Cerro Porteño vs Sportivo Ameliano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Paraguayan Primera Division Cerro Porteño - Sportivo Ameliano
20/09/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Cerro Porteño
58.8%
Draw
23.7%
Sportivo Ameliano
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.7% 24.3% 18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2% 25% 18.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cerro Porteño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • Sportivo Ameliano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Ameliano than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • Cerro Porteño - Sportivo Ameliano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.65)
    3.83
    (3.85)
    5.13
    (4.94)
    9.6%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerro Porteño won 4.
    • Cerro Porteño has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Sportivo Ameliano is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Cerro Porteño may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Cerro Porteño is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Cerro Porteño won 13 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 28:11. (average 1.8:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cerro Porteño won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 16:9. (average 2:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cerro Porteño - Sportivo Ameliano were as follows:
    12.07.2025 Sportivo Ameliano - Cerro Porteño 0:1
    21.05.2025 Sportivo Ameliano - Cerro Porteño 0:0
    21.09.2024 Sportivo Ameliano - Cerro Porteño 0:1
    01.08.2024 Cerro Porteño - Sportivo Ameliano 1:0
    14.04.2024 Cerro Porteño - Sportivo Ameliano 3:0
    Latest results of Cerro Porteño
    Latest results of Sportivo Ameliano
    Paraguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Guarani1281329:121725
    2Nacional Asuncion1264216:9722
    3Cerro Porteno1163220:15521
    4Sportivo Trinidense1162316:13320
    5Libertad Asuncion1245315:10517
    6Sp. Luqueno1252516:16017
    72 de Mayo1244414:17-316
    8General Caballero JLM124359:16-715
    9Olimpia Asuncion1233616:23-712
    10Recoleta1133514:16-212
    11Ameliano1232713:21-811
    12Atl. Tembetary1112812:22-105

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