Istra 1961 vs Slaven Belupo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Croatian HNL Istra 1961 - Slaven Belupo
Result
1:1
28/04/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • HNL - Round 32
  • Referee: Pavlesic P. (Cro)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaMAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.130.50
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
135
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
91
Passes
86% (468/546)75% (223/299)
Yellow Cards
03
Expected Goals (xG)
1.130.50
xG on target (xGOT)
1.141.12
Total shots
135
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
20
Shots inside the Box
83
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
91
Touches in opposition box
2313
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
910
Passes
86% (468/546)75% (223/299)
Long passes
58% (28/48)55% (34/62)
Passes in final third
71% (124/175)64% (45/70)
Crosses
23% (7/30)30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.310.47
Throw-ins
2516
Fouls
109
Tackles
71% (10/14)86% (12/14)
Duels won
3642
Clearances
1434
Interceptions
1418
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
1.121.14
Goals prevented
0.12-0.09

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 22', 1 - 0, Loncar S. , Gagua G. (A),
  • 29', 1 - 1, Nestorovski I. , Grgic A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 50', Grgic A. 🟨,
  • 54', Jagusic A. , Dolcek I. ,
  • 54', Cubelic I. , Agbekpornu M. ,
  • 71', Rozic V. , Lawal S. ,
  • 76', Liber A. , Lepinjica I. ,
  • 78', Agbekpornu M. 🟨,
  • 84', Kruselj F. , Suto A. ,
  • 84', Lucic L. , Jakir A. ,
  • 84', Lucic L. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Istra 1961
26.3%
Draw
56.9%
Slaven Belupo
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.7% 29.1% 30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5% 28.5% 29.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Istra 1961 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Istra 1961's form might have worsened.
  • Slaven Belupo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Slaven Belupo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Istra 1961 than the current prediction. (+15.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Istra 1961, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slaven Belupo than the current prediction. (+12.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Slaven Belupo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Istra 1961 - Slaven Belupo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.11
    (2.31)
    2.11
    (3.23)
    6.37
    (3.11)
    -12.6%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Istra 1961 - Slaven Belupo?
  • Users Predictions: Istra 1961 will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 81.89%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Istra 1961 will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 and 5).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Istra 1961 won 2.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Recently Slaven Belupo have a series of home games.
    • Istra 1961 will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Istra 1961: Lawal S. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Slaven Belupo: Jesenovic M. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Istra 1961: Mauric A. (Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Istra 1961 won 8 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 27:21 (average 1.4:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Istra 1961 won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17:9 (average 1.7:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Istra 1961 - Slaven Belupo were as follows:
    23.02.2025 Slaven Belupo - Istra 1961 0:0
    22.11.2024 Istra 1961 - Slaven Belupo 2:3
    31.08.2024 Slaven Belupo - Istra 1961 0:1
    26.04.2024 Istra 1961 - Slaven Belupo 3:0
    16.02.2024 Slaven Belupo - Istra 1961 1:1
    Latest results of Istra 1961
    23.04.2025 Hajduk Split - Istra 1961 0:1
    19.04.2025 Istra 1961 - Rijeka 2:0
    12.04.2025 Gorica - Istra 1961 3:2
    05.04.2025 Istra 1961 - Dinamo Zagreb 3:0
    02.04.2025 Rijeka - Istra 1961 1:0
    Latest results of Slaven Belupo
    Croatian HNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1D. Zagreb11002:023
    2Rijeka11002:023
    3Hajduk Split11002:113
    4Lok. Zagreb11001:013
    5Varazdin00000:000
    6Gorica00000:000
    7Istra 196110011:2-10
    8Vukovar 199110010:1-10
    9Osijek10010:2-20
    10Slaven Belupo10010:2-20

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Prva NL