Sarmiento de Junín vs Rosario Central – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional Sarmiento de Junín - Rosario Central
Result
0:1
24/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 7
  • Referee: Merlos A. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSporty TV, StarTimes App
argentinaArgentinaHBO Max, TNT Sports
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
chinaChinaK-Ball
croatiaCroatiaMAXtv To Go
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
portugalPortugalSport TV3
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 1
usaUsaFanatiz
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.091.28
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
37
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
42% (61/146)47% (84/178)
Yellow Cards
71
Expected Goals (xG)
0.091.28
xG on target (xGOT)
0.641.34
Total shots
37
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
11
Blocked Shots
01
Shots inside the Box
15
Shots outside the Box
01
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
715
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
313
Passes
42% (61/146)47% (84/178)
Long passes
25% (19/77)29% (15/52)
Passes in final third
38% (35/93)41% (28/68)
Crosses
18% (2/11)33% (3/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.150.70
Throw-ins
2719
Fouls
133
Tackles
58% (7/12)83% (5/6)
Duels won
2533
Clearances
2626
Interceptions
48
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
1.340.64
Goals prevented
1.340.64

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 4', Veliz A. 🟨,
  • 32', Morales I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Roncaglia F. , Orihuela R. ,
  • 46', Villalba C. , Gimenez E. ,
  • 46', Gonzalez G. , Arismendi Y. ,
  • 46', Contrera J. , Ardaiz J. ,
  • 46', Coronel E. , Gimenez E. ,
  • 46', Quintana C. , Mallo Blanco F. ,
  • 46', Lopez S. , Duarte G. ,
  • 52', Garcia M. 🟨,
  • 67', Godoy J. 🟨,
  • 79', Arismendi Y. , Diaz G. ,
  • 83', Ardaiz J. , Frias F. ,
  • 87', Acosta L. 🟨,
  • 90', Orihuela R. 🟨,
  • 90', Diaz G. 🟨,
  • 90', 0 - 1, Di Maria A. (Pen),
  • 90+1', Gomez J. , Pratto L. ,
  • 90+6', Campaz J. , Navarro F. ,
  • 90+8', Insaurralde J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sarmiento de Junín
22.6%
Draw
32.3%
Rosario Central
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.4% 30.7% 38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3% 31.6% 37.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sarmiento de Junín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sarmiento de Junín's form might have worsened.
  • Rosario Central has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rosario Central's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sarmiento de Junín, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rosario Central than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rosario Central, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Sarmiento de Junín - Rosario Central Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.18
    (3.11)
    2.9
    (3.08)
    2.12
    (2.43)
    5.6%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Sarmiento de Junín - Rosario Central?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Sarmiento will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Rosario will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Rosario: 23.1%88.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Rosario (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 2.
    • Recent performances by Sarmiento have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Rosario is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Rosario might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Sarmiento: Magnin P. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Rosario: Gimenez J. (Knee Injury) Gutierrez K. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Sarmiento: Orihuela R. (Inactive)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sarmiento won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sarmiento de Junín - Rosario Central were as follows:
    22.02.2025 Rosario Central - Sarmiento de Junín 1:0
    19.07.2024 Rosario Central - Sarmiento de Junín 4:2
    03.03.2023 Sarmiento de Junín - Rosario Central 4:1
    Latest results of Rosario Central
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Central Cordoba1356216:10621
    2Estudiantes L.P1363415:13221
    3Union de Santa Fe1355319:13620
    4Defensa y Justicia1354413:13019
    5Argentinos Jrs1353515:10518
    6Belgrano1346313:10318
    7Barracas Central1246215:13218
    8Tigre1346313:11218
    9Racing Club1353514:13118
    10Boca Juniors1245319:10917
    11Banfield1352612:18-617
    12Huracan134456:11-516
    13Ind. Rivadavia1326511:14-312
    14Newells Old Boys1325611:21-1011
    15Aldosivi132385:15-109


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Riestra1383218:9927
    2Rosario Central1376015:6927
    3Lanus1382315:9626
    4Velez Sarsfield1374219:91025
    5River Plate1363420:12821
    6San Lorenzo1354411:10119
    7San Martin S.J1345410:11-117
    8Atl. Tucuman1343614:15-115
    9Sarmiento Junin134369:14-515
    10Instituto133647:12-515
    11Talleres Cordoba133557:12-514
    12Gimnasia L.P134188:16-813
    13Platense1325611:20-911
    14Godoy Cruz131759:16-710
    15Independiente131669:13-49

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)