Result
2:1
12/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 6
- Referee: Lovric Z. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAX Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.80 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (263/357) | 72% (259/360) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.80 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 0.26 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (263/357) | 72% (259/360) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (39/72) | 34% (20/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (53/103) | 52% (47/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 18% (4/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.74 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 38 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 45% (10/22) | 75% (6/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.26 | 1.83 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.74 | -0.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 21', 0 - 1, Kadusic A. ⚽, Loncar S. (A),
- 33', 1 - 1, Mitrovic J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 59', Lepinjica I. ↓, Liber A. ↑,
- 69', Maresic D. 🟨,
- 70', Nestorovski I. 🟨,
- 72', Frederiksen E. ↓, Lawal S. ↑,
- 73', Prevljak S. ↓, Bangura S. ↑,
- 76', Caimacov M. ↓, Agbekpornu M. ↑,
- 77', 2 - 1, Nestorovski I. ⚽, Suto A. (A),
- 80', Ivanisevic J. ↓, Djuric D. ↑,
- 84', Mitrovic J. ↓, Katalinic Z. ↑,
- 84', Suto A. ↓, Sivalec G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Slaven Belupo
41% | Draw
27.8% | Istra 1961
31.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Slaven Belupo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Istra 1961 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slaven Belupo than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Istra 1961 than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Slaven Belupo - Istra 1961 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.3 ↑
(2.2) |
3.36 ↑
(3.3) |
3.05 ↑
(2.8) |
6.1%
(11.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Slaven Belupo - Istra 1961?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Slaven Belupo will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Istra 1961 will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 5 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Slaven Belupo won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Slaven Belupo: Agbekpornu M.
(Injury)
Bosnjak L.
(Red Card)
Bozic I.
(Red Card)
Bozic T.
(Concussion)
Isasegi K.
(Injury)
Jakir A.
(Injury)
Kruselj F.
(Injury)
Liber A.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Slaven Belupo won 3 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:27. (average 0.9:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Slaven Belupo won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 0.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Slaven Belupo won against Istra 1961?
Slaven Belupo has won 2 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Istra 1961 won against Slaven Belupo?
Istra 1961 has won 5 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Slaven Belupo - Istra 1961 were as follows:
28.04.2025
Istra 1961
-
Slaven Belupo
1:1
23.02.2025
Slaven Belupo
-
Istra 1961
0:0
22.11.2024
Istra 1961
-
Slaven Belupo
2:3
31.08.2024
Slaven Belupo
-
Istra 1961
0:1
26.04.2024
Istra 1961
-
Slaven Belupo
3:0
Latest results of Slaven Belupo
Latest results of Istra 1961
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hajduk Split | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 20:8 | 12 | 25 |
| 2 | D. Zagreb | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 22:8 | 14 | 22 |
| 3 | Lok. Zagreb | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13:14 | -1 | 16 |
| 4 | Slaven Belupo | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 16 |
| 5 | Varazdin | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 15 |
| 6 | Istra 1961 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 15 |
| 7 | Rijeka | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 | Gorica | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13:19 | -6 | 11 |
| 9 | Osijek | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9:19 | -10 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
