Result
0:1
24/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 7
- Referee: Merlos A. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Sporty TV, StarTimes App |
 Argentina | HBO Max, TNT Sports |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 China | K-Ball |
 Croatia | MAXtv To Go |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 1 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.09 | 1.28 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 42% (61/146) | 47% (84/178) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.09 | 1.28 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 1.34 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 42% (61/146) | 47% (84/178) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 25% (19/77) | 29% (15/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 38% (35/93) | 41% (28/68) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (2/11) | 33% (3/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.15 | 0.70 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 83% (5/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 25 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.34 | 0.64 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.34 | 0.64 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 4', Veliz A. 🟨,
- 32', Morales I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Roncaglia F. ↓, Orihuela R. ↑,
- 46', Villalba C. ↓, Gimenez E. ↑,
- 46', Gonzalez G. ↓, Arismendi Y. ↑,
- 46', Contrera J. ↓, Ardaiz J. ↑,
- 46', Coronel E. ↓, Gimenez E. ↑,
- 46', Quintana C. ↓, Mallo Blanco F. ↑,
- 46', Lopez S. ↓, Duarte G. ↑,
- 52', Garcia M. 🟨,
- 67', Godoy J. 🟨,
- 79', Arismendi Y. ↓, Diaz G. ↑,
- 83', Ardaiz J. ↓, Frias F. ↑,
- 87', Acosta L. 🟨,
- 90', Orihuela R. 🟨,
- 90', Diaz G. 🟨,
- 90', 0 - 1, Di Maria A. (Pen),
- 90+1', Gomez J. ↓, Pratto L. ↑,
- 90+6', Campaz J. ↓, Navarro F. ↑,
- 90+8', Insaurralde J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sarmiento de Junín
22.6% | Draw
32.3% | Rosario Central
45.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sarmiento de Junín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sarmiento de Junín's form might have worsened.Rosario Central has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rosario Central's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (+8.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sarmiento de Junín, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rosario Central than the current prediction. (-7.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rosario Central, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sarmiento de Junín - Rosario Central Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.18 ↑
(3.11) |
2.9 ↓
(3.08) |
2.12 ↓
(2.43) |
5.6%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Sarmiento de Junín - Rosario Central?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Sarmiento will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Rosario will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rosario: 23.1% – 88.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Rosario (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 2.
- Recent performances by Sarmiento have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Rosario is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Rosario might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Sarmiento: Magnin P.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Rosario: Gimenez J.
(Knee Injury)
Gutierrez K.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Sarmiento: Orihuela R.
(Inactive)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sarmiento won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Sarmiento de Junín won against Rosario Central?
Sarmiento de Junín has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rosario Central won against Sarmiento de Junín?
Rosario Central has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sarmiento de Junín - Rosario Central were as follows:
22.02.2025
Rosario Central
-
Sarmiento de Junín
1:0
19.07.2024
Rosario Central
-
Sarmiento de Junín
4:2
03.03.2023
Sarmiento de Junín
-
Rosario Central
4:1
Latest results of Sarmiento de Junín
Latest results of Rosario Central
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
ClausuraGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Central Cordoba | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 21 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 21 |
| 3 | Union de Santa Fe | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19:13 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Defensa y Justicia | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 19 |
| 5 | Argentinos Jrs | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15:10 | 5 | 18 |
| 6 | Belgrano | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 13:10 | 3 | 18 |
| 7 | Barracas Central | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 15:13 | 2 | 18 |
| 8 | Tigre | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 13:11 | 2 | 18 |
| 9 | Racing Club | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:13 | 1 | 18 |
| 10 | Boca Juniors | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19:10 | 9 | 17 |
| 11 | Banfield | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 12:18 | -6 | 17 |
| 12 | Huracan | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 6:11 | -5 | 16 |
| 13 | Ind. Rivadavia | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 12 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11:21 | -10 | 11 |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 5:15 | -10 | 9 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dep. Riestra | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 18:9 | 9 | 27 |
| 2 | Rosario Central | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 15:6 | 9 | 27 |
| 3 | Lanus | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 15:9 | 6 | 26 |
| 4 | Velez Sarsfield | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 19:9 | 10 | 25 |
| 5 | River Plate | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20:12 | 8 | 21 |
| 6 | San Lorenzo | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 11:10 | 1 | 19 |
| 7 | San Martin S.J | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 17 |
| 8 | Atl. Tucuman | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14:15 | -1 | 15 |
| 9 | Sarmiento Junin | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 9:14 | -5 | 15 |
| 10 | Instituto | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 15 |
| 11 | Talleres Cordoba | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 14 |
| 12 | Gimnasia L.P | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 8:16 | -8 | 13 |
| 13 | Platense | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11:20 | -9 | 11 |
| 14 | Godoy Cruz | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 9:16 | -7 | 10 |
| 15 | Independiente | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 9:13 | -4 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
