Result
1:1
19/02/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.16 | 0.98 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (217/296) | 74% (270/365) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.16 | 0.98 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.70 | 1.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (217/296) | 74% (270/365) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (22/58) | 47% (37/79) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (57/96) | 52% (48/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (10/28) | 14% (2/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.23 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 33 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.05 | 1.70 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.05 | 0.70 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 32', Cespedes V. ↓, Martinez M. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Zarza P. ↓, Baez Mendoza R. ↑,
- 46', Villamayor H. ↓, Gonzalez H. ↑,
- 53', 0 - 1, Camacho N. (Penalty Awarded),
- 58', De la Cruz L. 🟨,
- 68', Gonzalez C. ↓, Gimenez O. ↑,
- 68', Pinatares B. ↓, Paez A. ↑,
- 68', Camacho N. ↓, Romero F. ↑,
- 69', Gauto N. ↓, Melgarejo D. ↑,
- 75', Baruja F. ↓, Morinigo A. ↑,
- 79', Galeano A. ↓, Duarte J. ↑,
- 87', 1 - 1, Barrios J. ⚽,
- 90+3', Da Silveira A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sportivo San Lorenzo
30.6% | Draw
30% | Sportivo Trinidense
39.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Sportivo Trinidense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Trinidense than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Sportivo San Lorenzo - Sportivo Trinidense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.02 ↑
(2.82) |
3.08 ↓
(3.18) |
2.36 ↓
(2.49) |
7.9%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sportivo San Lorenzo - Sportivo Trinidense?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Sportivo Trinidense will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Sportivo Trinidense (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Sportivo Trinidense (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 12 and 4).
- Sportivo San Lorenzo has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Sportivo Trinidense's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- We predict that Sportivo Trinidense will win today's game, with odds of 2.39.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sportivo San Lorenzo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Sportivo San Lorenzo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo San Lorenzo won against Sportivo Trinidense?
Sportivo San Lorenzo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Trinidense won against Sportivo San Lorenzo?
Sportivo Trinidense has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sportivo San Lorenzo - Sportivo Trinidense were as follows:
08.10.2022
Sportivo Trinidense
-
Sportivo San Lorenzo
2:0
Latest results of Sportivo San Lorenzo
Latest results of Sportivo Trinidense
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 10:5 | 5 | 17 |
| 2 | Nacional Asuncion | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:5 | 7 | 13 |
| 3 | Recoleta | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 11 |
| 4 | Ameliano | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 11 |
| 5 | Cerro Porteno | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | Sportivo Trinidense | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 10 |
| 7 | Sp. Luqueno | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 10 |
| 8 | Guarani | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 8 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 6 |
| 10 | Libertad Asuncion | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:9 | -3 | 5 |
| 11 | 2 de Mayo | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:12 | -9 | 2 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4:13 | -9 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
