Result
1:0
25/04/2026 at 18:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 16
- Referee: Zunino S. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | ESPN Premium |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.60 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (230/343) | 70% (264/375) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.60 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 0.37 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (230/343) | 70% (264/375) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (22/72) | 35% (22/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (41/81) | 52% (66/126) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/15) | 20% (4/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.24 | 0.42 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 42% (5/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.37 | 1.62 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.62 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', 1 - 0, Pasquini N. ⚽,
- 23', Martinez M. 🟨,
- 27', Russo I. 🟨,
- 31', Martinez P. ↓, Lopez S. ↑,
- 42', Insaurralde J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Cabrera E. ↓, Serrago T. ↑,
- 56', Lopez S. 🟨,
- 62', Magnin P. ↓, Contrera J. ↑,
- 72', Moreno V. 🟨,
- 75', Saralegui J. ↓, Rivas M. ↑,
- 75', Moreno V. ↓, Soto G. ↑,
- 77', Zabala C. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
- 77', Marabel J. ↓, Diego Churin ↑,
- 82', Insaurralde J. 🟨,
- 84', Gomez J. ↓, Suarez L. ↑,
- 84', Salle S. ↓, Diaz G. ↑,
- 85', Pineiro G. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
- 90+6', Laso J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sarmiento de Junín
24.9% | Draw
33% | Tigre
42.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sarmiento de Junín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)Tigre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tigre's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sarmiento de Junín, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tigre than the current prediction. (-6.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tigre, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sarmiento de Junín - Tigre Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.79 ↑
(3.18) |
2.87 ↑
(2.84) |
2.23 ↓
(2.55) |
6.1%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Sarmiento de Junín - Tigre?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Sarmiento will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tigre will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 1.
- Sarmiento has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Tigre's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Tigre may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Tigre might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Sarmiento: Godoy J.
(Knee Injury)
Gonzalez G.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Tigre: Gonzalez S.
(Knee Injury)
Lezcano S.
(Inactive)
Oviedo A.
(Injury)
Romero D.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Sarmiento: Orihuela R.
(Inactive)
Renteria J.
(Injury)
Villalba C.
(Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 0.7:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sarmiento won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Sarmiento de Junín won against Tigre?
Sarmiento de Junín has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tigre won against Sarmiento de Junín?
Tigre has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sarmiento de Junín - Tigre were as follows:
18.08.2024
Sarmiento de Junín
-
Tigre
0:0
25.01.2024
Tigre
-
Sarmiento de Junín
0:0
20.08.2023
Sarmiento de Junín
-
Tigre
2:0
13.04.2023
Tigre
-
Sarmiento de Junín
1:0
04.10.2022
Sarmiento de Junín
-
Tigre
2:2
Latest results of Sarmiento de Junín
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. ✔ | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | 12 | 31 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors ✔ | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | 13 | 30 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield ✔ | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 27 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba ✔ | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 26 |
| 5 | Independiente ✔ | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | 4 | 24 |
| 6 | Lanus ✔ | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 24 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo ✔ | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 22 |
| 8 | Union de Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | 4 | 21 |
| 9 | Defensa y Justicia | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 17:19 | -2 | 19 |
| 10 | Instituto | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 15:17 | -2 | 18 |
| 11 | Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 16 |
| 12 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 12:21 | -9 | 16 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 14:26 | -12 | 14 |
| 15 | Dep. Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 11 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia ✔ | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29:15 | 14 | 34 |
| 2 | River Plate ✔ | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22:12 | 10 | 29 |
| 3 | Argentinos Jrs ✔ | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 29 |
| 4 | Rosario Central ✔ | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 28 |
| 5 | Belgrano ✔ | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 26 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P. ✔ | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19:19 | 0 | 26 |
| 7 | Huracan | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 22 |
| 8 | Racing Club | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:15 | 2 | 21 |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 | Tigre | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 20 |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 13:20 | -7 | 19 |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17:19 | -2 | 18 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15:20 | -5 | 14 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6:19 | -13 | 8 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 5:22 | -17 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Estudiantes L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Boca Juniors is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Talleres Cordoba is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Independiente is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Lanus is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
San Lorenzo is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
River Plate is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Argentinos Jrs is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Rosario Central is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Belgrano is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Gimnasia L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
