Frosinone vs Spezia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
20/12/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B - Round 17
  • Referee: Piccinini M. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyDAZN Italia, LAB Channel
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.010.77
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
2216
Shots on target
86
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
510
Passes
73% (242/330)72% (258/357)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
2.010.77
xG on target (xGOT)
1.980.74
Total shots
2216
Shots on target
86
Shots off target
117
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
166
Shots outside the Box
610
Hit the Woodwork
31
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
510
Touches in opposition box
3717
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
52
Free Kicks
1116
Passes
73% (242/330)72% (258/357)
Long passes
49% (29/59)33% (21/64)
Passes in final third
66% (63/96)60% (78/131)
Crosses
33% (6/18)18% (4/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.460.96
Throw-ins
2118
Fouls
1611
Tackles
70% (7/10)10% (1/10)
Duels won
6241
Clearances
3626
Interceptions
57
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
56
xGOT faced
0.741.98
Goals prevented
-0.26-0.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', 1 - 0, Bracaglia G. , Monterisi I. (A),
  • 36', Raimondo A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 49', Bracaglia G. 🟨,
  • 59', Nagy A. , Esposito Sa. ,
  • 60', Hristov P. , Candela A. ,
  • 62', Raimondo A. , Zilli M. ,
  • 62', Cichella M. , Gelli F. ,
  • 70', Soleri E. , Di Serio G. ,
  • 71', Artistico G. , Vlahovic V. ,
  • 73', 2 - 0, Ghedjemis F. , Calo G. (A),
  • 75', Di Serio G. 🟨,
  • 75', Bracaglia G. , Marchizza R. ,
  • 80', Cassata F. , Lapadula G. ,
  • 84', Kvernadze G. , Biraschi D. ,
  • 84', Calo G. , Barcella K. ,
  • 90+1', Esposito Sa. 🟨,
  • 90+3', 2 - 1, Beruatto P. , Vlahovic V. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Frosinone
49.8%
Draw
26.6%
Spezia
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46% 26.8% 27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7% 25.3% 25.7%

Frosinone - Spezia Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.9
(2.03)
3.52
(3.48)
3.99
(3.44)
6.2%
(7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Frosinone - Spezia?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Frosinone will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%). Spezia will win (votes: 2 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Frosinone: 59.8%94.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Frosinone (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Frosinone (1.90) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.75 - Frosinone (4.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Frosinone (3.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.25 - Frosinone (3.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Frosinone (2.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Frosinone (2.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Frosinone (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Frosinone (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Frosinone (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • EH -1 - Frosinone (3.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Frosinone (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2 - Frosinone (5.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 16 high ROI users predict this event. Frosinone (votes: 15 - 93.8%). Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Frosinone won 2.
    • Frosinone has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Spezia has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Frosinone is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Frosinone: Gori L. (Knee Injury) Oyono J. (International duty) Selvini A. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Spezia: Fellipe Jack (Red Card) Sarr M. (Ankle Injury) Zurkowski S. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Spezia: Aurelio G. (Inactive)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Frosinone won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 0.9:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Frosinone won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Frosinone - Spezia were as follows:
    25.04.2025 Frosinone - Spezia 2:2
    24.08.2024 Spezia - Frosinone 2:1
    Latest results of Frosinone
    14.12.2025 Pescara - Frosinone 1:2
    08.12.2025 Frosinone - Juve Stabia 3:0
    29.11.2025 Reggiana - Frosinone 0:1
    22.11.2025 Bari - Frosinone 2:3
    08.11.2025 Frosinone - Modena 2:2
    Latest results of Spezia
    13.12.2025 Spezia - Modena 0:2
    08.12.2025 Virtus Entella - Spezia 0:1
    30.11.2025 Spezia - Sampdoria 1:0
    23.11.2025 Mantova - Spezia 4:1
    07.11.2025 Spezia - Bari 1:1
    Italian Serie B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Frosinone20126238:182042
    2Venezia20125337:162141
    3Monza20115429:171238
    4Palermo20107330:141637
    5Cesena20104627:22534
    6Modena2095628:171132
    7Catanzaro2087527:24331
    8Juve Stabia2079422:22030
    9Empoli2076726:25127
    10Carrarese2068627:30-326
    11Padova2067720:22-225
    12Avellino2067724:33-925
    13Sudtirol20410619:22-322
    14Reggiana20551024:30-620
    15Entella2048818:27-920
    16Mantova20541118:29-1119
    17Sampdoria20461020:28-818
    18Spezia20451118:28-1017
    19Bari2038916:30-1417
    20Pescara20281025:39-1414

          Promotion ~ Serie A
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Serie B (Play Out: )
          Relegation