Result
5:0
18/01/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 21
- Referee: Guldibi O. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 0.48 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (423/490) | 77% (285/371) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 0.48 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.29 | 0.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (423/490) | 77% (285/371) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (16/39) | 47% (31/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (72/95) | 60% (41/68) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (5/15) | 27% (4/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.44 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 74% (14/19) | 77% (20/26) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.05 | 2.29 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.05 | -2.71 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Ekincier B. ⚽,
- 10', Guibero R. 🟨,
- 21', 2 - 0, Ekincier B. (Penalty Awarded),
- 31', 3 - 0, Ekincier B. ⚽, Celik B. (A),
- 45+3', Terzi E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Terzi E. ↓, Adeola R. ↑,
- 46', Celik B. ↓, Kosoko T. ↑,
- 50', Ekincier B. ↓, Soukou C. ↑,
- 58', Skvortsov L. ↓, Ibrahimoglu M. ↑,
- 68', 4 - 0, Hoti E. ⚽,
- 68', Ceylan B. 🟨,
- 71', Djokanovic A. ↓, Aktas K. ↑,
- 75', Nefiz E. ↓, Terzi E. ↑,
- 75', Guibero R. ↓, Spasov G. ↑,
- 82', Babacan A. ↓, Sas Y. D. ↑,
- 82', Yildirim O. ↓, Bulbul A. T. ↑,
- 88', Aktas K. 🟨,
- 89', 5 - 0, Soukou C. ⚽, Benny (A),
Chances of winning
Umraniyespor
61% | Draw
23% | Serik Belediyespor
16% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Umraniyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)Serik Belediyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Umraniyespor than the current prediction. (-12.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Umraniyespor that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Serik Belediyespor than the current prediction. (+7.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Serik Belediyespor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Umraniyespor - Serik Belediyespor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.51 ↓
(1.64) |
4.05 ↑
(3.93) |
5.77 ↑
(4.72) |
8.3%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Umraniyespor - Serik Belediyespor?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Umraniyespor will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Serik Belediyespor will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Umraniyespor: 19% – 81%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Umraniyespor (votes: 2 - 50%). Serik Belediyespor (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 14).
- In recent matches, Umraniyespor has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Serik Belediyespor is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Umraniyespor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Serik Belediyespor has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Umraniyespor is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Umraniyespor: Glumac T.
(Yellow Cards)
Saitoglu Y.
(Suspended)
- There will not play in Serik Belediyespor: Asan B.
(Yellow Cards)
Dilli S.
(Suspended)
Tunali M.
(Suspended)
Yucedag E.
(Inactive)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Umraniyespor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Umraniyespor won against Serik Belediyespor?
Umraniyespor has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Serik Belediyespor won against Umraniyespor?
Serik Belediyespor has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Umraniyespor - Serik Belediyespor were as follows:
15.08.2025
Serik Belediyespor
-
Umraniyespor
1:0
Latest results of Umraniyespor
Latest results of Serik Belediyespor
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Erzurumspor | 34 | 22 | 9 | 3 | 77:24 | 53 | 75 |
| 2 | Amedspor | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 75:34 | 41 | 71 |
| 3 | Erokspor | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 77:32 | 45 | 67 |
| 4 | Corum | 35 | 19 | 7 | 9 | 55:37 | 18 | 64 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 69:36 | 33 | 62 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 35 | 15 | 13 | 7 | 54:31 | 23 | 58 |
| 7 | Keciorengucu | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 67:40 | 27 | 54 |
| 8 | Bandirmaspor | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 43:33 | 10 | 53 |
| 9 | Sivasspor | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 43:35 | 8 | 50 |
| 10 | Manisa FK | 35 | 14 | 7 | 14 | 50:54 | -4 | 49 |
| 11 | Igdir FK | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 47:48 | -1 | 48 |
| 12 | Vanspor FK | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 48:40 | 8 | 46 |
| 13 | Sariyer | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 41:41 | 0 | 46 |
| 14 | Boluspor | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 52:52 | 0 | 42 |
| 15 | Umraniyespor | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 40:42 | -2 | 42 |
| 16 | Istanbulspor AS | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 40:51 | -11 | 40 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 35 | 10 | 6 | 19 | 39:69 | -30 | 36 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 43:60 | -17 | 33 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 35 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 27:96 | -69 | 10 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor ✔ | 35 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 20:152 | -132 | -54 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Adana Demirspor is Relegated to
