Result
1:0
29/11/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 17
- Referee: Levnikov K. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | Q Sport Asia |
 Belarus | Belarus 5 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 5 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 1.20 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 26% | 74% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 55% (108/197) | 84% (475/568) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 1.20 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.45 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 13 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 36 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 55% (108/197) | 84% (475/568) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (30/75) | 51% (19/37) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (30/57) | 80% (186/233) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 31% (10/32) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 2.17 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (14/20) | 50% (5/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.97 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.45 | -0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 30', Manelov I. 🟥,
- 33', Talalaev A. 🟥,
- 38', Gil B. ↓, Offor C. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 49', Djiku A. 🟨,
- 60', 1 - 0, Titkov N. ⚽, Belikov I. (A),
- 65', Beveev M. ↓, Civic E. ↑,
- 65', Petrov I. ↓, Mendel A. ↑,
- 65', Titkov N. ↓, Pryakhin S. ↑,
- 67', Offor C. 🟨,
- 75', Litvinov R. ↓, Zabolotnyi A. ↑,
- 76', Denisov D. 🟨,
- 87', Mendel A. 🟨,
- 90+2', Belikov I. ↓, Gassama N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Baltika Kaliningrad
26.9% | Draw
31% | Spartak Moscow
42.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Baltika Kaliningrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)Spartak Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baltika Kaliningrad than the current prediction. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Moscow than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Baltika Kaliningrad - Spartak Moscow Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.53 ↑
(3.1) |
3.06 ↓
(3.2) |
2.25 ↓
(2.38) |
5.4%
(5.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Baltika Kaliningrad - Spartak Moscow?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Baltika will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Spartak M will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 and 6).
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- Spartak M may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Spartak M will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Spartak M: Babic S.
(Knee Injury)
Ugalde M.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baltika won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.4:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Baltika won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Baltika Kaliningrad won against Spartak Moscow?
Baltika Kaliningrad has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Spartak Moscow won against Baltika Kaliningrad?
Spartak Moscow has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Baltika Kaliningrad - Spartak Moscow were as follows:
26.07.2025
Spartak Moscow
-
Baltika Kaliningrad
0:3
14.05.2024
Baltika Kaliningrad
-
Spartak Moscow
1:0
25.11.2023
Baltika Kaliningrad
-
Spartak Moscow
0:2
31.07.2023
Spartak Moscow
-
Baltika Kaliningrad
2:1
Latest results of Baltika Kaliningrad
Latest results of Spartak Moscow
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 39:13 | 26 | 43 |
| 2 | Zenit | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 35:12 | 23 | 42 |
| 3 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 19 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 41:24 | 17 | 40 |
| 4 | CSKA Moscow | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 30:18 | 12 | 36 |
| 5 | Baltika | 19 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 24:8 | 16 | 35 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 32 |
| 7 | Akhmat Grozny | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23:25 | -2 | 25 |
| 8 | Dynamo Moscow | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 31:26 | 5 | 24 |
| 9 | Rubin Kazan | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 17:24 | -7 | 23 |
| 10 | Akron Togliatti | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 22:28 | -6 | 21 |
| 11 | FK Rostov | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 16:22 | -6 | 21 |
| 12 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 10:22 | -12 | 18 |
| 13 | Krylya Sovetov | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 20:37 | -17 | 17 |
| 14 | Orenburg | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 19:29 | -10 | 15 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 19 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 13:30 | -17 | 14 |
| 16 | Sochi | 19 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 18:44 | -26 | 9 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
