Result
0:2
14/12/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 13
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 70', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 78', 0 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Sofapaka 26.5% | Draw 37.5% | Tusker 36% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Sofapaka - Tusker Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.41 ↑ (2.63) |
2.41 ↓ (2.82) |
2.51 ↓ (2.63) |
10.6% (11.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
What is the prediction for Sofapaka - Tusker?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Tusker (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 0.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Super League and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sofapaka won 1.
- Sofapaka has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Tusker's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Sofapaka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sofapaka won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 27:37. (average 1.4:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sofapaka won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:22. (average 1.8:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Sofapaka won against Tusker?
Sofapaka has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tusker won against Sofapaka?
Tusker has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sofapaka - Tusker were as follows:
18.05.2025
Sofapaka
-
Tusker
7:1
24.08.2024
Tusker
-
Sofapaka
1:0
14.01.2024
Tusker
-
Sofapaka
3:1
28.10.2023
Sofapaka
-
Tusker
0:1
09.04.2023
Tusker
-
Sofapaka
2:0
Latest results of Sofapaka
Kenyan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gor Mahia | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 31:13 | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Leopards | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 23:11 | 12 | 36 |
| 3 | Shabana | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 23:18 | 5 | 31 |
| 4 | Muranga | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 25:19 | 6 | 30 |
| 5 | Police FC | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 29 |
| 6 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 25:20 | 5 | 28 |
| 7 | KCB | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 20:19 | 1 | 28 |
| 8 | Tusker | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 17:19 | -2 | 28 |
| 9 | Bandari | 19 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 15:12 | 3 | 27 |
| 10 | Nairobi United | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 21:19 | 2 | 25 |
| 11 | Posta Rangers | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 17:22 | -5 | 24 |
| 12 | Mathare Utd | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 12:17 | -5 | 22 |
| 13 | Mara Sugar | 19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 16:19 | -3 | 21 |
| 14 | APS Bomet | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 21:27 | -6 | 18 |
| 15 | Ulinzi Stars | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 16:21 | -5 | 17 |
| 16 | Kariobangi Sharks | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 17 |
| 17 | Bidco United | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 11:18 | -7 | 16 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 12:23 | -11 | 14 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Super League