Chorley vs Southport – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:2
10/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • National League North - Round 32

Match Stats

Yellow cards
01
Red cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Lavelle T. ,
  • 17', 1 - 1, Blakeman A. ,
  • 34', 2 - 1, Popoola A. ,
  • 36', 2 - 2, Pedro D. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 63', 3 - 2, Blakeman A. ,
  • 67', 4 - 2, Ellis M. ,
  • 84', Murphy-Worrell P. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Chorley
43.3%
Draw
26.5%
Southport
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.1% 25.9% 24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3% 25.5% 24.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chorley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chorley's form might have worsened.
  • Southport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Southport's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chorley than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chorley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southport than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Southport, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Chorley - Southport Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.12
    (1.82)
    3.48
    (3.52)
    3.04
    (3.8)
    8.8%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Chorley - Southport?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Southport (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Southport (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 20).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chorley won 3.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, Chorley is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Chorley won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:21. (average 1.4:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chorley won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:8. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chorley - Southport were as follows:
    21.10.2025 Southport - Chorley 1:1
    25.01.2025 Southport - Chorley 0:0
    26.08.2024 Chorley - Southport 3:1
    17.02.2024 Chorley - Southport 3:0
    28.08.2023 Southport - Chorley 0:2
    Latest results of Chorley
    07.02.2026 Merthyr Town - Chorley 2:3
    03.02.2026 Chorley - Leamington 1:1
    27.01.2026 Alfreton Town - Chorley Postponed
    24.01.2026 Chorley - Darlington 1:2
    Latest results of Southport
    07.02.2026 Southport - Darlington 2:2
    31.01.2026 Fylde - Southport 0:1
    24.01.2026 Southport - Merthyr Town 1:0
    20.01.2026 South Shields - Southport 1:0
    English National League North Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1South Shields34238376:294777
    2AFC Fylde34243783:374675
    3Merthyr Town362031380:631763
    4Kidderminster331611645:351059
    5Darlington33168964:471756
    6Radcliffe351741463:55855
    7Scarborough3614121049:44554
    8AFC Telford3514111068:482053
    9Macclesfield31157956:461052
    10Chester3613111252:57-550
    11Marine321461243:48-548
    12Spennymoor331371344:57-1346
    13Buxton341361556:49745
    14Curzon Ashton351291456:63-745
    15Chorley341191454:52242
    16Worksop361181745:62-1741
    17Southport359121447:56-939
    18Bedford361091755:65-1039
    19Kingu2019s Lynn349111441:48-738
    20Oxford City35981842:54-1235
    21Peterborough Sports35962041:69-2833
    22Alfreton31881530:56-2632
    23Hereford29781435:50-1529
    24Leamington34572225:60-3522

          Promotion ~ National League
          Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation