St. Louis City vs Houston Dynamo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS St. Louis City - Houston Dynamo
Result
2:3
30/08/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Montero R. (Cos)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.481.27
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
158
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
113
Passes
87% (394/455)83% (271/326)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.481.27
xG on target (xGOT)
1.001.42
Total shots
158
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
103
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
146
Shots outside the Box
12
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
113
Touches in opposition box
3018
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1413
Passes
87% (394/455)83% (271/326)
Long passes
69% (49/71)41% (19/46)
Passes in final third
71% (111/157)80% (100/125)
Crosses
21% (8/38)15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.450.59
Throw-ins
3013
Fouls
1414
Tackles
55% (6/11)77% (10/13)
Duels won
4143
Clearances
1652
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
01
xGOT faced
1.421.00
Goals prevented
-0.58-1.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 20', 0 - 1, Ponce E. , McGlynn J. (A),
  • 43', Lowen E. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Ponce E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 50', 0 - 2, Kessler H. (Own goal),
  • 53', Morales A. 🟨,
  • 54', Antonio Carlos 🟨,
  • 58', Felipe Andrade 🟨,
  • 59', Baumgartl T. , Fall F. ,
  • 59', Ostrak T. , Joyner M. ,
  • 69', Wallem C. , Becher S. ,
  • 69', Ennali L. , Holmes D. ,
  • 72', 0 - 3, Holmes D. , Lingr O. (A),
  • 75', Sviatchenko E. , Awodesu F. ,
  • 80', Jeong S. , Pompeu C. ,
  • 80', Morales A. , Durkin C. ,
  • 86', 1 - 3, Lowen E. , Becher S. (A),
  • 87', Ponce E. , Segal G. ,
  • 87', McGlynn J. , Escobar F. ,
  • 89', 2 - 3, Joyner M. , Durkin C. (A), Hartel M. (A2)
  • 90+1', Joyner M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


St. Louis City
44%
Draw
24.3%
Houston Dynamo
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.6% 23.3% 30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8% 22.2% 28.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • St. Louis City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • Houston Dynamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • St. Louis City - Houston Dynamo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.17
    (2)
    3.87
    (4)
    2.96
    (3.1)
    5.7%
    (7.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for St. Louis City - Houston Dynamo?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. St. Louis City will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Houston will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. St. Louis City (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City won 2.
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in St. Louis City: Alm R. (Hip Injury) Teuchert C. (Lower-Body Injury) Wentzel M. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There will not play in Houston: Quinones N. (Knee Injury) Tarbell A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Houston: Ortiz P. (Injury) Segal G. (Lower-Body Injury) Sviatchenko E. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.3:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, St. Louis City won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 2.7:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between St. Louis City - Houston Dynamo were as follows:
    05.10.2024 St. Louis City - Houston Dynamo 3:0
    04.05.2024 Houston Dynamo - St. Louis City 0:0
    27.02.2024 Houston Dynamo - St. Louis City 1:0
    20.02.2024 St. Louis City - Houston Dynamo 2:1
    16.09.2023 Houston Dynamo - St. Louis City 1:1
    Latest results of St. Louis City
    Latest results of Houston Dynamo
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Philadelphia UnionBye
    2Chicago FireOrlando City3 : 1
    3CharlotteBye
    4ByeNew York City
    5Inter MiamiBye
    6ByeNashville SC
    7FC CincinnatiBye
    8ByeColumbus Crew
    9San Diego FCBye
    10Portland TimbersReal Salt Lake3 : 1
    11Minnesota UnitedBye
    12ByeSeattle Sounders
    13Los Angeles FCBye
    14ByeAustin FC
    15Vancouver WhitecapsBye
    16ByeFC Dallas

    1/8-finals
    1Philadelphia UnionChicago Fire
    2CharlotteNew York City
    3Inter MiamiNashville SC1 : 0
    4FC CincinnatiColumbus Crew
    5San Diego FCPortland Timbers
    6Minnesota UnitedSeattle Sounders
    7Los Angeles FCAustin FC
    8Vancouver WhitecapsFC Dallas

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2