Südtirol-Alto Adige vs SPAL – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie B Südtirol-Alto Adige - SPAL
Result
2:0
18/03/2023 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 30
  • Referee: Volpi M. (Ita)

Chances of winning


Südtirol-Alto Adige
44.3%
Draw
30.7%
SPAL
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.6% 28.2% 23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2% 27.3% 22.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Südtirol-Alto Adige has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • SPAL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Südtirol-Alto Adige, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • Südtirol-Alto Adige - SPAL Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.12
    (1.89)
    3.06
    (3.25)
    3.74
    (3.95)
    6.5%
    (9.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Südtirol-Alto Adige - SPAL?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Südtirol will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). SPAL will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Südtirol: 46.1%91.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 19 in the zone Relegation).
    • Südtirol has the most likely position - 4 (28.06%), project points - 60, currently - 48, not chance of relegated, a good chance of prom. playoffs (92%), a chance of promoted (19%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • SPAL has the most likely position - 19 (22.12%), project points - 38, currently - 28, a good chance of relegated (71%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.
    • This event has small quality 30, importance 43, match rating 36. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Südtirol is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • SPAL is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Südtirol will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Südtirol won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Südtirol-Alto Adige - SPAL were as follows:
    29.10.2022 SPAL - Südtirol-Alto Adige 1:1
    Latest results of Südtirol-Alto Adige
    Latest results of SPAL
    12.03.2023 Nuova Cosenza - SPAL 1:0
    05.03.2023 SPAL - Cittadella 2:1
    01.03.2023 SPAL - Frosinone 0:2
    25.02.2023 Genoa - SPAL 3:0
    18.02.2023 SPAL - Como 1:1
    Draw
    Play Out

    Final
    1Salernitana (16)Sampdoria (17)0 : 3, 0 : 2