Result
0:2
14/12/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 13
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 70', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 78', 0 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Sofapaka
26.5% | Draw
37.5% | Tusker
36% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sofapaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sofapaka's form might have worsened.Tusker has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sofapaka than the current prediction. (+10.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sofapaka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tusker than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
Sofapaka - Tusker Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.41 ↑
(2.63) |
2.41 ↓
(2.82) |
2.51 ↓
(2.63) |
10.6%
(11.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
What is the prediction for Sofapaka - Tusker?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tusker (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 0.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Super League and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sofapaka won 1.
- Sofapaka has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Tusker's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Sofapaka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sofapaka won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 27:37. (average 1.4:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sofapaka won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:22. (average 1.8:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Sofapaka won against Tusker?
Sofapaka has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tusker won against Sofapaka?
Tusker has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sofapaka - Tusker were as follows:
18.05.2025
Sofapaka
-
Tusker
7:1
24.08.2024
Tusker
-
Sofapaka
1:0
14.01.2024
Tusker
-
Sofapaka
3:1
28.10.2023
Sofapaka
-
Tusker
0:1
09.04.2023
Tusker
-
Sofapaka
2:0
Latest results of Sofapaka
Kenyan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gor Mahia | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 44:18 | 26 | 57 |
| 2 | Leopards | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 36:18 | 18 | 55 |
| 3 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 42:28 | 14 | 46 |
| 4 | Police FC | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 23:17 | 6 | 43 |
| 5 | Shabana | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 31:30 | 1 | 43 |
| 6 | KCB | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 27:27 | 0 | 40 |
| 7 | Nairobi United | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 34:27 | 7 | 39 |
| 8 | Muranga | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 33:30 | 3 | 38 |
| 9 | Bandari | 27 | 8 | 14 | 5 | 21:18 | 3 | 38 |
| 10 | Tusker | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 23:26 | -3 | 37 |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 25:25 | 0 | 34 |
| 12 | Posta Rangers | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 23:32 | -9 | 31 |
| 13 | Mathare Utd | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 22:27 | -5 | 30 |
| 14 | Kariobangi Sharks | 27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 18:29 | -11 | 26 |
| 15 | Ulinzi Stars | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 24:31 | -7 | 25 |
| 16 | APS Bomet | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 25:33 | -8 | 25 |
| 17 | Bidco United | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 16:30 | -14 | 22 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 27 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 15:36 | -21 | 16 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Super League
