Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Houston Dynamo - St. Louis City
28/06/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Houston Dynamo - St. Louis City - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.450.26
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
187
Shots on target
61
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
70
Passes
88% (375/426)86% (406/470)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
2.450.26
xG on target (xGOT)
1.920.00
Total shots
187
Shots on target
61
Shots off target
92
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
134
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
70
Touches in opposition box
3213
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1022
Passes
88% (375/426)86% (406/470)
Long passes
49% (22/45)59% (26/44)
Passes in final third
83% (120/144)67% (64/96)
Crosses
50% (10/20)13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
2.210.69
Throw-ins
2212
Fouls
2210
Tackles
67% (10/15)76% (16/21)
Duels won
3859
Clearances
1622
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
0.001.92
Goals prevented
0.000.92

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2', Zalinsky J. 🟨,
  • 15', Morales A. , Watts A. ,
  • 21', Reid J. 🟨,
  • 38', Ortiz P. 🟨,
  • 42', Lundt B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Wallem C. , Teuchert C. ,
  • 46', Zalinsky J. , Totland T. ,
  • 46', Holmes D. , Ennali L. ,
  • 54', Sviatchenko E. , Bartlow E. ,
  • 66', 1 - 0, Ponce E. , Felipe Andrade (A), Escobar F. (A2)
  • 67', Pompeu C. , Silva X. ,
  • 72', Reid J. , Ostrak T. ,
  • 77', Lingr O. , Kowalczyk S. ,
  • 77', Girdwood-Reich J. , Hiebert K. ,
  • 85', Felipe Andrade , Awodesu F. ,
  • 85', Bassi A. , Lodeiro N. ,
  • 90+6', Escobar F. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Houston Dynamo
52.6%
Draw
24.4%
St. Louis City
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49% 27.5% 23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2% 27.4% 23.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Houston Dynamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • St. Louis City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Houston Dynamo - St. Louis City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.82
    (1.91)
    3.87
    (3.4)
    4.06
    (4)
    5.5%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Houston Dynamo - St. Louis City?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Houston will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Houston: 40%93.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Houston won 1.
    • The current form of both teams is below expectations.
    • In this match, Houston is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Houston won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.5:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Houston won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Houston Dynamo - St. Louis City were as follows:
    05.10.2024 St. Louis City - Houston Dynamo 3:0
    04.05.2024 Houston Dynamo - St. Louis City 0:0
    27.02.2024 Houston Dynamo - St. Louis City 1:0
    20.02.2024 St. Louis City - Houston Dynamo 2:1
    16.09.2023 Houston Dynamo - St. Louis City 1:1
    Latest results of Houston Dynamo
    Latest results of St. Louis City
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC21123644:291539
    2Vancouver Whitecaps20115435:221338
    3Minnesota United21107435:241137
    4Portland Timbers2096530:28233
    5Seattle Sounders2086628:26230
    6Los Angeles FC1885533:24929
    7San Jose Earthquakes2177741:33828
    8Houston Dynamo2175929:34-526
    9Austin FC2075815:23-826
    10Colorado Rapids22751024:33-926
    11Sporting Kansas City21651033:38-523
    12Real Salt Lake20641022:28-622
    13FC Dallas2056927:37-1021
    14St. Louis City21361221:34-1315
    15Los Angeles Galaxy21261322:42-2012


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Cincinnati21133533:27642
    2Nashville SC21125437:231441
    3Philadelphia Union21124535:211440
    4Columbus Crew21108334:27738
    5Inter Miami18105342:291335
    6Orlando City2197539:281134
    7New York City2094727:22531
    8New York Red Bulls2186733:25830
    9Chicago Fire2084839:36328
    10Charlotte21821134:36-226
    11New England Revolution2066826:25124
    12DC United21471017:39-2219
    13Atlanta Utd20461022:37-1518
    14Toronto FC20451123:28-517
    15CF Montreal21351318:40-2214

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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