Result
4:2
10/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- National League North - Round 32
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 2', 0 - 1, Lavelle T. ⚽,
- 17', 1 - 1, Blakeman A. ⚽,
- 34', 2 - 1, Popoola A. ⚽,
- 36', 2 - 2, Pedro D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 63', 3 - 2, Blakeman A. ⚽,
- 67', 4 - 2, Ellis M. ⚽,
- 84', Murphy-Worrell P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Chorley
43.3% | Draw
26.5% | Southport
30.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chorley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chorley's form might have worsened.Southport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Southport's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chorley than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chorley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southport than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Southport, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Chorley - Southport Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.12 ↑
(1.82) |
3.48 ↓
(3.52) |
3.04 ↓
(3.8) |
8.8%
(9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Chorley - Southport?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Southport (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Southport (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 20).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chorley won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, Chorley is a strong favorite.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Chorley won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:21. (average 1.4:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Chorley won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:8. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Chorley won against Southport?
Chorley has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Southport won against Chorley?
Southport has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chorley - Southport were as follows:
21.10.2025
Southport
-
Chorley
1:1
25.01.2025
Southport
-
Chorley
0:0
26.08.2024
Chorley
-
Southport
3:1
17.02.2024
Chorley
-
Southport
3:0
28.08.2023
Southport
-
Chorley
0:2
Latest results of Chorley
Latest results of Southport
English National League North Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | AFC Fylde | 44 | 30 | 4 | 10 | 104:49 | 55 | 94 |
| 2 | South Shields | 43 | 27 | 10 | 6 | 94:40 | 54 | 91 |
| 3 | Kidderminster | 43 | 22 | 12 | 9 | 67:48 | 19 | 78 |
| 4 | Macclesfield | 42 | 23 | 7 | 12 | 78:60 | 18 | 76 |
| 5 | Scarborough | 44 | 18 | 15 | 11 | 58:50 | 8 | 69 |
| 6 | Chester | 44 | 19 | 12 | 13 | 64:63 | 1 | 69 |
| 7 | Darlington | 44 | 20 | 8 | 16 | 76:64 | 12 | 68 |
| 8 | Merthyr Town | 43 | 21 | 4 | 18 | 89:79 | 10 | 67 |
| 9 | Buxton | 43 | 20 | 6 | 17 | 73:58 | 15 | 66 |
| 10 | AFC Telford | 44 | 17 | 13 | 14 | 84:62 | 22 | 64 |
| 11 | Spennymoor | 44 | 18 | 10 | 16 | 59:68 | -9 | 64 |
| 12 | Marine | 42 | 18 | 7 | 17 | 57:63 | -6 | 61 |
| 13 | Radcliffe | 43 | 17 | 6 | 20 | 73:77 | -4 | 57 |
| 14 | Southport | 43 | 15 | 12 | 16 | 61:65 | -4 | 57 |
| 15 | Worksop | 44 | 15 | 9 | 20 | 57:72 | -15 | 54 |
| 16 | Chorley | 44 | 14 | 11 | 19 | 63:63 | 0 | 53 |
| 17 | Bedford | 44 | 13 | 12 | 19 | 64:75 | -11 | 51 |
| 18 | Curzon Ashton | 44 | 13 | 12 | 19 | 64:81 | -17 | 51 |
| 19 | Oxford City | 43 | 13 | 11 | 19 | 56:63 | -7 | 50 |
| 20 | Kingu2019s Lynn | 44 | 12 | 14 | 18 | 55:63 | -8 | 50 |
| 21 | Hereford | 42 | 12 | 9 | 21 | 56:73 | -17 | 45 |
| 22 | Alfreton | 43 | 11 | 12 | 20 | 41:75 | -34 | 45 |
| 23 | Peterborough Sports ✔ | 44 | 10 | 8 | 26 | 49:86 | -37 | 38 |
| 24 | Leamington ✔ | 44 | 7 | 8 | 29 | 38:83 | -45 | 29 |
Promotion ~ National League
Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Peterborough Sports is Relegated to
Leamington is Relegated to
