Result
1:1
21/06/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 21
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.65 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (285/376) | 82% (369/451) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.65 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.59 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (285/376) | 82% (369/451) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (23/62) | 24% (12/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (96/138) | 75% (158/211) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 20% (5/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 1.07 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 60% (6/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.73 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.41 | -0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 17', Morishima T. 🟨,
- 41', Takahashi Y. ↓, Sumiyoshi J. ↑,
- 45+2', Sato Y. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 47', Izumi R. 🟨,
- 61', Morishima T. ↓, Yamagishi Y. ↑,
- 64', 1 - 0, Yamagishi Y. ⚽, Mateus (A),
- 69', Uno Z. ↓, Yajima S. ↑,
- 69', Matsuzaki K. ↓, Nakahara H. ↑,
- 73', Nagai K. ↓, Asano Y. ↑,
- 73', Izumi R. ↓, Nogami Y. ↑,
- 80', Capixaba ↓, Nishihara M. ↑,
- 80', Kitagawa K. ↓, Chiba K. ↑,
- 88', 1 - 1, Chiba K. ⚽, Nakahara H. (A),
- 90+1', Brunetti M. 🟨,
- 90+1', Yamagishi Y. 🟨,
- 90+2', Hara T. ↓, Ono M. ↑,
- 90+2', Tokumoto S. ↓, Junker K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Nagoya Grampus
40.7% | Draw
29.6% | Shimizu S-Pulse
29.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nagoya Grampus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Shimizu S-Pulse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Nagoya Grampus - Shimizu S-Pulse Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.29 ↑
(2.2) |
3.19 ↓
(3.39) |
3.27 ↓
(3.4) |
5.6%
(4.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Nagoya Grampus - Shimizu S-Pulse?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Nagoya will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Shimizu will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nagoya: 46.1% – 91.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Shimizu (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 15 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 3.
- Nagoya is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Shimizu's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Nagoya is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Nagoya: Mori S.
(Inactive)
Schmidt D.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 34:27. (average 1.7:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nagoya won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.4:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Nagoya Grampus won against Shimizu S-Pulse?
Nagoya Grampus has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shimizu S-Pulse won against Nagoya Grampus?
Shimizu S-Pulse has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nagoya Grampus - Shimizu S-Pulse were as follows:
03.05.2025
Shimizu S-Pulse
-
Nagoya Grampus
0:3
Latest results of Nagoya Grampus
Latest results of Shimizu S-Pulse
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 34:22 | 12 | 46 |
| 2 | Kashima Antlers | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 36:24 | 12 | 44 |
| 3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 33:23 | 10 | 44 |
| 4 | Kyoto | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 40:29 | 11 | 42 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 29:18 | 11 | 42 |
| 6 | Machida | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 40 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 38:26 | 12 | 38 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 32:24 | 8 | 37 |
| 9 | Cerezo Osaka | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 37:33 | 4 | 34 |
| 10 | Gamba Osaka | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 29:31 | -2 | 34 |
| 11 | Avispa Fukuoka | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 21:23 | -2 | 31 |
| 12 | Okayama | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 20:22 | -2 | 30 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 30 |
| 14 | FC Tokyo | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
| 15 | Nagoya Grampus | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 28 |
| 16 | Verdy | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 15:24 | -9 | 28 |
| 17 | Shonan Bellmare | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 20:37 | -17 | 24 |
| 18 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23:32 | -9 | 21 |
| 19 | Yokohama FC | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 14:30 | -16 | 19 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 19 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
