Result
1:1
30/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 6
- Referee: Zanotti A. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.34 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (370/425) | 80% (290/362) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.34 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.54 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (370/425) | 80% (290/362) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (32/52) | 43% (22/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 84% (119/141) | 62% (68/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (9/34) | 33% (8/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 1.38 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 43% (3/7) | 50% (4/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.74 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.46 | -0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 26', 0 - 1, Lapadula G. ⚽, Kouda R. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Rover M. ↓, Girma N. ↑,
- 52', Hristov P. 🟥,
- 53', Cistana A. 🟨,
- 54', Lapadula G. ↓, Cistana A. ↑,
- 61', 1 - 1, Girma N. ⚽, Novakovich A. (A),
- 67', Kouda R. ↓, Cassata F. ↑,
- 68', Soleri E. ↓, Di Serio G. ↑,
- 72', Bozzolan A. ↓, Tripaldelli A. ↑,
- 74', Portanova M. 🟨,
- 78', Reinhart T. 🟨,
- 83', Reinhart T. ↓, Mendicino L. ↑,
- 83', Charlys ↓, Tavsan E. ↑,
- 84', Tavsan E. 🟨,
- 87', Libutti L. 🟨,
- 90', Aurelio G. ↓, Beruatto P. ↑,
- 90', Nagy A. ↓, Comotto C. ↑,
- 90', Marras M. ↓, Lambourde M. ↑,
- 90+3', Girma N. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/ycyxrmcf
Chances of winning
Reggiana
23.7% | Draw
28.2% | Spezia
48% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Reggiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Spezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reggiana than the current prediction. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Reggiana - Spezia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.98 ↑
(3.47) |
3.32 ↓
(3.4) |
1.97 ↓
(2.07) |
6.1%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Reggiana - Spezia?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Reggiana will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). Spezia will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Reggiana: 32.6% – 78.6%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Reggiana (votes: 3 - 75%).
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Reggiana will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 13 and 19 in the zone Relegation).
- Recent performances by Reggiana have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Spezia is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Reggiana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Spezia is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Reggiana: Magnani G.
(Injury)
Quaranta D.
(Injury)
Rozzio P.
(Calf Injury)
Sampirisi M.
(Knee Injury)
Seculin A.
(Injury)
Stulac L.
(Injury)
Urso O.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Spezia: Bandinelli F.
(Injury)
Vignali L.
(Red Card)
Zurkowski S.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Spezia: Candelari P.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Reggiana won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Reggiana won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Reggiana won against Spezia?
Reggiana has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Spezia won against Reggiana?
Spezia has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Reggiana - Spezia were as follows:
04.05.2025
Reggiana
-
Spezia
2:1
05.10.2024
Spezia
-
Reggiana
1:0
16.03.2024
Reggiana
-
Spezia
0:0
23.09.2023
Spezia
-
Reggiana
1:2
Latest results of Reggiana
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Modena | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 16:5 | 11 | 21 |
| 2 | Monza | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 17 |
| 3 | Cesena | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 14:11 | 3 | 17 |
| 4 | Palermo | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Frosinone | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 15 |
| 6 | Carrarese | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 16:11 | 5 | 14 |
| 7 | Venezia | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 13 |
| 8 | Juve Stabia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
| 9 | Reggiana | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Avellino | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:15 | -4 | 12 |
| 11 | Padova | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 11 |
| 12 | Sudtirol | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 10 |
| 13 | Entella | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 | Empoli | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12:16 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | Catanzaro | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 9 |
| 16 | Pescara | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 7 |
| 17 | Spezia | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 6 |
| 18 | Sampdoria | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:14 | -5 | 6 |
| 19 | Bari | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 6 |
| 20 | Mantova | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:14 | -8 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
