Shakhtar Donetsk vs Legia Warsaw – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League Shakhtar Donetsk - Legia Warsaw
Result
1:2
23/10/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - League phase - Round 2
  • Referee: Correia G. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
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australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
germanyGermanyRTL+
greeceGreeceANT 1+
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandPolsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 14
swedenSwedenDisney+
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.490.97
Ball Possession
70%30%
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
90% (568/631)72% (189/264)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
0.490.97
xG on target (xGOT)
0.671.69
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
36
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
65
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
1912
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
89
Passes
90% (568/631)72% (189/264)
Long passes
57% (24/42)45% (21/47)
Passes in final third
76% (130/172)55% (39/71)
Crosses
27% (3/11)36% (5/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.000.41
Throw-ins
1715
Fouls
98
Tackles
60% (9/15)70% (19/27)
Duels won
3748
Clearances
1924
Interceptions
1312
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
1.690.67
Goals prevented
-0.31-0.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 16', 0 - 1, Augustyniak R. ,
  • 33', Marlon Gomes 🟨,
  • 43', Rajovic M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 59', Eguinaldo , Newerton ,
  • 59', Shved M. , Lucas Ferreira ,
  • 59', Bondarenko A. , Glushchenko A. ,
  • 59', Rajovic M. , Colak A. ,
  • 59', Urbanski W. , Kapustka B. ,
  • 61', 1 - 1, Luca Meirelles , Konoplya Y. (A),
  • 67', Krasniqi E. , Stojanovic P. ,
  • 77', Marlon Gomes , Nazaryna Y. ,
  • 82', Konoplya Y. 🟨,
  • 84', Konoplya Y. , Tobias V. ,
  • 85', Elitim J. , Urbanski K. ,
  • 85', Chodyna K. , Zewlakow J. ,
  • 90+3', Nazaryna Y. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 1 - 2, Augustyniak R. ,

Chances of winning


Shakhtar Donetsk
43.3%
Draw
29%
Legia Warsaw
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.4% 23.5% 20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4% 22.7% 19.3%

Shakhtar Donetsk - Legia Warsaw Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.58
(1.67)
3.61
(4)
3.7
(4.69)
-6.5%
(6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Shakhtar Donetsk - Legia Warsaw?
  • Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Shakhtar will win (votes: 20 - 74.1%). Legia will win (votes: 4 - 14.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Shakhtar: 57.6%90.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Shakhtar (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Legia (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 75%).
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium - Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana.
    • Shakhtar is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Legia is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Shakhtar is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Shakhtar: Alisson (Foot Injury) Khromey M. (Inactive) Kornienko V. (Inactive) Petryak I. (Inactive) Savchenko R. (Inactive) Topalov D. (Inactive) Traore L. (Muscle Injury) Udod D. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Legia: Arreiol H. (Muscle Injury) Nsame J. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Shakhtar Donetsk
    Latest results of Legia Warsaw
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Samsunspor33007:079
    2Celje33007:259
    3Mainz33004:139
    4AEK Larnaca32105:057
    5Lausanne32105:147
    6Rayo Vallecano32107:437
    7Strasbourg32105:327
    8Fiorentina32016:246
    9Crystal Palace32015:236
    10Shakhtar Donetsk32016:426
    11KuPS31204:225
    12Rakow31203:125
    13Drita31203:215
    14Jagiellonia31203:215
    15AEK Athens FC31118:444
    16Sparta Prague31114:224
    17Noah31113:304
    18Rijeka31112:204
    19Sigma Olomouc31113:4-14
    20Univ. Craiova31112:3-14
    21Shkendija31112:3-14
    22Lincoln Red Imps31113:7-44
    23Lech Poznan31027:613
    24Dyn. Kyiv31026:513
    25Legia31023:4-13
    26Zrinjski31025:7-23
    27AZ Alkmaar31022:7-53
    28Hacken30213:4-12
    29Omonia30212:3-12
    30Shelbourne30120:2-21
    31Shamrock Rovers30122:7-51
    32Breidablik30120:5-51
    33Aberdeen30122:9-71
    34Slovan Bratislava30032:6-40
    35Hamrun30030:5-50
    36SK Rapid30031:8-70

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