Shimizu S-Pulse vs Tokyo Verdy – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Shimizu S-Pulse - Tokyo Verdy
Result
1:0
25/10/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 35
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.160.82
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
611
Shots on target
13
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
511
Passes
76% (301/396)83% (459/552)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.160.82
xG on target (xGOT)
0.170.45
Total shots
611
Shots on target
13
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
04
Shots inside the Box
48
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
511
Touches in opposition box
829
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
157
Passes
76% (301/396)83% (459/552)
Long passes
28% (19/67)47% (21/45)
Passes in final third
60% (59/99)72% (124/173)
Crosses
25% (4/16)27% (8/30)
Expected assists (xA)
0.400.76
Throw-ins
2019
Fouls
715
Tackles
69% (11/16)69% (11/16)
Duels won
5338
Clearances
2921
Interceptions
1410
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
0.450.17
Goals prevented
0.450.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 4', Saito K. 🟨,
  • 18', 1 - 0, Hayashi N. (Own goal),
  • 39', Morita K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 56', Yoshida Y. 🟨,
  • 60', Arai Y. , Matsuhashi Y. ,
  • 67', Matsuzaki K. , Inui T. ,
  • 67', Capixaba , Kitazume K. ,
  • 68', Matheus Bueno 🟨,
  • 72', Saito K. , Hirakawa R. ,
  • 72', Fukuda Y. , Shirai R. ,
  • 73', Yoshida Y. , Takagi S. ,
  • 73', Kitagawa K. , Yajima S. ,
  • 79', Miyahara K. , Toyama S. ,
  • 79', Uchida Y. , Yoshida T. ,
  • 90', Uno Z. , Shimamoto Y. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Shimizu S-Pulse
37.6%
Draw
31%
Tokyo Verdy
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.7% 32.2% 32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4% 33.8% 30.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shimizu S-Pulse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • Tokyo Verdy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • Shimizu S-Pulse - Tokyo Verdy Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.54
    (2.65)
    3.05
    (2.94)
    3.03
    (2.94)
    5.2%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Shimizu S-Pulse - Tokyo Verdy?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Shimizu will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Tokyo Verdy will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.6%90.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 14 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 3.
    • Shimizu has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Tokyo Verdy is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Shimizu: Takahashi Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Tokyo Verdy: Yamada G. (Knee Injury) Yamami H. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Shimizu won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Shimizu S-Pulse - Tokyo Verdy were as follows:
    16.02.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Shimizu S-Pulse 0:1
    02.12.2023 Tokyo Verdy - Shimizu S-Pulse 1:1
    06.08.2023 Tokyo Verdy - Shimizu S-Pulse 0:1
    08.04.2023 Shimizu S-Pulse - Tokyo Verdy 2:1
    Latest results of Shimizu S-Pulse
    Latest results of Tokyo Verdy
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers35207853:292467
    2Kashiwa Reysol351812555:332266
    3Kyoto351711759:372262
    4Vissel Kobe34187943:281561
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima351781039:261359
    6Machida351691049:351457
    7Kawasaki Frontale351511965:501556
    8Urawa Reds3514111040:36453
    9Gamba Osaka351651448:52-453
    10Cerezo Osaka3513101254:50449
    11FC Tokyo351291439:47-845
    12Shimizu S-Pulse3511111339:44-544
    13Verdy351191522:36-1442
    14Avispa Fukuoka3410111332:37-541
    15Okayama351181631:40-941
    16Nagoya Grampus3510101542:52-1040
    17Yokohama F. Marinos351071839:44-537
    18Yokohama FC35881923:41-1832
    19Shonan Bellmare34682029:58-2926
    20Albirex Niigata344102030:56-2622

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