Result
2:1
27/12/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 18
- Referee: Zanotti A. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Israel | 5 PLUS Israel |
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 Usa | Fox Soccer Plus, Fox |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 0.97 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (178/273) | 72% (223/311) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 0.97 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.34 | 0.77 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (178/273) | 72% (223/311) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (19/65) | 37% (23/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 50% (56/112) | 53% (36/68) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (7/29) | 24% (5/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.44 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 33 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 67% (12/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 48 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.77 | 2.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.23 | 0.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 8', 1 - 0, Di Serio G. ⚽, Cassata F. (A),
- 20', Bandinelli F. ↓, Comotto C. ↑,
- 20', Kouda R. 🟨,
- 23', Capellini R. 🟨,
- 45+7', 1 - 1, Dagasso M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Brosco R. ↓, Sgarbi L. ↑,
- 55', Dagasso M. ↓, Caligara F. ↑,
- 56', Valzania L. 🟨,
- 68', Tonin R. ↓, Cangiano G. ↑,
- 69', Soleri E. ↓, Artistico G. ↑,
- 69', Di Serio G. ↓, Vlahovic V. ↑,
- 81', Kouda R. ↓, Verde D. ↑,
- 85', Olzer G. ↓, Squizzato N. ↑,
- 90+3', 2 - 1, Artistico G. ⚽,
- 90+7', Caligara F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Spezia
50.4% | Draw
26.4% | Pescara
23.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Spezia's form might have worsened.Pescara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pescara's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (-8.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Spezia that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pescara than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Spezia - Pescara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.86 ↑
(1.66) |
3.51 ↓
(3.62) |
4.01 ↓
(5.21) |
7.2%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Spezia - Pescara?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Spezia will win (votes: 13 - 61.9%). Pescara will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 23.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Spezia: 41.1% – 82.7%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Spezia (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Pescara (2.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -0.5 - Pescara (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Spezia (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Pescara (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 20 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spezia won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, Spezia is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Spezia: Aurelio G.
(Inactive)
Esposito Sa.
(Yellow Cards)
Sarr M.
(Ankle Injury)
Zurkowski S.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Pescara: Faraoni D.
(Inactive)
Giannini D.
(Inactive)
Kraja E.
(Inactive)
Merola D.
(Thigh Injury)
Oliveri A.
(Muscle Injury)
Pellacani F.
(Knee Injury)
Tsadjout F.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Spezia: Comotto C.
(Illness)
- There are questionable in Pescara: Squizzato N.
(Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Spezia won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:17. (average 1.6:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Spezia won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Spezia won against Pescara?
Spezia has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pescara won against Spezia?
Pescara has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Spezia - Pescara were as follows:
Latest results of Pescara
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 68:29 | 39 | 72 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 34 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 65:33 | 32 | 69 |
| 3 | Monza | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 53:27 | 26 | 69 |
| 4 | Palermo | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 55:28 | 27 | 65 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 33 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 51:40 | 11 | 54 |
| 6 | Modena | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 44:29 | 15 | 51 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 41:41 | 0 | 48 |
| 8 | Cesena | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 42:50 | -8 | 44 |
| 9 | Carrarese | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 44:45 | -1 | 42 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 34 | 8 | 16 | 10 | 36:37 | -1 | 40 |
| 11 | Mantova | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 39:48 | -9 | 40 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 34:44 | -10 | 40 |
| 13 | Avellino | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 38:54 | -16 | 40 |
| 14 | Padova | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 33:45 | -12 | 37 |
| 15 | Empoli | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 43:49 | -6 | 36 |
| 16 | Entella | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 32:47 | -15 | 35 |
| 17 | Bari | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 33:53 | -20 | 34 |
| 18 | Reggiana | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33:52 | -19 | 33 |
| 19 | Pescara | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 47:61 | -14 | 32 |
| 20 | Spezia | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 32:51 | -19 | 30 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
