SB Castelo Branco vs Peniche – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:0
07/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 11

Match Stats

Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
89
Shots on target
63
Corner Kicks
41
Total shots
89
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
26
Corner Kicks
41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (4 - 0)
  • 3', 1 - 0, ,
  • 13', 2 - 0, ,
  • 25', 3 - 0, ,
  • 40', 4 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 74', 5 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


SB Castelo Branco
46.7%
Draw
29.4%
Peniche
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.3% 29% 27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3% 28.3% 27.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • SB Castelo Branco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • Peniche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for SB Castelo Branco than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peniche than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • SB Castelo Branco - Peniche Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.94
    (2.08)
    3.09
    (3.1)
    3.79
    (3.25)
    10.3%
    (11.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SB Castelo Branco won 2.
    • In recent matches, SB Castelo Branco has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Peniche is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • SB Castelo Branco might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, SB Castelo Branco won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 0.9:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, SB Castelo Branco won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between SB Castelo Branco - Peniche were as follows:
    30.11.2024 SB Castelo Branco - Peniche 0:1
    07.04.2024 Peniche - SB Castelo Branco 2:0
    17.12.2023 SB Castelo Branco - Peniche 2:0
    Latest results of SB Castelo Branco
    Latest results of Peniche
    29.11.2025 Peniche - Eléctrico 0:3
    02.11.2025 Peniche - Os Marialvas 0:1
    26.10.2025 Naval - Peniche 2:0
    Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vitoria Sernache21145229:82147
    2SB Castelo Branco21132638:191941
    3Naval 189322115630:22838
    4Oliveira Hospital21107429:111837
    5Uniao Da Serra21107431:191237
    6Mortagua2196620:20033
    7Os Marialvas2184928:26228
    8Peniche2176824:28-427
    9Fatima2167818:22-425
    10Lajense2258927:30-323
    11Marinhense2158815:27-1223
    12Samora Correia21451214:28-1417
    13Electrico22441427:53-2616
    14SC Lusitania22441420:37-1716

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