Nagoya Grampus vs Shimizu S-Pulse – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Nagoya Grampus - Shimizu S-Pulse
Result
1:1
21/06/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 21
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.680.65
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
911
Shots on target
21
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
36
Passes
76% (285/376)82% (369/451)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
0.680.65
xG on target (xGOT)
0.730.59
Total shots
911
Shots on target
21
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
15
Shots inside the Box
45
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
36
Touches in opposition box
1521
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1117
Passes
76% (285/376)82% (369/451)
Long passes
37% (23/62)24% (12/49)
Passes in final third
70% (96/138)75% (158/211)
Crosses
25% (4/16)20% (5/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.691.07
Throw-ins
2325
Fouls
1711
Tackles
67% (10/15)60% (6/10)
Duels won
4848
Clearances
2219
Interceptions
74
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
01
xGOT faced
0.590.73
Goals prevented
-0.41-0.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 17', Morishima T. 🟨,
  • 41', Takahashi Y. , Sumiyoshi J. ,
  • 45+2', Sato Y. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 47', Izumi R. 🟨,
  • 61', Morishima T. , Yamagishi Y. ,
  • 64', 1 - 0, Yamagishi Y. , Mateus (A),
  • 69', Uno Z. , Yajima S. ,
  • 69', Matsuzaki K. , Nakahara H. ,
  • 73', Nagai K. , Asano Y. ,
  • 73', Izumi R. , Nogami Y. ,
  • 80', Capixaba , Nishihara M. ,
  • 80', Kitagawa K. , Chiba K. ,
  • 88', 1 - 1, Chiba K. , Nakahara H. (A),
  • 90+1', Brunetti M. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Yamagishi Y. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Hara T. , Ono M. ,
  • 90+2', Tokumoto S. , Junker K. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Nagoya Grampus
40.7%
Draw
29.6%
Shimizu S-Pulse
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.6% 28.2% 28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3% 28.4% 28.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nagoya Grampus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Shimizu S-Pulse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • Nagoya Grampus - Shimizu S-Pulse Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (2.2)
    3.19
    (3.39)
    3.27
    (3.4)
    5.6%
    (4.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Nagoya Grampus - Shimizu S-Pulse?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Nagoya will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Shimizu will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nagoya: 46.1%91.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Shimizu (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 15 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 3.
    • Nagoya is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Shimizu's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Nagoya is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Nagoya: Mori S. (Inactive) Schmidt D. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 34:27. (average 1.7:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nagoya won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.4:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nagoya Grampus - Shimizu S-Pulse were as follows:
    03.05.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse - Nagoya Grampus 0:3
    Latest results of Nagoya Grampus
    Latest results of Shimizu S-Pulse
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers31194848:282061
    2Vissel Kobe31176841:261557
    3Kyoto31168754:332156
    4Kashiwa Reysol311511543:291456
    5Machida31157947:331452
    6Sanfrecce Hiroshima31157935:211452
    7Kawasaki Frontale31149855:401551
    8Urawa Reds31139939:32748
    9Gamba Osaka311441342:45-346
    10Cerezo Osaka3111101048:45343
    11Shimizu S-Pulse3110101133:36-340
    12Okayama311171328:33-540
    13FC Tokyo311171333:42-940
    14Avispa Fukuoka319101230:35-537
    15Nagoya Grampus31991338:43-536
    16Verdy31981420:35-1535
    17Yokohama F. Marinos31771729:41-1228
    18Yokohama FC31771720:36-1628
    19Shonan Bellmare31671828:55-2725
    20Albirex Niigata31491827:50-2321

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