Shakhtar Donetsk vs Legia Warsaw – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League
Result
1:2
23/10/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - League phase - Round 2
  • Referee: Correia G. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 1, Fast Sports
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
germanyGermanyRTL+
greeceGreeceANT 1+
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandPolsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 14
swedenSwedenDisney+
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.490.97
Ball Possession
70%30%
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
90% (568/631)72% (189/264)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
0.490.97
xG on target (xGOT)
0.671.69
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
36
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
65
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
1912
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
89
Passes
90% (568/631)72% (189/264)
Long passes
57% (24/42)45% (21/47)
Passes in final third
76% (130/172)55% (39/71)
Crosses
27% (3/11)36% (5/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.000.41
Throw-ins
1715
Fouls
98
Tackles
60% (9/15)70% (19/27)
Duels won
3748
Clearances
1924
Interceptions
1312
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
1.690.67
Goals prevented
-0.31-0.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 16', 0 - 1, Augustyniak R. ⚽,
  • 33', Marlon Gomes 🟨,
  • 43', Rajovic M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 59', Eguinaldo ↓, Newerton ↑,
  • 59', Shved M. ↓, Lucas Ferreira ↑,
  • 59', Bondarenko A. ↓, Glushchenko A. ↑,
  • 59', Rajovic M. ↓, Colak A. ↑,
  • 59', Urbanski W. ↓, Kapustka B. ↑,
  • 61', 1 - 1, Luca Meirelles ⚽, Konoplya Y. (A),
  • 67', Krasniqi E. ↓, Stojanovic P. ↑,
  • 77', Marlon Gomes ↓, Nazaryna Y. ↑,
  • 82', Konoplya Y. 🟨,
  • 84', Konoplya Y. ↓, Tobias V. ↑,
  • 85', Elitim J. ↓, Urbanski K. ↑,
  • 85', Chodyna K. ↓, Zewlakow J. ↑,
  • 90+3', Nazaryna Y. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 1 - 2, Augustyniak R. ⚽,

Chances of winning


Shakhtar Donetsk
43.3%		Draw
29%		Legia Warsaw
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.4% 23.5% 20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4% 22.7% 19.3%

Shakhtar Donetsk - Legia Warsaw Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 2.58 ↑
(1.67)		 3.61 ↓
(4)		 3.7 ↓
(4.69)		 -6.5%
(6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Shakhtar Donetsk - Legia Warsaw?
  • Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Shakhtar will win (votes: 20 - 74.1%). Legia will win (votes: 4 - 14.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Shakhtar: 57.6% – 90.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Shakhtar (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Legia (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium - Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana.
    • Shakhtar is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Legia is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Shakhtar is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Shakhtar: Alisson (Foot Injury) Khromey M. (Inactive) Kornienko V. (Inactive) Petryak I. (Inactive) Savchenko R. (Inactive) Topalov D. (Inactive) Traore L. (Muscle Injury) Udod D. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Legia: Arreiol H. (Muscle Injury) Nsame J. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Shakhtar Donetsk
    18.10.2025 Polissya Zhytomyr - Shakhtar Donetsk 0:0
    05.10.2025 Shakhtar Donetsk - LNZ Cherkasy 1:4 ✺
    02.10.2025 Aberdeen - Shakhtar Donetsk 2:3 ✺
    28.09.2025 Rukh Lviv - Shakhtar Donetsk 0:4 ✺
    22.09.2025 Shakhtar Donetsk - Zorya Luhansk 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Legia Warsaw
    19.10.2025 Zagłębie Lubin - Legia Warsaw 3:1 ✺
    05.10.2025 Górnik Zabrze - Legia Warsaw 3:1 ✺
    02.10.2025 Legia Warsaw - Samsunspor 0:1 ✺
    28.09.2025 Legia Warsaw - Pogoń Szczecin 1:0 ✺
    24.09.2025 Legia Warsaw - Jagiellonia Białystok 0:0 ✺
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Strasbourg651011:5616
    2Rakow64209:2714
    3AEK Athens641114:7713
    4Sparta Prague641110:3713
    5Rayo Vallecano641113:7613
    6Shakhtar Donetsk641110:5513
    7Mainz64117:3413
    8AEK Larnaca63307:1612
    9Lausanne63216:3311
    10Crystal Palace631211:6510
    11Lech Poznan631212:8410
    12Samsunspor631210:6410
    13Celje63128:7110
    14AZ Alkmaar63127:7010
    15Fiorentina63038:539
    16Rijeka62315:239
    17Jagiellonia62315:419
    18Omonia62225:418
    19Noah62226:7-18
    20Drita62224:8-48
    21KuPS61416:517
    22Shkendija62134:5-17
    23Zrinjski62138:10-27
    24Sigma Olomouc62137:9-27
    25Univ. Craiova62136:8-27
    26Lincoln Red Imps62137:15-87
    27Dyn. Kyiv62049:906
    28Legia62048:806
    29Slovan Bratislava62045:9-46
    30Breidablik61236:11-55
    31Shamrock Rovers61147:13-64
    32Hacken60335:8-33
    33Hamrun61054:11-73
    34Shelbourne60240:7-72
    35Aberdeen60243:14-112
    36SK Rapid60153:14-111

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