Result
0:2
07/04/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 29
- Referee: Hajiyev F. (Aze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 20', Safarov E. ↓, Alex Fernandes ↑,
- 42', 0 - 1, Sheydayev R. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Huseynov C. ↓, Velijev M. ↑,
- 61', Raphael Guzzo ↓, Haciyev R. ↑,
- 62', Msanga A. 🟨,
- 75', Michael Thuique ↓, Mammadov E. ↑,
- 75', Abbasov R. ↓, Mammadli F. ↑,
- 75', Msanga A. ↓, Rustamli R. ↑,
- 82', Konate B. 🟨,
- 89', Adilkhanov E. ↓, Bagirov S. ↑,
- 89', 0 - 2, Ozobic F. ⚽,
- 90+2', Sambou B. ↓, Salyanskiy A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Shamakhi
29.1% | Draw
31.7% | Neftchi Baku
39.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shamakhi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Neftchi Baku has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shamakhi than the current prediction. (+3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftchi Baku than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Shamakhi - Neftchi Baku Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.12 ↑
(2.99) |
2.86 ↑
(2.83) |
2.31 ↓
(2.45) |
10.4%
(9.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Shamakhi - Neftchi Baku?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Shamakhi will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Neftchi will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Neftchi: 12% – 65%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Shamakhi (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Shamakhi won 0.
- Both teams are now playing unstable.
- Neftchi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Shamakhi won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 16:37 (average 0.8:1.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Shamakhi won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 6:12 (average 0.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Shamakhi won against Neftchi Baku?
Shamakhi has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Neftchi Baku won against Shamakhi?
Neftchi Baku has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shamakhi - Neftchi Baku were as follows:
31.01.2025
Neftchi Baku
-
Shamakhi
1:0
08.11.2024
Neftchi Baku
-
Shamakhi
2:2
31.08.2024
Shamakhi
-
Neftchi Baku
0:0
14.05.2023
Neftchi Baku
-
Shamakhi
1:1
12.03.2023
Shamakhi
-
Neftchi Baku
0:1
Latest results of Shamakhi
Latest results of Neftchi Baku
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2024/25 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Qarabag | 36 | 28 | 5 | 3 | 86:19 | 67 | 89 |
| 2 | Zira | 36 | 23 | 5 | 8 | 59:27 | 32 | 74 |
| 3 | Araz | 36 | 15 | 13 | 8 | 34:29 | 5 | 58 |
| 4 | Turan | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 45:39 | 6 | 55 |
| 5 | Sabah Baku | 36 | 10 | 18 | 8 | 50:46 | 4 | 48 |
| 6 | Neftci Baku | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 39:49 | -10 | 43 |
| 7 | Shamakhi | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 32:46 | -14 | 36 |
| 8 | Sumqayit | 36 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 31:53 | -22 | 33 |
| 9 | Kapaz | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 28:65 | -37 | 32 |
| 10 | Sabail | 36 | 4 | 10 | 22 | 28:59 | -31 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
