Result
2:1
25/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 12
- Referee: Madley R. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports |
 Asia | beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3 |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 8, Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free |
 Germany | WOW |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 1 |
 Iceland | SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Malaysia | Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Nigeria | SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV6 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 4 |
 South-africa | SupeSport ESPN |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Turkey | Exxen |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.12 | 1.03 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (281/385) | 71% (268/380) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.12 | 1.03 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 1.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (281/385) | 71% (268/380) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (24/64) | 35% (30/85) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (93/147) | 66% (95/143) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (7/26) | 8% (1/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 0.93 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 33 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (14/18) | 47% (8/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 68 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.13 | 1.59 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.13 | -0.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 19', Quarshie J. 🟨,
- 20', Gardner-Hickman T. 🟨,
- 23', 0 - 1, Scienza L. ⚽,
- 34', Wharton S. 🟨,
- 45+3', Tronstad S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 59', Archer C. ↓, Fraser R. ↑,
- 67', De Neve D. ↓, Hedges R. ↑,
- 67', Tronstad S. ↓, Montgomery K. ↑,
- 67', Morishita R. ↓, Henriksson A. ↑,
- 68', Scienza L. ↓, Stephens J. ↑,
- 76', 1 - 1, Alebiosu R. ⚽, Miller L. (A),
- 81', Charles S. ↓, Bragg C. ↑,
- 81', Manning R. ↓, Welington ↑,
- 81', Edwards R. ↓, Robinson J. ↑,
- 86', 2 - 1, Gudjohnsen A. ⚽,
- 90+4', Welington 🟥,
Chances of winning
Blackburn Rovers
31.9% | Draw
28.9% | Southampton
39.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Blackburn Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Southampton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blackburn Rovers than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Blackburn Rovers - Southampton Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.97 ↑
(2.81) |
3.3 ↑
(3.28) |
2.44 ↓
(2.5) |
5%
(6.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Blackburn Rovers - Southampton?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Blackburn will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). S`hampton will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for S`hampton: 38.6% – 83.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. S`hampton (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.25 - S`hampton (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. S`hampton (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 18).
- Blackburn has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- S`hampton has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Blackburn: Baradji M.
(Foot Injury)
Cantwell T.
(Knee Injury)
Carter H.
(Hamstring Injury)
Garrett J.
(Surgery)
- There will not play in S`hampton: Stewart R.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in S`hampton: Jelert E.
(Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Blackburn won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Blackburn won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Blackburn Rovers won against Southampton?
Blackburn Rovers has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Southampton won against Blackburn Rovers?
Southampton has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Blackburn Rovers - Southampton were as follows:
06.04.2024
Blackburn Rovers
-
Southampton
0:0
16.12.2023
Southampton
-
Blackburn Rovers
4:0
Latest results of Blackburn Rovers
Latest results of Southampton
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 72:38 | 34 | 71 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 35 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 54:35 | 19 | 66 |
| 3 | Ipswich | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 60:34 | 26 | 63 |
| 4 | Millwall | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 47:40 | 7 | 62 |
| 5 | Hull | 35 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 56:49 | 7 | 60 |
| 6 | Wrexham | 35 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 54:45 | 9 | 57 |
| 7 | Southampton | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 57:46 | 11 | 53 |
| 8 | Derby | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 52:46 | 6 | 51 |
| 9 | Watford | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 45:41 | 4 | 51 |
| 10 | Bristol City | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 48:44 | 4 | 50 |
| 11 | Preston | 35 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 41:40 | 1 | 49 |
| 12 | Birmingham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 46:46 | 0 | 49 |
| 13 | Sheffield Utd | 35 | 15 | 3 | 17 | 50:48 | 2 | 48 |
| 14 | Stoke | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 39:34 | 5 | 47 |
| 15 | QPR | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 46:54 | -8 | 47 |
| 16 | Swansea | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 40:43 | -3 | 46 |
| 17 | Norwich | 35 | 13 | 6 | 16 | 47:44 | 3 | 45 |
| 18 | Charlton | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 33:44 | -11 | 41 |
| 19 | Portsmouth | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 34:44 | -10 | 39 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 33:46 | -13 | 38 |
| 21 | West Brom | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 34:52 | -18 | 35 |
| 22 | Leicester | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 47:56 | -9 | 34 |
| 23 | Oxford Utd | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 31:47 | -16 | 32 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 35 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 21:71 | -50 | -7 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
