Result
2:0
18/03/2023 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 30
- Referee: Volpi M. (Ita)
Chances of winning
Südtirol-Alto Adige
44.3% | Draw
30.7% | SPAL
25% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Südtirol-Alto Adige has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)SPAL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Südtirol-Alto Adige, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Südtirol-Alto Adige - SPAL Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.12 ↑
(1.89) |
3.06 ↓
(3.25) |
3.74 ↓
(3.95) |
6.5%
(9.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Südtirol-Alto Adige - SPAL?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Südtirol will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). SPAL will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Südtirol: 46.1% – 91.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 19 in the zone Relegation).
- Südtirol has the most likely position - 4 (28.06%), project points - 60, currently - 48, not chance of relegated, a good chance of prom. playoffs (92%), a chance of promoted (19%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- SPAL has the most likely position - 19 (22.12%), project points - 38, currently - 28, a good chance of relegated (71%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.
- This event has small quality 30, importance 43, match rating 36. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Südtirol is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- SPAL is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Südtirol will have a poor advantage in this game.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Südtirol won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Südtirol-Alto Adige won against SPAL?
Südtirol-Alto Adige has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has SPAL won against Südtirol-Alto Adige?
SPAL has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Südtirol-Alto Adige - SPAL were as follows:
29.10.2022
SPAL
-
Südtirol-Alto Adige
1:1
Latest results of Südtirol-Alto Adige
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cesena | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Empoli | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Modena | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Carrarese | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Venezia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Palermo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Monza | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Juve Stabia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Catanzaro | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Entella | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Bari | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Reggiana | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Mantova | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Padova | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Pescara | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 18 | Avellino | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 19 | Spezia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 20 | Sampdoria | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
