Result
7:1
18/05/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 32
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (4 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Ondimo E. ⚽,
- 27', 2 - 0, Messi W. ⚽,
- 37', 3 - 0, Onganya J. ⚽,
- 45+1', 4 - 0, Onganya J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 55', 5 - 0, Kipkemoi R. ⚽,
- 64', 5 - 1, ⚽,
- 83', 6 - 1, Ondimo E. ⚽,
- 87', 7 - 1, Onganya J. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Sofapaka
24.7% | Draw
31.4% | Tusker
43.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sofapaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)Tusker has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tusker might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sofapaka than the current prediction. (-3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tusker than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tusker could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sofapaka - Tusker Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.72 ↓
(4.13) |
2.91 ↓
(3.15) |
2.09 ↑
(1.84) |
9.2%
(10.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sofapaka won 0.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, Tusker is considered a favorite.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Sofapaka won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 20:36. (average 1.1:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sofapaka won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:21. (average 1.2:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Sofapaka won against Tusker?
Sofapaka has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tusker won against Sofapaka?
Tusker has won 5 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sofapaka - Tusker were as follows:
24.08.2024
Tusker
-
Sofapaka
1:0
14.01.2024
Tusker
-
Sofapaka
3:1
28.10.2023
Sofapaka
-
Tusker
0:1
09.04.2023
Tusker
-
Sofapaka
2:0
22.01.2023
Sofapaka
-
Tusker
0:1
Latest results of Sofapaka
Kenyan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Shabana | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Posta Rangers | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Gor Mahia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Bidco United | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | KCB | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Ulinzi Stars | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 5 |
| 7 | Kariobangi Sharks | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 5 |
| 8 | Bandari | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Police FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Mathare Utd | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 13 | Nairobi United | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 14 | Muranga | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 15 | Leopards | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 2 |
| 16 | Tusker | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 2 |
| 17 | Sofapaka | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
| 18 | APS Bomet | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Super League
