Result
1:1
21/12/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 13
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 51', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 78', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
SC Lusitânia
35.7% | Draw
31.1% | Peniche
33.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SC Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Peniche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for SC Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peniche than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
SC Lusitânia - Peniche Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.52 ↑
(2.32) |
2.9 ↓
(3.2) |
2.71 ↓
(2.76) |
11%
(10.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for SC Lusitânia - Peniche?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.5 - SC Lusitânia (2.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - SC Lusitânia (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - SC Lusitânia (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - SC Lusitânia (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): SC Lusitânia will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. SC Lusitânia (votes: 6 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 7).
- SC Lusitânia is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Peniche has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- SC Lusitânia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, SC Lusitânia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, SC Lusitânia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has SC Lusitânia won against Peniche?
SC Lusitânia has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Peniche won against SC Lusitânia?
Peniche has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between SC Lusitânia - Peniche were as follows:
03.03.2024
Peniche
-
SC Lusitânia
1:4
19.11.2023
SC Lusitânia
-
Peniche
1:0
Latest results of SC Lusitânia
Latest results of Peniche
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vitoria Sernache ✔ | 25 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 33:10 | 23 | 55 |
| 2 | Oliveira Hospital | 25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 36:13 | 23 | 47 |
| 3 | SB Castelo Branco | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 42:22 | 20 | 46 |
| 4 | Naval 1893 | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 34:23 | 11 | 45 |
| 5 | Uniao Da Serra | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 36:23 | 13 | 44 |
| 6 | Os Marialvas | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 33:27 | 6 | 36 |
| 7 | Mortagua | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 21:25 | -4 | 36 |
| 8 | Fatima | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 23:28 | -5 | 29 |
| 9 | Lajense | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 36:37 | -1 | 29 |
| 10 | Peniche | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 29:42 | -13 | 27 |
| 11 | Samora Correia | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 23:33 | -10 | 26 |
| 12 | Marinhense ✔ | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 20:35 | -15 | 24 |
| 13 | Electrico ✔ | 25 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 32:60 | -28 | 19 |
| 14 | SC Lusitania ✔ | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 23:43 | -20 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Vitoria Sernache is Qualified for Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Marinhense is Relegated to
Electrico is Relegated to
SC Lusitania is Relegated to
