Result
1:1
29/11/2025 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 15
- Referee: Kolaric P. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 1.84 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (386/466) | 80% (308/386) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 1.84 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.88 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (386/466) | 80% (308/386) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (32/65) | 56% (40/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (66/103) | 62% (66/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (3/21) | 45% (5/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.48 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (13/19) | 59% (10/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.88 | 1.30 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.12 | 0.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 26', Caimacov M. 🟨,
- 45', 0 - 1, Nestorovski I. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 49', Mauric A. 🟨,
- 61', Ayuma I. ↓, Djuric D. ↑,
- 70', Caimacov M. ↓, Liber A. ↑,
- 70', Jay A. ↓, Prevljak S. ↑,
- 77', Loncar S. ↓, Bangura S. ↑,
- 77', Robertsson L. ↓, Heister M. ↑,
- 80', Mitrovic J. ↓, Medjimorec V. ↑,
- 82', Zuta L. 🟨,
- 86', Suto A. ↓, Filipovic A. ↑,
- 86', Zuta L. ↓, Jakir A. ↑,
- 90+4', 1 - 1, Prevljak S. ⚽, Djuric D. (A),
- 90+5', Koski V. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Istra 1961
36.9% | Draw
30.7% | Slaven Belupo
32.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Istra 1961 - Slaven Belupo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.53 ↑
(2.12) |
3.03 ↓
(3.13) |
2.9 ↓
(3.4) |
6.9%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Istra 1961 - Slaven Belupo?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Istra 1961 will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Slaven Belupo will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Istra 1961: 23.1% – 88.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Istra 1961 won 1.
- Istra 1961 has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Slaven Belupo is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Slaven Belupo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Istra 1961 could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Istra 1961: Maresic D.
(Yellow Cards)
Rozic V.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Slaven Belupo: Agbekpornu M.
(Yellow Cards)
Bozic I.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Istra 1961 won 7 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:18. (average 1.3:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Istra 1961 won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 1.6:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Istra 1961 won against Slaven Belupo?
Istra 1961 has won 5 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Slaven Belupo won against Istra 1961?
Slaven Belupo has won 3 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Istra 1961 - Slaven Belupo were as follows:
12.09.2025
Slaven Belupo
-
Istra 1961
2:1
28.04.2025
Istra 1961
-
Slaven Belupo
1:1
23.02.2025
Slaven Belupo
-
Istra 1961
0:0
22.11.2024
Istra 1961
-
Slaven Belupo
2:3
31.08.2024
Slaven Belupo
-
Istra 1961
0:1
Latest results of Istra 1961
Latest results of Slaven Belupo
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Din. Zagreb | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 31:14 | 17 | 32 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 24:15 | 9 | 31 |
| 3 | Slaven Belupo | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24:23 | 1 | 25 |
| 4 | Varazdin | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21:20 | 1 | 23 |
| 5 | Istra 1961 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 20:20 | 0 | 23 |
| 6 | Rijeka | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 26:19 | 7 | 21 |
| 7 | Lok. Zagreb | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 19:25 | -6 | 19 |
| 8 | Gorica | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 20:25 | -5 | 18 |
| 9 | Osijek | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 15:25 | -10 | 12 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 16:30 | -14 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
