Result
2:0
20/09/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 13
- Referee: Bogado M. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 0.28 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 78% | 22% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (480/535) | 51% (73/142) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 0.28 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (480/535) | 51% (73/142) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 73% (30/41) | 32% (20/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (140/173) | 36% (24/67) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (8/26) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.66 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (12/14) | 93% (13/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.53 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 8', Paez E. 🟨,
- 11', Lezcano Olmedo T. E. 🟥,
- 42', Aranda S. 🟨,
- 45+1', Sarquis E. 🟨,
- 45+6', Velazquez G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Aranda P. ↓, Servian A. ↑,
- 46', Aranda S. ↓, Samudio A. ↑,
- 48', Salazar V. 🟨,
- 49', 1 - 0, Amarilla L. ⚽, Dominguez C. (A),
- 57', Paez E. ↓, Franco C. ↑,
- 58', 2 - 0, Morel J. ⚽, Torres J. (A),
- 66', Sarquis E. ↓, Vera F. ↑,
- 66', Paredes M. ↓, Herrero G. ↑,
- 72', Torres J. ↓, Portillo Avalos T. G. ↑,
- 72', Escobar R. ↓, Sanguina J. ↑,
- 72', Gimenez G. ↓, Peralta F. ↑,
- 73', Franco C. 🟨,
- 84', Dominguez C. ↓, Viera W. ↑,
- 85', Morel J. ↓, Bobadilla A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cerro Porteño
56.1% | Draw
25.4% | Sportivo Ameliano
18.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerro Porteño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Sportivo Ameliano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Ameliano than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Cerro Porteño - Sportivo Ameliano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.49 ↓
(1.65) |
3.2 ↓
(3.85) |
4.43 ↓
(4.94) |
21.1%
(6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cerro Porteño - Sportivo Ameliano?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sportivo Ameliano (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerro Porteño won 4.
- Recent performances by Cerro Porteño have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Sportivo Ameliano is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Cerro Porteño may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Sportivo Ameliano has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Cerro Porteño is a strong favorite.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Cerro Porteño won 13 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 28:11. (average 1.8:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cerro Porteño won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 16:9. (average 2:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro Porteño won against Sportivo Ameliano?
Cerro Porteño has won 9 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Ameliano won against Cerro Porteño?
Sportivo Ameliano has won 1 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cerro Porteño - Sportivo Ameliano were as follows:
12.07.2025
Sportivo Ameliano
-
Cerro Porteño
0:1
21.05.2025
Sportivo Ameliano
-
Cerro Porteño
0:0
21.09.2024
Sportivo Ameliano
-
Cerro Porteño
0:1
01.08.2024
Cerro Porteño
-
Sportivo Ameliano
1:0
14.04.2024
Cerro Porteño
-
Sportivo Ameliano
3:0
Latest results of Cerro Porteño
Latest results of Sportivo Ameliano
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cerro Porteno | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 26:16 | 10 | 31 |
| 2 | Guarani | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 32:13 | 19 | 29 |
| 3 | Nacional Asuncion | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 25 |
| 4 | 2 de Mayo | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 20:17 | 3 | 25 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20:18 | 2 | 22 |
| 6 | Recoleta | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 24:22 | 2 | 21 |
| 7 | Olimpia Asuncion | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 21:25 | -4 | 19 |
| 8 | General Caballero JLM | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 14:20 | -6 | 18 |
| 9 | Libertad Asuncion | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 16:14 | 2 | 17 |
| 10 | Sp. Luqueno | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 18:25 | -7 | 17 |
| 11 | Ameliano | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 15:29 | -14 | 11 |
| 12 | Atl. Tembetary | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 14:28 | -14 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
