St. Louis City vs Houston Dynamo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS St. Louis City - Houston Dynamo
Result
2:3
30/08/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Montero R. (Cos)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.481.27
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
158
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
113
Passes
87% (394/455)83% (271/326)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.481.27
xG on target (xGOT)
1.001.42
Total shots
158
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
103
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
146
Shots outside the Box
12
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
113
Touches in opposition box
3018
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1413
Passes
87% (394/455)83% (271/326)
Long passes
69% (49/71)41% (19/46)
Passes in final third
71% (111/157)80% (100/125)
Crosses
21% (8/38)15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.450.59
Throw-ins
3013
Fouls
1414
Tackles
55% (6/11)77% (10/13)
Duels won
4143
Clearances
1652
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
01
xGOT faced
1.421.00
Goals prevented
-0.58-1.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 20', 0 - 1, Ponce E. , McGlynn J. (A),
  • 43', Lowen E. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Ponce E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 50', 0 - 2, Kessler H. (Own goal),
  • 53', Morales A. 🟨,
  • 54', Antonio Carlos 🟨,
  • 58', Felipe Andrade 🟨,
  • 59', Baumgartl T. , Fall F. ,
  • 59', Ostrak T. , Joyner M. ,
  • 69', Wallem C. , Becher S. ,
  • 69', Ennali L. , Holmes D. ,
  • 72', 0 - 3, Holmes D. , Lingr O. (A),
  • 75', Sviatchenko E. , Awodesu F. ,
  • 80', Jeong S. , Pompeu C. ,
  • 80', Morales A. , Durkin C. ,
  • 86', 1 - 3, Lowen E. , Becher S. (A),
  • 87', Ponce E. , Segal G. ,
  • 87', McGlynn J. , Escobar F. ,
  • 89', 2 - 3, Joyner M. , Durkin C. (A), Hartel M. (A2)
  • 90+1', Joyner M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


St. Louis City
44%
Draw
24.3%
Houston Dynamo
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.6% 23.3% 30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8% 22.2% 28.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • St. Louis City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • Houston Dynamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • St. Louis City - Houston Dynamo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.17
    (2)
    3.87
    (4)
    2.96
    (3.1)
    5.7%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for St. Louis City - Houston Dynamo?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. St. Louis City will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Houston will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. St. Louis City (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City won 2.
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in St. Louis City: Alm R. (Hip Injury) Teuchert C. (Lower-Body Injury) Wentzel M. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There will not play in Houston: Quinones N. (Knee Injury) Tarbell A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Houston: Ortiz P. (Injury) Segal G. (Lower-Body Injury) Sviatchenko E. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.3:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, St. Louis City won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 2.7:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between St. Louis City - Houston Dynamo were as follows:
    05.10.2024 St. Louis City - Houston Dynamo 3:0
    04.05.2024 Houston Dynamo - St. Louis City 0:0
    27.02.2024 Houston Dynamo - St. Louis City 1:0
    20.02.2024 St. Louis City - Houston Dynamo 2:1
    16.09.2023 Houston Dynamo - St. Louis City 1:1
    Latest results of St. Louis City
    Latest results of Houston Dynamo
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 33186960:411960
    2Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 32179663:352860
    3Minnesota United ✔ 331610755:371858
    4Los Angeles FC ✔ 31168761:372456
    5Seattle Sounders ✔ 321310955:47849
    6Austin FC321281235:43-844
    7Portland Timbers3311111141:44-344
    8FC Dallas3210111149:52-341
    9Real Salt Lake321241636:46-1040
    10Colorado Rapids331171542:54-1240
    11San Jose Earthquakes331081558:62-438
    12Houston Dynamo33991543:56-1336
    13St. Louis City33871842:56-1431
    14Sporting Kansas City33762046:70-2427
    15Los Angeles Galaxy32591842:64-2224


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 33206757:332466
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 33195949:40962
    3Inter Miami ✔ 32178772:531959
    4Charlotte ✔ 331821353:46756
    5New York City ✔ 331751149:42756
    6Nashville SC331661156:401654
    7Orlando City321411760:451553
    8Chicago Fire331571166:58852
    9Columbus Crew331312852:50251
    10New York Red Bulls331271447:44343
    11New England Revolution33981642:49-735
    12Toronto FC325141333:40-729
    13CF Montreal336101734:57-2328
    14Atlanta Utd325121537:58-2127
    15DC United335101829:65-3625

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Seattle Sounders is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)