Result
3:0
16/01/2026 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 18
- Referee: Silva D. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Albania | Tring Sport 3 |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Croatia | SportKlub 2 |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7 |
 Denmark | Sport Live |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 8 |
 Hungary | Sport 2 |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kazakhstan | Sport+ |
 Lithuania | Sport 1 |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | VG+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Russia | TV Start |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 3 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 2 |
 South-america | Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.29 | 0.20 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (431/489) | 79% (246/310) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.29 | 0.20 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.06 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 6 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (431/489) | 79% (246/310) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (12/22) | 45% (24/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (125/164) | 67% (60/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 13% (2/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 0.18 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 50% (9/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.06 | 1.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.06 | -1.89 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 12', Fonte J. 🟨,
- 37', Fonte J. ↓, Kaly ↑,
- 38', 1 - 0, Catamo G. ⚽, Trincao (A),
- 43', 2 - 0, Catamo G. ⚽, Inacio G. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Nsona K. ↓, Morais T. ↑,
- 66', Vagiannidis G. ↓, Mangas R. ↑,
- 66', Luis Guilherme ↓, Braganca D. ↑,
- 69', Livolant J. ↓, Severina X. ↑,
- 69', Cassiano ↓, Mendes C. ↑,
- 78', 3 - 0, Braganca D. ⚽, Suarez L. (A),
- 83', Catamo G. ↓, Alisson Santos ↑,
- 83', Simoes J. ↓, Kochorashvili G. ↑,
- 83', Matheus Reis ↓, Debast Z. ↑,
- 85', Nhaga R. ↓, Brito R. ↑,
- 86', Sousa D. 🟨,
- 90', Mendes C. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Sporting Lisbon
80.5% | Draw
12.6% | Casa Pia
6.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Sporting Lisbon - Casa Pia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.18 ↑
(1.1) |
7.7 ↓
(8.65) |
13.74 ↓
(22.5) |
5.3%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Sporting Lisbon - Casa Pia?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Sporting will win (votes: 18 - 90%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting: 76.9% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Sporting (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 7.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -2 - Sporting (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Sporting (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 5.
- Sporting is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Casa Pia has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Casa Pia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Sporting is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Sporting: Araujo M.
(Yellow Cards)
Blopa S.
(Inactive)
Debast Z.
(Knee Injury)
Goncalves P.
(Muscle Injury)
Hjulmand M.
(Yellow Cards)
Inacio G.
(Red Card)
Quenda G.
(Foot Injury)
Santos N.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Casa Pia: Geraldes A.
(Yellow Cards)
Kaique Rocha
(Injury)
Kiki
(Knee Injury)
Tchamba D.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Sporting: Ioannidis F.
(Injury)
Quaresma E.
(Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 26:7. (average 3.3:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sporting won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:1. (average 4.3:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Lisbon won against Casa Pia?
Sporting Lisbon has won 7 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Casa Pia won against Sporting Lisbon?
Casa Pia has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sporting Lisbon - Casa Pia were as follows:
08.08.2025
Casa Pia
-
Sporting Lisbon
0:2
09.03.2025
Casa Pia
-
Sporting Lisbon
1:3
05.10.2024
Sporting Lisbon
-
Casa Pia
2:0
29.01.2024
Sporting Lisbon
-
Casa Pia
8:0
18.08.2023
Casa Pia
-
Sporting Lisbon
1:2
Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
Latest results of Casa Pia
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 18 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 37:4 | 33 | 52 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 50:9 | 41 | 45 |
| 3 | Benfica | 18 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 38:11 | 27 | 42 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 24:13 | 11 | 31 |
| 5 | Braga | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 32:18 | 14 | 30 |
| 6 | Moreirense | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25:26 | -1 | 27 |
| 7 | Famalicao | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 21:14 | 7 | 26 |
| 8 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 18:23 | -5 | 25 |
| 9 | Estoril | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 33:29 | 4 | 23 |
| 10 | Alverca | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 19:28 | -9 | 23 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 22:31 | -9 | 20 |
| 12 | Estrela | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 23:32 | -9 | 19 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 14:20 | -6 | 17 |
| 14 | Nacional | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 22:28 | -6 | 17 |
| 15 | Arouca | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19:42 | -23 | 17 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 17:35 | -18 | 14 |
| 17 | Tondela | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12:30 | -18 | 12 |
| 18 | AFS | 18 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 11:44 | -33 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
