
1.92	0.07
Total shots
14	6
Shots on target
7	2
Shots off target
4	2
Blocked shots
3	2
Shots inside the box
12	3
Shots outside the box
2	3
Hit the woodwork
1	0
Big chances
1	1
Corner kicks
5	4
Touches in opposition box
33	16
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	3
Free kicks
9	10
Passes
89% (439/494)	85% (395/464)
Long passes
65% (34/52)	44% (15/34)
Passes in final third
72% (58/81)	67% (71/106)
Crosses
30% (3/10)	25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.70	0.30
Throw ins
18	11
Fouls
10	9
Tackles
50% (4/8)	60% (6/10)
Duels won
27	33
Clearances
20	10
Interceptions
17	8
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	3
xGOT faced
0.07	1.92
Goals prevented
0.07	-2.08

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Tozlu E. ⚽, Keser B. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
57', Yesilyurt H. E. 🟨,
66', 2 - 0, Akgun S. ⚽, Keser B. (A),
71', 3 - 0, Baiye B. ⚽, Rodriguez M. (A),
72', Yesilyurt H. E. ↓, Traore H. ↑,
74', Crociata G. ↓, Akpinar M. ↑,
74', Rodriguez M. ↓, Yener H. ↑,
80', Keser B. ↓, Kabak A. ↑,
80', Baiye B. ↓, Ulgen A. ↑,
81', Kulasin E. ↓, Dembele P. M. ↑,
81', Eze E. ↓, Kor B. ↑,
83', Yumlu M. ↓, Gerxhaliu A. ↑,
88', Bayram O. ↓, Korkmazoglu E. ↑,
88', Regattin A. ↓, Yilmaz O. ↑,
90+6', 4 - 0, Akpinar M. ⚽,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Erzurumspor
59.5%

Draw
24.8%

Sarıyer
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

25.4%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

23.8%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erzurumspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Sarıyer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzurumspor than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarıyer than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Erzurumspor - Sarıyer Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.66)	3.76 ↑ (3.66)	5.93 ↑ (4.95)	7.7% (7.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Erzurumspor - Sarıyer?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

DNB - Sarıyer (3.63) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DC - Sarıyer (2.06) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Erzurumspor will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Erzurumspor will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Erzurumspor (votes: 4 - 50%). Sarıyer (votes: 4 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig and 16).
Erzurumspor is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Sarıyer is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, Erzurumspor is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Erzurumspor: Fettahoglu M. (Yellow Cards) Ozhan F. (Suspended) Sasi F. (Inactive) Sever I. (Suspended) Sylla C. (Yellow Cards) Yigit E. (Suspended)
There will not play in Sarıyer: Berber O. (Yellow Cards) Djilobodji P. (Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Erzurumspor: Keser B. (Injury)
We predict that Erzurumspor will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Erzurumspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

How many head-to-head matches has Erzurumspor won against Sarıyer?

Erzurumspor has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Sarıyer won against Erzurumspor?

Sarıyer has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Erzurumspor - Sarıyer were as follows:

29.08.2025 Sarıyer - Erzurumspor 0:2

Latest results of Erzurumspor

24.01.2026 Pendikspor - Erzurumspor 1:2 ✺

18.01.2026 Erzurumspor - Amed SK 2:0 ✺

15.01.2026 Erzurumspor - Çaykur Rizespor 2:0 ✺

11.01.2026 Sivasspor - Erzurumspor 0:2 ✺

28.12.2025 Erzurumspor - Çorum 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Sarıyer

25.01.2026 Sarıyer - Çorum 1:2 ✺

18.01.2026 Boluspor - Sarıyer 1:2 ✺

11.01.2026 Sarıyer - Igdirspor 1:0 ✺

27.12.2025 Sarıyer - Bodrumspor 1:0 ✺

19.12.2025 Erokspor - Sarıyer 1:1 ✺

Turkish First League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Erzurumspor	32	20	9	3	74:23	51	69
2	Amedspor	32	20	7	5	68:32	36	67
3	Erokspor	32	18	9	5	73:30	43	63
4	Corum	32	19	5	8	53:34	19	62
5	Bodrumspor	32	17	6	9	67:35	32	57
6	Pendikspor	32	14	12	6	49:27	22	54
7	Bandirmaspor	32	13	9	10	42:33	9	48
8	Keciorengucu	32	12	11	9	63:40	23	47
9	Sivasspor	32	12	11	9	40:31	9	47
10	Igdir FK	32	12	9	11	40:44	-4	45
11	Vanspor FK	32	11	10	11	42:35	7	43
12	Manisa FK	32	12	7	13	46:52	-6	43
13	Boluspor	32	12	6	14	50:44	6	42
14	Umraniyespor	32	11	6	15	38:41	-3	39
15	Sariyer	32	11	6	15	34:41	-7	39
16	Istanbulspor AS	32	9	12	11	38:48	-10	39
17	Serik Spor	32	10	5	17	38:60	-22	35
18	Sakaryaspor	32	8	8	16	41:56	-15	32
19	Hatayspor	32	0	7	25	22:88	-66	7
20	Adana Demirspor ✔	32	0	3	29	17:141	-124	-57

      Promotion ~ Super Lig
      Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
      Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
      Relegation

Clinched Spots for Teams

Adana Demirspor is Relegated to