Result
2:3
26/11/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Russian Cup - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Referee: Sukhoy A. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belarus | Belarus 5 |
 Russia | Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 24', 1 - 0, Batrakov A. ⚽,
- 30', Solari P. 🟨,
- 35', Umyarov N. 🟨,
- 40', Bakaev Z. 🟨,
- 41', 1 - 1, Ugalde M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Bakaev Z. ↓, Pinyaev S. ↑,
- 46', Vorobyev D. ↓, Komlichenko N. ↑,
- 46', Khlusevich D. ↓, Marquinhos ↑,
- 46', Martins C. ↓, Fernandes G. ↑,
- 46', Reabciuk O. ↓, Dmitriev I. ↑,
- 53', 1 - 2, Marquinhos ⚽, Fernandes G. (A),
- 58', 1 - 3, Solari P. ⚽, Denisov D. (A),
- 62', Nenakhov M. ↓, Silyanov A. ↑,
- 62', Karpukas A. ↓, Prutsev D. ↑,
- 63', Nyamsi G. 🟨,
- 65', Solari P. ↓, Zabolotnyi A. ↑,
- 71', Wooh C. ↓, Djiku A. ↑,
- 79', Rudenko A. ↓, Saltykov N. ↑,
- 84', Prutsev D. 🟨,
- 90+6', Barinov D. 🟨,
- 90+7', 2 - 3, Komlichenko N. (Pen),
- 90+9', Montes C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lokomotiv Moscow
38.8% | Draw
26.4% | Spartak Moscow
34.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lokomotiv Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lokomotiv Moscow's form might have worsened.Spartak Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Spartak Moscow's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Moscow than the current prediction. (+8.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lokomotiv Moscow, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Moscow than the current prediction. (-7.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Spartak Moscow, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Lokomotiv Moscow - Spartak Moscow Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.43 ↑
(2.15) |
3.57 ↓
(3.83) |
2.71 ↓
(3.4) |
6.2%
(2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Moscow - Spartak Moscow?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Lokomotiv will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Spartak M will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Spartak M (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 1-3. 2nd leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv won 2.
- Recent performances by Lokomotiv have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Spartak M is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Lokomotiv may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 25:37. (average 1.3:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiv won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.3:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Lokomotiv Moscow won against Spartak Moscow?
Lokomotiv Moscow has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Spartak Moscow won against Lokomotiv Moscow?
Spartak Moscow has won 7 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lokomotiv Moscow - Spartak Moscow were as follows:
06.11.2025
Spartak Moscow
-
Lokomotiv Moscow
3:1
09.08.2025
Lokomotiv Moscow
-
Spartak Moscow
4:2
23.11.2024
Spartak Moscow
-
Lokomotiv Moscow
5:2
28.09.2024
Lokomotiv Moscow
-
Spartak Moscow
3:1
28.04.2024
Spartak Moscow
-
Lokomotiv Moscow
3:2
Latest results of Lokomotiv Moscow
Latest results of Spartak Moscow
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Zenit | Dynamo Moscow | 1 : 0, 1 : 3 |
| 2 | Spartak Moscow | Lokomotiv Moscow | 3 : 2, 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Dynamo Makhachkala | CSKA Moscow | 1 : 3, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Orenburg | Krasnodar | 0 : 4, 1 : 3 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Dynamo Moscow | Spartak Moscow | |
| 2 | CSKA Moscow | Krasnodar | |
