Sportivo Ameliano vs Cerro Porteño – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Paraguayan Primera Division Sportivo Ameliano - Cerro Porteño
Result
0:1
12/07/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 2
  • Referee: Lopez D. (Par)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
paraguayParaguayTigo Sports
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.241.10
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
718
Shots on target
17
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
85
Passes
60% (154/258)73% (246/336)
Yellow Cards
41
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.241.10
xG on target (xGOT)
0.021.10
Total shots
718
Shots on target
17
Shots off target
38
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
413
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
85
Touches in opposition box
1322
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1616
Passes
60% (154/258)73% (246/336)
Long passes
36% (27/75)53% (40/75)
Passes in final third
50% (51/103)62% (68/110)
Crosses
5% (1/21)36% (8/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.381.01
Throw-ins
2526
Fouls
1616
Tackles
67% (16/24)77% (10/13)
Duels won
7480
Clearances
2140
Interceptions
69
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
61
xGOT faced
1.100.02
Goals prevented
-0.240.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 4', Sarquis E. 🟨,
  • 14', Valdez D. 🟨,
  • 32', Viera W. 🟨,
  • 37', Aranda P. 🟨,
  • 45+5', Samudio A. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Sarquis E. , Escobar R. ,
  • 46', Barreto D. , Benitez J. ,
  • 46', Aranda P. , Leon M. ,
  • 56', 0 - 1, Iturbe J. , Piris R. (A),
  • 58', Viera W. , Peralta F. ,
  • 58', Aguayo G. , Espinola D. ,
  • 68', Valdez D. , Barrientos N. ,
  • 79', Iturbe J. , Farina A. ,
  • 79', Riveros B. , Zarate C. ,
  • 79', Martinich M. 🟨,
  • 82', Moreira E. , Paredes M. ,
  • 83', Araujo S. , Amarilla L. ,

Chances of winning


Sportivo Ameliano
25.6%
Draw
30.2%
Cerro Porteño
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.9% 29.5% 45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9% 30.7% 47.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sportivo Ameliano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • Cerro Porteño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Ameliano than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • Sportivo Ameliano - Cerro Porteño Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.59
    (3.73)
    3.06
    (3.14)
    2.1
    (2.03)
    8.2%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Sportivo Ameliano - Cerro Porteño?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Cerro Porteño will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cerro Porteño (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Ameliano won 0.
    • Sportivo Ameliano is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Cerro Porteño's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Cerro Porteño could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Ameliano won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 11:27. (average 0.7:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo Ameliano won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 2:11. (average 0.3:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sportivo Ameliano - Cerro Porteño were as follows:
    21.05.2025 Sportivo Ameliano - Cerro Porteño 0:0
    21.09.2024 Sportivo Ameliano - Cerro Porteño 0:1
    01.08.2024 Cerro Porteño - Sportivo Ameliano 1:0
    14.04.2024 Cerro Porteño - Sportivo Ameliano 3:0
    25.01.2024 Sportivo Ameliano - Cerro Porteño 1:4
    Latest results of Cerro Porteño
    Paraguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cerro Porteno651013:6716
    2Nacional Asuncion63218:4411
    3Sportivo Trinidense632110:7311
    4Guarani53118:3510
    5Sp. Luqueno63127:6110
    6Olimpia Asuncion622211:1018
    72 de Mayo62228:9-18
    8Libertad Asuncion52125:327
    9Recoleta52039:11-26
    10Ameliano51134:9-54
    11General Caballero JLM50141:9-81
    12Atl. Tembetary50054:11-70

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