Result
1:1
03/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 16
- Referee: Martinez S. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Argentina | ESPN Premium |
China | K-Ball |
Usa | Fanatiz |
World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.49 | 0.73 |
Ball Possession |
---|
34% | 66% |
Total shots |
---|
7 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
72% (176/246) | 83% (407/492) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
6 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.49 | 0.73 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.00 | 0.32 |
Total shots |
---|
7 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
5 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
1 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
15 | 18 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
14 | 11 |
Passes |
---|
72% (176/246) | 83% (407/492) |
Long passes |
---|
43% (25/58) | 44% (17/39) |
Passes in final third |
---|
58% (45/78) | 66% (101/152) |
Crosses |
---|
29% (6/21) | 11% (2/18) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.56 | 1.06 |
Throw-ins |
---|
15 | 26 |
Fouls |
---|
11 | 14 |
Tackles |
---|
53% (8/15) | 74% (17/23) |
Duels won |
---|
55 | 65 |
Clearances |
---|
25 | 24 |
Interceptions |
---|
9 | 11 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 0 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.32 | 0.00 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.32 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 33', Cecchini E. 🟨,
- 37', 1 - 0, Vombergar A. (Own goal),
- 41', Vallejos J. 🟨,
- 45+1', Insaurralde J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Romana J. ↓, Herrera D. ↑,
- 56', Suhr L. 🟨,
- 58', Paradela F. 🟨,
- 59', Paradela F. ↓, Carabajal G. ↑,
- 64', Roncaglia F. 🟨,
- 65', Cecchini E. ↓, Insaurralde M. ↑,
- 65', Suhr L. ↓, Burgoa V. ↑,
- 66', Gho J. ↓, Renteria J. ↑,
- 70', Diaz G. ↓, Andrada J. ↑,
- 70', Frias F. ↓, Molina A. ↑,
- 87', 1 - 1, Molina A. (Own goal),
- 89', Herrera D. 🟨,
- 90+3', Perruzzi F. ↓, Dominguez N. ↑,
- 90+4', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sarmiento de Junín 28.1% | Draw 34.9% | San Lorenzo 37% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sarmiento de Junín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Sarmiento de Junín - San Lorenzo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.36 ↓ (3.51) |
2.72 ↑ (2.69) |
2.57 ↑ (2.49) |
5.4% (5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Sarmiento de Junín - San Lorenzo?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Sarmiento will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). San Lorenzo will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.2% – 92%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- San Lorenzo is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- San Lorenzo might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Sarmiento: Garcia M.
(Yellow Cards)
Magnin P.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in San Lorenzo: Altamirano F.
(Elbow Injury)
Cerutti E.
(Yellow Cards)
Dominguez N.
(Muscle Injury)
Irala E.
(Yellow Cards)
Pagano R.
(Inactive)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 6:14. (average 0.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sarmiento won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Sarmiento de Junín won against San Lorenzo?
Sarmiento de Junín has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has San Lorenzo won against Sarmiento de Junín?
San Lorenzo has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sarmiento de Junín - San Lorenzo were as follows:
03.06.2024
San Lorenzo
-
Sarmiento de Junín
0:1
16.03.2024
San Lorenzo
-
Sarmiento de Junín
1:0
30.10.2023
Sarmiento de Junín
-
San Lorenzo
0:0
20.02.2023
Sarmiento de Junín
-
San Lorenzo
0:1
17.10.2022
Sarmiento de Junín
-
San Lorenzo
2:4
Latest results of Sarmiento de Junín
Latest results of San Lorenzo
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
ClausuraGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Defensa y Justicia | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 4 |
2 | Banfield | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
3 | Union de Santa Fe | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Ind. Rivadavia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 3 |
5 | Belgrano | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
6 | Newells Old Boys | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
7 | Tigre | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
8 | Estudiantes L.P | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
9 | Racing Club | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
10 | Barracas Central | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 3 |
11 | Boca Juniors | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
12 | Central Cordoba | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
13 | Argentinos Jrs | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
14 | Aldosivi | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
15 | Huracan | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | River Plate | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 6 |
2 | Atl. Tucuman | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
3 | Rosario Central | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Velez Sarsfield | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
5 | San Lorenzo | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
6 | San Martin S.J | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
7 | Talleres Cordoba | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
8 | Dep. Riestra | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
9 | Instituto | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 3 |
10 | Sarmiento Junin | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
11 | Godoy Cruz | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
12 | Independiente | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
13 | Gimnasia L.P | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 1 |
14 | Platense | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
15 | Lanus | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)