Sarmiento de Junín vs San Lorenzo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional Sarmiento de Junín - San Lorenzo
Result
1:1
03/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 16
  • Referee: Martinez S. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
chinaChinaK-Ball
usaUsaFanatiz
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.490.73
Ball Possession
34%66%
Total shots
711
Shots on target
14
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
72% (176/246)83% (407/492)
Yellow Cards
62
Expected Goals (xG)
0.490.73
xG on target (xGOT)
0.000.32
Total shots
711
Shots on target
14
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
56
Shots outside the Box
14
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
1518
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1411
Passes
72% (176/246)83% (407/492)
Long passes
43% (25/58)44% (17/39)
Passes in final third
58% (45/78)66% (101/152)
Crosses
29% (6/21)11% (2/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.561.06
Throw-ins
1526
Fouls
1114
Tackles
53% (8/15)74% (17/23)
Duels won
5565
Clearances
2524
Interceptions
911
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
30
xGOT faced
0.320.00
Goals prevented
0.320.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 33', Cecchini E. 🟨,
  • 37', 1 - 0, Vombergar A. (Own goal),
  • 41', Vallejos J. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Insaurralde J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Romana J. , Herrera D. ,
  • 56', Suhr L. 🟨,
  • 58', Paradela F. 🟨,
  • 59', Paradela F. , Carabajal G. ,
  • 64', Roncaglia F. 🟨,
  • 65', Cecchini E. , Insaurralde M. ,
  • 65', Suhr L. , Burgoa V. ,
  • 66', Gho J. , Renteria J. ,
  • 70', Diaz G. , Andrada J. ,
  • 70', Frias F. , Molina A. ,
  • 87', 1 - 1, Molina A. (Own goal),
  • 89', Herrera D. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Perruzzi F. , Dominguez N. ,
  • 90+4', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sarmiento de Junín
28.1%
Draw
34.9%
San Lorenzo
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.9% 35.2% 37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1% 35.5% 37.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sarmiento de Junín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Sarmiento de Junín - San Lorenzo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.36
    (3.51)
    2.72
    (2.69)
    2.57
    (2.49)
    5.4%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Sarmiento de Junín - San Lorenzo?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Sarmiento will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). San Lorenzo will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.2%92%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • San Lorenzo is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • San Lorenzo might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Sarmiento: Garcia M. (Yellow Cards) Magnin P. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in San Lorenzo: Altamirano F. (Elbow Injury) Cerutti E. (Yellow Cards) Dominguez N. (Muscle Injury) Irala E. (Yellow Cards) Pagano R. (Inactive)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 6:14. (average 0.6:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sarmiento won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sarmiento de Junín - San Lorenzo were as follows:
    03.06.2024 San Lorenzo - Sarmiento de Junín 0:1
    16.03.2024 San Lorenzo - Sarmiento de Junín 1:0
    30.10.2023 Sarmiento de Junín - San Lorenzo 0:0
    20.02.2023 Sarmiento de Junín - San Lorenzo 0:1
    17.10.2022 Sarmiento de Junín - San Lorenzo 2:4
    Latest results of San Lorenzo
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barracas Central43017:529
    2Estudiantes L.P43015:329
    3Huracan53024:5-19
    4Union de Santa Fe52216:248
    5Belgrano52215:238
    6Defensa y Justicia42114:227
    7Tigre52125:507
    8Central Cordoba41304:316
    9Newells Old Boys41214:405
    10Argentinos Jrs51222:3-15
    11Ind. Rivadavia41125:414
    12Banfield41124:6-24
    13Racing Club51133:5-24
    14Boca Juniors40312:3-13
    15Aldosivi50321:5-43


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate42207:168
    2San Lorenzo52214:318
    3Rosario Central51403:217
    4Gimnasia L.P42113:217
    5Dep. Riestra52125:507
    6Lanus42023:216
    7Platense51314:5-16
    8Atl. Tucuman41213:305
    9Velez Sarsfield41212:205
    10Sarmiento Junin41213:4-15
    11Instituto51222:9-75
    12San Martin S.J41124:5-14
    13Talleres Cordoba41123:4-14
    14Godoy Cruz40312:3-13
    15Independiente40223:5-22

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)