Result
1:1
14/09/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 3
- Referee: Feliciani E. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 1.67 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (262/345) | 72% (227/316) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 1.67 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 2.42 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (262/345) | 72% (227/316) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (16/48) | 38% (23/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (59/99) | 50% (39/78) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 20% (5/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.76 | 0.80 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.42 | 1.75 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.42 | 0.75 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 17', Yepes G. 🟨,
- 18', 0 - 1, Esposito Sa. (Pen),
- 27', Pagliuca G. 🟨,
- 43', Cassata F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Yepes G. ↓, Ilie R. ↑,
- 49', 1 - 1, Popov B. ⚽,
- 60', Cassata F. ↓, Zurkowski S. ↑,
- 60', Vlahovic V. ↓, Di Serio G. ↑,
- 62', Elia S. 🟨,
- 72', Popov B. ↓, Konate I. ↑,
- 72', Elia S. ↓, Moruzzi B. ↑,
- 72', Artistico G. ↓, Soleri E. ↑,
- 81', Ghion A. ↓, Belardinelli L. ↑,
- 84', Beruatto P. ↓, Cistana A. ↑,
- 84', Ceesay J. ↓, Ebuehi T. ↑,
- 89', Ilie R. 🟨,
- 90', Nagy A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Empoli
27.9% | Draw
32.2% | Spezia
39.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Empoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Empoli's form might have worsened.Spezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Spezia's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (+15.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Empoli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (-12.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Spezia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Empoli - Spezia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.82 ↑
(2.27) |
3.2 ↑
(3.1) |
2.59 ↓
(3.29) |
-4.1%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Empoli - Spezia?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Empoli will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Spezia will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19% – 81%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Spezia (1.78) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
- AH 0, 1st Half - Empoli (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Empoli (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Spezia (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Empoli won 1.
- In recent matches, Empoli has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Spezia is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Empoli: Degli Innocenti D.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Guarino G.
(Red Card)
Haas N.
(Knee Injury)
Nasti M.
(Red Card)
Obaretin N.
(Red Card)
Saporiti E.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Spezia: Aurelio G.
(Inactive)
Bandinelli F.
(Inactive)
Sarr M.
(Inactive)
Vignali L.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Empoli: Campaniello T.
(Inactive)
Yepes G.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Spezia: Lapadula G.
(Inactive)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Empoli won 3 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:16. (average 1.2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Empoli won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.4:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Empoli won against Spezia?
Empoli has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Spezia won against Empoli?
Spezia has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Empoli - Spezia were as follows:
26.07.2024
Empoli
-
Spezia
2:0
11.02.2023
Empoli
-
Spezia
2:2
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 58:25 | 33 | 60 |
| 2 | Monza | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 44:21 | 23 | 60 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 27 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 50:26 | 24 | 54 |
| 4 | Palermo | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 46:21 | 25 | 51 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 39:29 | 10 | 45 |
| 6 | Modena | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 37:24 | 13 | 43 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | 31:31 | 0 | 39 |
| 8 | Cesena | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 36:41 | -5 | 38 |
| 9 | Sudtirol | 28 | 8 | 13 | 7 | 31:28 | 3 | 37 |
| 10 | Padova | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 30:35 | -5 | 34 |
| 11 | Empoli | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 33:37 | -4 | 31 |
| 12 | Carrarese | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 32:37 | -5 | 31 |
| 13 | Avellino | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 30:46 | -16 | 30 |
| 14 | Sampdoria | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 28:36 | -8 | 29 |
| 15 | Reggiana | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 29:40 | -11 | 29 |
| 16 | Entella | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 26:40 | -14 | 28 |
| 17 | Mantova | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 27:42 | -15 | 27 |
| 18 | Spezia | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 25:37 | -12 | 26 |
| 19 | Bari | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 23:39 | -16 | 25 |
| 20 | Pescara | 27 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 32:52 | -20 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
