Shakhtar Donetsk vs Legia Warsaw – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League
Result
1:2
23/10/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - League phase - Round 2
  • Referee: Correia G. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 1, Fast Sports
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
germanyGermanyRTL+
greeceGreeceANT 1+
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandPolsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 14
swedenSwedenDisney+
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.490.97
Ball Possession
70%30%
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
90% (568/631)72% (189/264)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
0.490.97
xG on target (xGOT)
0.671.69
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
36
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
65
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
1912
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
89
Passes
90% (568/631)72% (189/264)
Long passes
57% (24/42)45% (21/47)
Passes in final third
76% (130/172)55% (39/71)
Crosses
27% (3/11)36% (5/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.000.41
Throw-ins
1715
Fouls
98
Tackles
60% (9/15)70% (19/27)
Duels won
3748
Clearances
1924
Interceptions
1312
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
1.690.67
Goals prevented
-0.31-0.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 16', 0 - 1, Augustyniak R. ⚽,
  • 33', Marlon Gomes 🟨,
  • 43', Rajovic M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 59', Eguinaldo ↓, Newerton ↑,
  • 59', Shved M. ↓, Lucas Ferreira ↑,
  • 59', Bondarenko A. ↓, Glushchenko A. ↑,
  • 59', Rajovic M. ↓, Colak A. ↑,
  • 59', Urbanski W. ↓, Kapustka B. ↑,
  • 61', 1 - 1, Luca Meirelles ⚽, Konoplya Y. (A),
  • 67', Krasniqi E. ↓, Stojanovic P. ↑,
  • 77', Marlon Gomes ↓, Nazaryna Y. ↑,
  • 82', Konoplya Y. 🟨,
  • 84', Konoplya Y. ↓, Tobias V. ↑,
  • 85', Elitim J. ↓, Urbanski K. ↑,
  • 85', Chodyna K. ↓, Zewlakow J. ↑,
  • 90+3', Nazaryna Y. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 1 - 2, Augustyniak R. ⚽,

Chances of winning


Shakhtar Donetsk
43.3%		Draw
29%		Legia Warsaw
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.4% 23.5% 20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4% 22.7% 19.3%

Shakhtar Donetsk - Legia Warsaw Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 2.58 ↑
(1.67)		 3.61 ↓
(4)		 3.7 ↓
(4.69)		 -6.5%
(6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Shakhtar Donetsk - Legia Warsaw?
  • Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Shakhtar will win (votes: 20 - 74.1%). Legia will win (votes: 4 - 14.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Shakhtar: 57.6% – 90.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Shakhtar (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Legia (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium - Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana.
    • Shakhtar is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Legia is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Shakhtar is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Shakhtar: Alisson (Foot Injury) Khromey M. (Inactive) Kornienko V. (Inactive) Petryak I. (Inactive) Savchenko R. (Inactive) Topalov D. (Inactive) Traore L. (Muscle Injury) Udod D. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Legia: Arreiol H. (Muscle Injury) Nsame J. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Shakhtar Donetsk
    18.10.2025 Polissya Zhytomyr - Shakhtar Donetsk 0:0
    05.10.2025 Shakhtar Donetsk - LNZ Cherkasy 1:4 ✺
    02.10.2025 Aberdeen - Shakhtar Donetsk 2:3 ✺
    28.09.2025 Rukh Lviv - Shakhtar Donetsk 0:4 ✺
    22.09.2025 Shakhtar Donetsk - Zorya Luhansk 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Legia Warsaw
    19.10.2025 Zagłębie Lubin - Legia Warsaw 3:1 ✺
    05.10.2025 Górnik Zabrze - Legia Warsaw 3:1 ✺
    02.10.2025 Legia Warsaw - Samsunspor 0:1 ✺
    28.09.2025 Legia Warsaw - Pogoń Szczecin 1:0 ✺
    24.09.2025 Legia Warsaw - Jagiellonia Białystok 0:0 ✺
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Samsunspor43109:2710
    2Strasbourg43107:4310
    3Celje43018:449
    4Shakhtar Donetsk43018:539
    5Mainz43014:229
    6Rakow42207:258
    7AEK Larnaca42205:058
    8Drita42204:228
    9Jagiellonia42204:228
    10AEK Athens42119:457
    11Sparta Prague42115:237
    12Rayo Vallecano42118:627
    13Lausanne42115:327
    14Sigma Olomouc42115:507
    15Univ. Craiova42113:307
    16Lech Poznan42029:636
    17Fiorentina42026:336
    18Crystal Palace42026:426
    19Zrinjski42027:8-16
    20AZ Alkmaar42024:7-36
    21Omonia41214:315
    22KuPS41214:315
    23Noah41214:405
    24Rijeka41212:205
    25Shkendija41122:4-24
    26Lincoln Red Imps41124:10-64
    27Dyn. Kyiv41036:7-13
    28Legia41033:5-23
    29Slovan Bratislava41034:7-33
    30Hamrun41033:6-33
    31Hacken40224:6-22
    32Breidablik40222:7-52
    33Aberdeen40223:10-72
    34Shelbourne40130:4-41
    35Shamrock Rovers40133:9-61
    36SK Rapid40042:12-100

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