Sarmiento de Junín vs San Lorenzo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional Sarmiento de Junín - San Lorenzo
Result
1:1
03/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 16
  • Referee: Martinez S. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
chinaChinaK-Ball
usaUsaFanatiz
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.490.73
Ball Possession
34%66%
Total shots
711
Shots on target
14
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
72% (176/246)83% (407/492)
Yellow Cards
62
Expected Goals (xG)
0.490.73
xG on target (xGOT)
0.000.32
Total shots
711
Shots on target
14
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
56
Shots outside the Box
14
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
1518
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1411
Passes
72% (176/246)83% (407/492)
Long passes
43% (25/58)44% (17/39)
Passes in final third
58% (45/78)66% (101/152)
Crosses
29% (6/21)11% (2/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.561.06
Throw-ins
1526
Fouls
1114
Tackles
53% (8/15)74% (17/23)
Duels won
5565
Clearances
2524
Interceptions
911
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
30
xGOT faced
0.320.00
Goals prevented
0.320.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 33', Cecchini E. 🟨,
  • 37', 1 - 0, Vombergar A. (Own goal),
  • 41', Vallejos J. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Insaurralde J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Romana J. , Herrera D. ,
  • 56', Suhr L. 🟨,
  • 58', Paradela F. 🟨,
  • 59', Paradela F. , Carabajal G. ,
  • 64', Roncaglia F. 🟨,
  • 65', Cecchini E. , Insaurralde M. ,
  • 65', Suhr L. , Burgoa V. ,
  • 66', Gho J. , Renteria J. ,
  • 70', Diaz G. , Andrada J. ,
  • 70', Frias F. , Molina A. ,
  • 87', 1 - 1, Molina A. (Own goal),
  • 89', Herrera D. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Perruzzi F. , Dominguez N. ,
  • 90+4', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sarmiento de Junín
28.1%
Draw
34.9%
San Lorenzo
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.9% 35.2% 37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1% 35.5% 37.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sarmiento de Junín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Sarmiento de Junín - San Lorenzo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.36
    (3.51)
    2.72
    (2.69)
    2.57
    (2.49)
    5.4%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Sarmiento de Junín - San Lorenzo?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Sarmiento will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). San Lorenzo will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.2%92%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • San Lorenzo is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • San Lorenzo might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Sarmiento: Garcia M. (Yellow Cards) Magnin P. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in San Lorenzo: Altamirano F. (Elbow Injury) Cerutti E. (Yellow Cards) Dominguez N. (Muscle Injury) Irala E. (Yellow Cards) Pagano R. (Inactive)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 6:14. (average 0.6:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sarmiento won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sarmiento de Junín - San Lorenzo were as follows:
    03.06.2024 San Lorenzo - Sarmiento de Junín 0:1
    16.03.2024 San Lorenzo - Sarmiento de Junín 1:0
    30.10.2023 Sarmiento de Junín - San Lorenzo 0:0
    20.02.2023 Sarmiento de Junín - San Lorenzo 0:1
    17.10.2022 Sarmiento de Junín - San Lorenzo 2:4
    Latest results of San Lorenzo
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Defensa y Justicia21102:024
    2Banfield21102:114
    3Union de Santa Fe21102:114
    4Ind. Rivadavia21014:223
    5Belgrano21013:123
    6Newells Old Boys21013:303
    7Tigre21013:303
    8Estudiantes L.P21012:203
    9Racing Club21011:103
    10Barracas Central21011:3-23
    11Boca Juniors20201:102
    12Central Cordoba20201:102
    13Argentinos Jrs20111:2-11
    14Aldosivi20110:2-21
    15Huracan20021:5-40


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate22007:166
    2Atl. Tucuman21103:214
    3Rosario Central21102:114
    4Velez Sarsfield21102:114
    5San Lorenzo21102:114
    6San Martin S.J21014:403
    7Talleres Cordoba21013:303
    8Dep. Riestra21013:303
    9Instituto21011:4-33
    10Sarmiento Junin20202:202
    11Godoy Cruz20201:102
    12Independiente20113:4-11
    13Gimnasia L.P20110:1-11
    14Platense20111:3-21
    15Lanus20020:2-20

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)