Result
2:2
01/05/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 37
- Referee: Colombo A. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 2.86 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 59% (124/211) | 82% (320/391) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 2.86 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 1.76 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 23 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 59% (124/211) | 82% (320/391) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (18/54) | 52% (28/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (44/83) | 79% (93/117) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (8/28) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 1.45 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 23 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 36% (5/14) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 73 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 46 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.76 | 1.52 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.24 | -0.48 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 5', Valoti M. 🟨,
- 7', 0 - 1, Yeboah J. ⚽, Doumbia I. (A),
- 14', Adorante A. 🟨,
- 32', Yeboah J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 43', Vignali L. 🟨,
- 45+2', Bandinelli F. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Adorante A. ↓, Casas A. ↑,
- 58', Vignali L. ↓, Comotto C. ↑,
- 65', Di Serio G. ↓, Artistico G. ↑,
- 66', Aurelio G. ↓, Beruatto P. ↑,
- 67', Haps R. ↓, Sagrado R. ↑,
- 68', Perez K. ↓, Dagasso M. ↑,
- 70', 0 - 2, Sagrado R. ⚽, Svoboda M. (A),
- 73', 1 - 2, Valoti M. ⚽, Mateju A. (A),
- 80', Romano A. ↓, Nagy A. ↑,
- 80', Valoti M. ↓, Skjellerup L. ↑,
- 81', Yeboah J. ↓, Compagnon M. ↑,
- 87', Busio G. 🟨,
- 90', 2 - 2, Artistico G. ⚽, Bonfanti G. (A),
- 90+2', Nagy A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Spezia
19.6% | Draw
22.8% | Venezia
57.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Venezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Venezia's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (-4%)
Spezia - Venezia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.81 ↑
(4.13) |
4.11 ↑
(3.72) |
1.64 ↓
(1.78) |
6.2%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Spezia - Venezia?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Spezia will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). Venezia will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Venezia: 56.3% – 96.7%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Venezia (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spezia won 3.
- Recent form of Spezia has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Venezia is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Venezia is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Spezia: Cassata F.
(Muscle Injury)
Hristov P.
(Yellow Cards)
Sarr M.
(Ankle Injury)
Zurkowski S.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Venezia: Farji M.
(Inactive)
Sverko M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Spezia: Artistico G.
(Inactive)
Vlahovic V.
(Inactive)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Spezia won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 0.8:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Spezia won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Spezia won against Venezia?
Spezia has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Venezia won against Spezia?
Venezia has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Spezia - Venezia were as follows:
27.09.2025
Venezia
-
Spezia
2:0
10.05.2024
Spezia
-
Venezia
2:1
15.09.2023
Venezia
-
Spezia
1:0
14.08.2023
Spezia
-
Venezia
3:2
Latest results of Venezia
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia ✔ | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 75:31 | 44 | 79 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 37 | 22 | 12 | 3 | 71:34 | 37 | 78 |
| 3 | Monza | 37 | 22 | 9 | 6 | 59:30 | 29 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 37 | 20 | 12 | 5 | 61:31 | 30 | 72 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 37 | 15 | 14 | 8 | 60:48 | 12 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 37 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 49:35 | 14 | 55 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia ✔ | 37 | 11 | 17 | 9 | 43:44 | -1 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 42:55 | -13 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 46 |
| 10 | Mantova | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 45:52 | -7 | 46 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 37 | 10 | 14 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 44 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 35:47 | -12 | 44 |
| 13 | Padova | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 35:46 | -11 | 43 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 45:52 | -7 | 40 |
| 15 | Sudtirol | 37 | 8 | 16 | 13 | 37:47 | -10 | 40 |
| 16 | Entella | 37 | 9 | 12 | 16 | 34:50 | -16 | 39 |
| 17 | Bari | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 35:58 | -23 | 37 |
| 18 | Pescara | 37 | 7 | 13 | 17 | 50:65 | -15 | 34 |
| 19 | Spezia | 37 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 42:58 | -16 | 34 |
| 20 | Reggiana | 37 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 35:56 | -21 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Venezia is Qualified for Serie A
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Juve Stabia is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
