Result
4:2
10/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- National League North - Round 32
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 2', 0 - 1, Lavelle T. ⚽,
- 17', 1 - 1, Blakeman A. ⚽,
- 34', 2 - 1, Popoola A. ⚽,
- 36', 2 - 2, Pedro D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 63', 3 - 2, Blakeman A. ⚽,
- 67', 4 - 2, Ellis M. ⚽,
- 84', Murphy-Worrell P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Chorley 43.3% | Draw 26.5% | Southport 30.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chorley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chorley's form might have worsened.Southport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Southport's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chorley than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chorley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southport than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Southport, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Chorley - Southport Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.12 ↑ (1.82) |
3.48 ↓ (3.52) |
3.04 ↓ (3.8) |
8.8% (9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Chorley - Southport?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Southport (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Southport (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 20).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chorley won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, Chorley is a strong favorite.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Chorley won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:21. (average 1.4:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Chorley won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:8. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Chorley won against Southport?
Chorley has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Southport won against Chorley?
Southport has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chorley - Southport were as follows:
21.10.2025
Southport
-
Chorley
1:1
25.01.2025
Southport
-
Chorley
0:0
26.08.2024
Chorley
-
Southport
3:1
17.02.2024
Chorley
-
Southport
3:0
28.08.2023
Southport
-
Chorley
0:2
Latest results of Chorley
Latest results of Southport
English National League North Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | South Shields | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 76:29 | 47 | 77 |
| 2 | AFC Fylde | 34 | 24 | 3 | 7 | 83:37 | 46 | 75 |
| 3 | Merthyr Town | 36 | 20 | 3 | 13 | 80:63 | 17 | 63 |
| 4 | Kidderminster | 33 | 16 | 11 | 6 | 45:35 | 10 | 59 |
| 5 | Darlington | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 64:47 | 17 | 56 |
| 6 | Radcliffe | 35 | 17 | 4 | 14 | 63:55 | 8 | 55 |
| 7 | Scarborough | 36 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 49:44 | 5 | 54 |
| 8 | AFC Telford | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 68:48 | 20 | 53 |
| 9 | Macclesfield | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 56:46 | 10 | 52 |
| 10 | Chester | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 52:57 | -5 | 50 |
| 11 | Marine | 32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 43:48 | -5 | 48 |
| 12 | Spennymoor | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 44:57 | -13 | 46 |
| 13 | Buxton | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 56:49 | 7 | 45 |
| 14 | Curzon Ashton | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 56:63 | -7 | 45 |
| 15 | Chorley | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 54:52 | 2 | 42 |
| 16 | Worksop | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 45:62 | -17 | 41 |
| 17 | Southport | 35 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 47:56 | -9 | 39 |
| 18 | Bedford | 36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 55:65 | -10 | 39 |
| 19 | Kingu2019s Lynn | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 41:48 | -7 | 38 |
| 20 | Oxford City | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 42:54 | -12 | 35 |
| 21 | Peterborough Sports | 35 | 9 | 6 | 20 | 41:69 | -28 | 33 |
| 22 | Alfreton | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 30:56 | -26 | 32 |
| 23 | Hereford | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 35:50 | -15 | 29 |
| 24 | Leamington | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 25:60 | -35 | 22 |
Promotion ~ National League
Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation