Sofapaka vs Tusker – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Kenyan Premier League Sofapaka - Tusker
Result
7:1
18/05/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (4 - 0)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Ondimo E. ,
  • 27', 2 - 0, Messi W. ,
  • 37', 3 - 0, Onganya J. ,
  • 45+1', 4 - 0, Onganya J. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 55', 5 - 0, Kipkemoi R. ,
  • 64', 5 - 1, ,
  • 83', 6 - 1, Ondimo E. ,
  • 87', 7 - 1, Onganya J. ,

Chances of winning


Sofapaka
24.7%
Draw
31.4%
Tusker
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22% 28.8% 49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.7% 28.4% 49.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sofapaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • Tusker has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tusker might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sofapaka than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tusker than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tusker could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sofapaka - Tusker Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.72
    (4.13)
    2.91
    (3.15)
    2.09
    (1.84)
    9.2%
    (10.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 2).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sofapaka won 0.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, Tusker is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Sofapaka won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 20:36. (average 1.1:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sofapaka won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:21. (average 1.2:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sofapaka - Tusker were as follows:
    24.08.2024 Tusker - Sofapaka 1:0
    14.01.2024 Tusker - Sofapaka 3:1
    28.10.2023 Sofapaka - Tusker 0:1
    09.04.2023 Tusker - Sofapaka 2:0
    22.01.2023 Sofapaka - Tusker 0:1
    Latest results of Sofapaka
    14.05.2025 Muranga Seal - Sofapaka 2:0
    02.05.2025 Sofapaka - Mathare United 1:1
    19.04.2025 Sofapaka - Gor Mahia 1:1
    Latest results of Tusker
    14.05.2025 Talanta - Tusker 2:0
    10.05.2025 Tusker - Muranga Seal 2:0
    03.05.2025 Tusker - AFC Leopards 0:0
    27.04.2025 Mathare United - Tusker 2:1
    Draw
    Relegation

    Final
    1Posta RangersNaivas FC0 : 1, 2 : 0