Result
1:1
28/04/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 32
- Referee: Pavlesic P. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.50 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (468/546) | 75% (223/299) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.50 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 1.12 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (468/546) | 75% (223/299) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (28/48) | 55% (34/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (124/175) | 64% (45/70) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (7/30) | 30% (3/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.47 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 86% (12/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.12 | 1.14 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.12 | -0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 22', 1 - 0, Loncar S. ⚽, Gagua G. (A),
- 29', 1 - 1, Nestorovski I. ⚽, Grgic A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 50', Grgic A. 🟨,
- 54', Jagusic A. ↓, Dolcek I. ↑,
- 54', Cubelic I. ↓, Agbekpornu M. ↑,
- 71', Rozic V. ↓, Lawal S. ↑,
- 76', Liber A. ↓, Lepinjica I. ↑,
- 78', Agbekpornu M. 🟨,
- 84', Kruselj F. ↓, Suto A. ↑,
- 84', Lucic L. ↓, Jakir A. ↑,
- 84', Lucic L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Istra 1961
26.3% | Draw
56.9% | Slaven Belupo
16.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Istra 1961 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Istra 1961's form might have worsened.Slaven Belupo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Slaven Belupo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Istra 1961 than the current prediction. (+15.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Istra 1961, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slaven Belupo than the current prediction. (+12.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Slaven Belupo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Istra 1961 - Slaven Belupo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.11 ↑
(2.31) |
2.11 ↓
(3.23) |
6.37 ↑
(3.11) |
-12.6%
(6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Istra 1961 - Slaven Belupo?
Users Predictions:
Istra 1961 will win
(15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Istra 1961 will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 and 5).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Istra 1961 won 2.
- The game of competitors is shaky now.
- Recently Slaven Belupo have a series of home games.
- Istra 1961 will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Istra 1961: Lawal S.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Slaven Belupo: Jesenovic M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Istra 1961: Mauric A.
(Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Istra 1961 won 8 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 27:21 (average 1.4:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Istra 1961 won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17:9 (average 1.7:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Istra 1961 won against Slaven Belupo?
Istra 1961 has won 5 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Slaven Belupo won against Istra 1961?
Slaven Belupo has won 2 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Istra 1961 - Slaven Belupo were as follows:
23.02.2025
Slaven Belupo
-
Istra 1961
0:0
22.11.2024
Istra 1961
-
Slaven Belupo
2:3
31.08.2024
Slaven Belupo
-
Istra 1961
0:1
26.04.2024
Istra 1961
-
Slaven Belupo
3:0
16.02.2024
Slaven Belupo
-
Istra 1961
1:1
Latest results of Istra 1961
Latest results of Slaven Belupo
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | D. Zagreb | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:0 | 10 | 12 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:1 | 8 | 12 |
| 3 | Lok. Zagreb | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 4 | Gorica | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 5 |
| 5 | Varazdin | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 5 |
| 6 | Rijeka | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 7 | Slaven Belupo | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 3 |
| 8 | Istra 1961 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 2 |
| 9 | Vukovar 1991 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 2 |
| 10 | Osijek | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
