Empoli vs Spezia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
14/09/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B - Round 3
  • Referee: Feliciani E. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.421.67
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
27
Passes
76% (262/345)72% (227/316)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
1.421.67
xG on target (xGOT)
1.752.42
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
811
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
27
Touches in opposition box
2121
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
2020
Passes
76% (262/345)72% (227/316)
Long passes
33% (16/48)38% (23/60)
Passes in final third
60% (59/99)50% (39/78)
Crosses
29% (5/17)20% (5/25)
Expected assists (xA)
1.760.80
Throw-ins
1924
Fouls
2120
Tackles
71% (10/14)60% (9/15)
Duels won
6060
Clearances
3631
Interceptions
139
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
53
xGOT faced
2.421.75
Goals prevented
1.420.75

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 17', Yepes G. 🟨,
  • 18', 0 - 1, Esposito Sa. (Pen),
  • 27', Pagliuca G. 🟨,
  • 43', Cassata F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Yepes G. , Ilie R. ,
  • 49', 1 - 1, Popov B. ,
  • 60', Cassata F. , Zurkowski S. ,
  • 60', Vlahovic V. , Di Serio G. ,
  • 62', Elia S. 🟨,
  • 72', Popov B. , Konate I. ,
  • 72', Elia S. , Moruzzi B. ,
  • 72', Artistico G. , Soleri E. ,
  • 81', Ghion A. , Belardinelli L. ,
  • 84', Beruatto P. , Cistana A. ,
  • 84', Ceesay J. , Ebuehi T. ,
  • 89', Ilie R. 🟨,
  • 90', Nagy A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Empoli
27.9%
Draw
32.2%
Spezia
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.3% 30.2% 28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43% 31.4% 27.4%

Empoli - Spezia Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.82
(2.27)
3.2
(3.1)
2.59
(3.29)
-4.1%
(6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Empoli - Spezia?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Empoli will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Spezia will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19%81%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Empoli won 1.
    • In recent matches, Empoli has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Spezia is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Empoli: Degli Innocenti D. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Guarino G. (Red Card) Haas N. (Knee Injury) Nasti M. (Red Card) Obaretin N. (Red Card) Saporiti E. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Spezia: Aurelio G. (Inactive) Bandinelli F. (Inactive) Sarr M. (Inactive) Vignali L. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Empoli: Campaniello T. (Inactive) Yepes G. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Spezia: Lapadula G. (Inactive)
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Empoli won 3 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:16. (average 1.2:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Empoli won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.4:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Empoli - Spezia were as follows:
    26.07.2024 Empoli - Spezia 2:0
    11.02.2023 Empoli - Spezia 2:2
    Latest results of Empoli
    29.08.2025 Reggiana - Empoli 3:1
    23.08.2025 Empoli - Padova 3:1
    15.08.2025 Empoli - Reggiana 2:1
    05.08.2025 Empoli - Sassuolo 0:0
    30.07.2025 Empoli - Pisa 2:3
    Latest results of Spezia
    30.08.2025 Spezia - Catanzaro 0:0
    24.08.2025 Spezia - Carrarese 0:2
    18.08.2025 Spezia - Sampdoria 2:1
    10.08.2025 Spezia - Vis Pesaro Canceled
    10.08.2025 Spezia - Sestri Levante 2:1
    Italian Serie B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Monza1493220:91130
    2Frosinone1484226:131328
    3Palermo1575324:111326
    4Modena1475221:91226
    5Cesena1482420:14626
    6Venezia1474325:121325
    7Empoli1555523:21220
    8Catanzaro1447319:17219
    9Juve Stabia1447315:16-119
    10Avellino1454517:25-819
    11Reggiana1445518:19-117
    12Padova1445513:16-317
    13Carrarese1537520:24-416
    14Entella1436514:20-615
    15Mantova1442813:22-914
    16Bari1435613:24-1114
    17Sudtirol1427514:18-413
    18Sampdoria1534815:22-713
    19Spezia1425713:20-711
    20Pescara1416718:29-119

          Promotion ~ Serie A
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Serie B (Play Out: )
          Relegation