Result
1:1
15/11/2025 at 17:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 16
- Referee: Lamolina N. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | HBO Max, TNT Sports |
 Brazil | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 China | K-Ball |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.20 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 55% (107/196) | 76% (246/325) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.20 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.83 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 22 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 55% (107/196) | 76% (246/325) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 27% (18/66) | 41% (26/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 39% (27/70) | 60% (48/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (2/7) | 17% (4/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.60 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 22 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (13/23) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 72 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.89 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.17 | -0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2', 1 - 0, Tripichio N. ⚽,
- 23', Garcia M. 🟨,
- 28', Vigo A. 🟨,
- 32', Gomez J. 🟨,
- 34', Herrera D. ↓, Dominguez N. ↑,
- 42', Godoy J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Gomez J. ↓, Villalba C. ↑,
- 46', Godoy J. ↓, Arismendi Y. ↑,
- 46', Frias F. ↓, Pratto L. ↑,
- 61', Suhr L. ↓, Ardaiz J. ↑,
- 61', Ladstatter A. ↓, Reali M. ↑,
- 61', Tripichio N. ↓, Rattalino J. ↑,
- 65', Cuello A. 🟨,
- 71', Cerutti E. 🟨,
- 74', Orihuela R. 🟨,
- 75', Cerutti E. ↓, Salinardi Branco ↑,
- 75', Gulli F. ↓, Cecchini E. ↑,
- 80', Reali M. 🟨,
- 87', Renteria J. ↓, Marquez B. ↑,
- 90', Villalba C. 🟨,
- 90+2', Hernandez G. 🟨,
- 90+3', 1 - 1, Villalba C. ⚽,
- 90+5', Salinardi Branco 🟨,
Chances of winning
San Lorenzo
55.4% | Draw
29.1% | Sarmiento de Junín
15.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Lorenzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)Sarmiento de Junín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
San Lorenzo - Sarmiento de Junín Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↓
(1.85) |
3.24 ↑
(2.95) |
5.92 ↑
(5.2) |
5.8%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for San Lorenzo - Sarmiento de Junín?
Users Predictions:
San Lorenzo will win
(17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.85% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): San Lorenzo will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- San Lorenzo is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Lorenzo won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- San Lorenzo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, San Lorenzo is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in San Lorenzo: Arias N.
(Knee Injury)
Cordoba A.
(Inactive)
Insaurralde M.
(Elbow Injury)
Vombergar A.
(Illness)
- There will not play in Sarmiento: Contrera J.
(Yellow Cards)
Magnin P.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in San Lorenzo: Romana J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Sarmiento: Gonzalez G.
(Knee Injury)
Vigo A.
(Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, San Lorenzo won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:8. (average 1.3:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, San Lorenzo won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:3. (average 1.3:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has San Lorenzo won against Sarmiento de Junín?
San Lorenzo has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sarmiento de Junín won against San Lorenzo?
Sarmiento de Junín has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Lorenzo - Sarmiento de Junín were as follows:
03.05.2025
Sarmiento de Junín
-
San Lorenzo
1:1
03.06.2024
San Lorenzo
-
Sarmiento de Junín
0:1
16.03.2024
San Lorenzo
-
Sarmiento de Junín
1:0
30.10.2023
Sarmiento de Junín
-
San Lorenzo
0:0
20.02.2023
Sarmiento de Junín
-
San Lorenzo
0:1
Latest results of San Lorenzo
Latest results of Sarmiento de Junín
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 15 |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 15 |
| 3 | Platense | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 12 |
| 4 | San Lorenzo | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 11 |
| 5 | Defensa y Justicia | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | Independiente | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Talleres Cordoba | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 10 |
| 8 | Union de Santa Fe | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:3 | 3 | 8 |
| 9 | Boca Juniors | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 8 |
| 10 | Lanus | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 | Instituto | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 | Central Cordoba | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3:4 | -1 | 8 |
| 13 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4:9 | -5 | 7 |
| 14 | Dep. Riestra | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 | Newells Old Boys | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5:14 | -9 | 2 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Belgrano | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 15 |
| 2 | Ind. Rivadavia | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 15 |
| 3 | Tigre | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12:5 | 7 | 14 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 11 |
| 5 | Gimnasia L.P | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 | Huracan | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 9 |
| 7 | Argentinos Jrs | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 | Barracas Central | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 8 |
| 9 | Banfield | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | Racing Club | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 11 | River Plate | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 | Sarmiento Junin | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4:6 | -2 | 6 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 3 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1:11 | -10 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
