Result
2:2
28/02/2026 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 22
- Referee: Rahimov K. (Aze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 29', Sacko F. ↓, Shtogrin A. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Sambou B. ↓, Aboubakar V. ↑,
- 46', Igor Ribeiro 🟨,
- 60', 0 - 1, Aboubakar V. ⚽,
- 65', Mahmudov E. ↓, Vargas F. ↑,
- 68', Adilkhanov E. ↓, Tircoveanu A. ↑,
- 69', Mammadov O. ↓, Shuaibu A. ↑,
- 73', Shtogrin A. 🟨,
- 75', 1 - 1, Cezar ⚽,
- 84', Rossi K. 🟨,
- 85', Faraj I. ↓, Mammadov M. ↑,
- 88', Rzayev A. ↓, Maharramli R. ↑,
- 90+1', 1 - 2, Aboubakar V. ⚽,
- 90+7', Seck M. 🟨,
- 90+8', 2 - 2, Rossi K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+9', Balau D. ↓, Suleymanov E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Shamakhi
25.1% | Draw
29.5% | Neftchi Baku
45.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shamakhi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Neftchi Baku has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
Shamakhi - Neftchi Baku Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.66 ↓
(3.77) |
3.11 ↓
(3.18) |
2.02 ↑
(1.97) |
8.9%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Shamakhi - Neftchi Baku?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Shamakhi will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Neftchi will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Neftchi: 35.2% – 92%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Shamakhi (votes: 1 - 50%). Neftchi (votes: 1 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.5 - Shamakhi (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1 - Shamakhi (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Shamakhi (votes: 3 - 75%). Neftchi (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shamakhi won 0.
- Shamakhi has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Neftchi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Neftchi is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shamakhi won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 17:39. (average 0.9:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Shamakhi won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.7:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Shamakhi won against Neftchi Baku?
Shamakhi has won 0 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Neftchi Baku won against Shamakhi?
Neftchi Baku has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shamakhi - Neftchi Baku were as follows:
16.08.2025
Neftchi Baku
-
Shamakhi
1:1
07.04.2025
Shamakhi
-
Neftchi Baku
0:2
31.01.2025
Neftchi Baku
-
Shamakhi
1:0
08.11.2024
Neftchi Baku
-
Shamakhi
2:2
31.08.2024
Shamakhi
-
Neftchi Baku
0:0
Latest results of Shamakhi
Latest results of Neftchi Baku
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sabah Baku | 22 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 45:15 | 30 | 53 |
| 2 | Qarabag | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 39:16 | 23 | 46 |
| 3 | Turan Tovuz | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 27:14 | 13 | 41 |
| 4 | Zira | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 7 | 38 |
| 5 | Araz | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 31:36 | -5 | 33 |
| 6 | Neftci Baku | 21 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 30:20 | 10 | 31 |
| 7 | Sumqayit | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 31:30 | 1 | 31 |
| 8 | Shamakhi | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23:26 | -3 | 26 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 18:25 | -7 | 21 |
| 10 | Gabala | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 19:29 | -10 | 16 |
| 11 | Kapaz | 22 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 17:45 | -28 | 16 |
| 12 | Karvan | 22 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 14:45 | -31 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
