Result
2:1
04/05/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 37
- Referee: Guida M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 0.67 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (185/254) | 83% (381/460) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 0.67 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (185/254) | 83% (381/460) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (15/46) | 39% (21/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (46/83) | 72% (142/196) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (4/12) | 14% (4/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 1.96 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 60% (6/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 54 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.61 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.44 | -1.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 11', Vignali L. 🟨,
- 15', 0 - 1, Lapadula G. ⚽,
- 29', Elia S. 🟨,
- 40', 1 - 1, Portanova M. ⚽, Fiamozzi R. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 51', 2 - 1, Gondo C. ⚽, Libutti L. (A),
- 58', Cassata F. ↓, Kouda R. ↑,
- 58', Vignali L. ↓, Mateju A. ↑,
- 62', Vergara A. ↓, Girma N. ↑,
- 62', Ignacchiti L. ↓, Sersanti A. ↑,
- 69', Lapadula G. ↓, Colak A. ↑,
- 69', Elia S. ↓, Candelari P. ↑,
- 73', Portanova M. ↓, Kumi J. ↑,
- 76', Esposito F. 🟨,
- 77', Nagy A. ↓, Di Serio G. ↑,
- 85', Marras M. ↓, Meroni A. ↑,
- 85', Sersanti A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Reggiana
29.5% | Draw
32% | Spezia
38.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Reggiana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Reggiana's performance.Spezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Spezia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reggiana than the current prediction. (-9.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Reggiana that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (+15.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Spezia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Reggiana - Spezia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.19 ↓
(4.48) |
2.94 ↓
(3.49) |
2.44 ↑
(1.79) |
6.4%
(6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Reggiana - Spezia?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Reggiana will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Spezia will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Spezia (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Spezia might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Reggiana: Meroni A.
(Injury)
Pettinari S.
(Calf Injury)
Sampirisi M.
(Injury)
Urso O.
(Muscle Injury)
Vido L.
(Foot Injury)
- There will not play in Spezia: Degli Innocenti D.
(Injury)
Reca A.
(Injury)
Sarr M.
(Shoulder Injury)
Soleri E.
(Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Reggiana won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.5:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Reggiana won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Reggiana won against Spezia?
Reggiana has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Spezia won against Reggiana?
Spezia has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Reggiana - Spezia were as follows:
05.10.2024
Spezia
-
Reggiana
1:0
16.03.2024
Reggiana
-
Spezia
0:0
23.09.2023
Spezia
-
Reggiana
1:2
Latest results of Reggiana
Draw
Play OutFinal| 1 | Salernitana (16) | Sampdoria (17) | 0 : 3, 0 : 2 |
