Belgrano vs Sarmiento de Junín – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional
Result
4:0
03/05/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 9
  • Referee: Gariano A. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaHBO Max, TNT, TNT Sports
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.310.78
Ball possession
52%48%
Total shots
126
Shots on target
63
Big chances
52
Corner kicks
32
Passes
74% (254/344)74% (241/326)
Yellow cards
11
Expected goals (xG)
2.310.78
xG on target (xGOT)
2.041.06
Total shots
126
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
52
Blocked shots
11
Shots inside the box
74
Shots outside the box
52
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
52
Corner kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
2014
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
26
Free kicks
88
Passes
74% (254/344)74% (241/326)
Long passes
40% (19/48)35% (17/48)
Passes in final third
60% (73/122)59% (34/58)
Crosses
27% (4/15)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.000.33
Throw ins
1827
Fouls
88
Tackles
80% (24/30)63% (12/19)
Duels won
5134
Clearances
924
Interceptions
1210
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
33
xGOT faced
1.062.04
Goals prevented
1.06-0.96

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 24', Salle S. 🟨,
  • 36', Seyral A. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
  • 36', 1 - 0, Gonzalez F. ⚽, Passerini L. (A),
  • 39', Falcon A. 🟨,
  • 43', 2 - 0, Suarez L. (Own goal),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Magnin P. ↓, Contrera J. ↑,
  • 55', 3 - 0, Hernandes R. ⚽, Sanchez A. (A),
  • 65', Hernandes R. ↓, Tulian R. ↑,
  • 65', Rigoni E. ↓, Zelarayan L. ↑,
  • 65', Longo S. ↓, Vazquez F. ↑,
  • 71', Passerini L. ↓, Fernandez N. ↑,
  • 71', Santamaria T. ↓, Cabrera J. M. ↑,
  • 72', Marabel J. ↓, Diego Churin ↑,
  • 79', Falcon A. ↓, Benitez Cabrera A. J. ↑,
  • 86', 4 - 0, Tulian R. ⚽,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Belgrano
55%		Draw
27.9%		Sarmiento de Junín
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.6% 26.7% 16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2% 29.3% 15.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Sarmiento de Junín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Belgrano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
    •

    Belgrano - Sarmiento de Junín Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.71 ↑
    (1.67)    		 3.33 ↓
    (3.54)    		 5.47 ↓
    (5.67)    		 6.8%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Belgrano - Sarmiento de Junín?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Belgrano will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Sarmiento will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • EH -1 - Belgrano (3.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Belgrano (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Federation decision.
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Belgrano won 1.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Sarmiento may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Belgrano is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Belgrano: Ricca F. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Sarmiento: Godoy J. (Knee Injury) Gonzalez G. (Knee Injury) Insaurralde J. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Belgrano: Velazquez J. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sarmiento: Orihuela R. (Inactive) Renteria J. (Injury) Villalba C. (Injury) Zabala C. (Injury)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Belgrano won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:4. (average 1.6:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Belgrano won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:3. (average 2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Belgrano - Sarmiento de Junín were as follows:
    04.08.2024 Sarmiento de Junín - Belgrano 0:0
    19.02.2024 Belgrano - Sarmiento de Junín 4:1
    25.09.2023 Sarmiento de Junín - Belgrano 0:0
    03.04.2023 Belgrano - Sarmiento de Junín 0:0
    Latest results of Belgrano
    26.04.2026 Belgrano - Gimnasia La Plata 0:1 ✺
    20.04.2026 Barracas Central - Belgrano 0:0 ✺
    10.04.2026 Belgrano - Aldosivi 1:0 ✺
    05.04.2026 River Plate - Belgrano 3:0 ✺
    27.03.2026 Belgrano - Atlético de Rafaela 3:0 ✺
    Latest results of Sarmiento de Junín
    25.04.2026 Sarmiento de Junín - Tigre 1:0 ✺
    19.04.2026 Rosario Central - Sarmiento de Junín 2:1 ✺
    13.04.2026 Sarmiento de Junín - Gimnasia La Plata 1:2 ✺
    08.04.2026 Sarmiento de Junín - Tristán Suárez 1:0 ✺
    02.04.2026 Barracas Central - Sarmiento de Junín 1:2 ✺
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P. ✔ 1694319:71231
    2Boca Juniors ✔ 1686222:91330
    3Velez Sarsfield ✔ 1576217:11627
    4Talleres Cordoba ✔ 1675417:13426
    5Independiente ✔ 1666424:20424
    6Lanus ✔ 1666418:15324
    7San Lorenzo ✔ 1657414:14022
    8Union de Santa Fe1656524:20421
    9Defensa y Justicia1547417:19-219
    10Instituto1553715:17-218
    11Platense1637610:15-516
    12Gimnasia Mendoza1544712:21-916
    13Central Cordoba1644811:21-1016
    14Newells Old Boys1535714:26-1214
    15Dep. Riestra161875:12-711


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia ✔ 16104229:151434
    2River Plate ✔ 1692522:121029
    3Argentinos Jrs ✔ 1685317:13429
    4Rosario Central ✔ 1684420:16428
    5Belgrano ✔ 1675417:13426
    6Gimnasia L.P. ✔ 1682619:19026
    7Huracan1657417:13422
    8Racing Club1656517:15221
    9Barracas Central1656515:15021
    10Tigre1648418:15320
    11Sarmiento Junin1661913:20-719
    12Banfield1653817:19-218
    13Atl. Tucuman1635815:20-514
    14Aldosivi160886:19-138
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1512125:22-175

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Estudiantes L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Boca Juniors is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Talleres Cordoba is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Independiente is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Lanus is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    San Lorenzo is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    River Plate is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Argentinos Jrs is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Rosario Central is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Belgrano is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Gimnasia L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
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