Result
2:3
30/08/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Montero R. (Cos)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 1.27 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (394/455) | 83% (271/326) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 1.27 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 1.42 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (394/455) | 83% (271/326) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 69% (49/71) | 41% (19/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (111/157) | 80% (100/125) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (8/38) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 0.59 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 30 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 52 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.42 | 1.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.58 | -1.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 20', 0 - 1, Ponce E. ⚽, McGlynn J. (A),
- 43', Lowen E. 🟨,
- 45+2', Ponce E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 50', 0 - 2, Kessler H. (Own goal),
- 53', Morales A. 🟨,
- 54', Antonio Carlos 🟨,
- 58', Felipe Andrade 🟨,
- 59', Baumgartl T. ↓, Fall F. ↑,
- 59', Ostrak T. ↓, Joyner M. ↑,
- 69', Wallem C. ↓, Becher S. ↑,
- 69', Ennali L. ↓, Holmes D. ↑,
- 72', 0 - 3, Holmes D. ⚽, Lingr O. (A),
- 75', Sviatchenko E. ↓, Awodesu F. ↑,
- 80', Jeong S. ↓, Pompeu C. ↑,
- 80', Morales A. ↓, Durkin C. ↑,
- 86', 1 - 3, Lowen E. ⚽, Becher S. (A),
- 87', Ponce E. ↓, Segal G. ↑,
- 87', McGlynn J. ↓, Escobar F. ↑,
- 89', 2 - 3, Joyner M. ⚽, Durkin C. (A), Hartel M. (A2)
- 90+1', Joyner M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
St. Louis City
44% | Draw
24.3% | Houston Dynamo
31.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St. Louis City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)Houston Dynamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
St. Louis City - Houston Dynamo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.17 ↑
(2) |
3.87 ↓
(4) |
2.96 ↓
(3.1) |
5.7%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for St. Louis City - Houston Dynamo?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. St. Louis City will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Houston will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. St. Louis City (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City won 2.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in St. Louis City: Alm R.
(Hip Injury)
Teuchert C.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Wentzel M.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- There will not play in Houston: Quinones N.
(Knee Injury)
Tarbell A.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Houston: Ortiz P.
(Injury)
Segal G.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Sviatchenko E.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.3:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, St. Louis City won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 2.7:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has St. Louis City won against Houston Dynamo?
St. Louis City has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Houston Dynamo won against St. Louis City?
Houston Dynamo has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between St. Louis City - Houston Dynamo were as follows:
05.10.2024
St. Louis City
-
Houston Dynamo
3:0
04.05.2024
Houston Dynamo
-
St. Louis City
0:0
27.02.2024
Houston Dynamo
-
St. Louis City
1:0
20.02.2024
St. Louis City
-
Houston Dynamo
2:1
16.09.2023
Houston Dynamo
-
St. Louis City
1:1
Latest results of St. Louis City
Latest results of Houston Dynamo
MLS Table
2026Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Diego FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:0 | 7 | 6 |
| 2 | San Jose Earthquakes | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
| 4 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | FC Dallas | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Minnesota United | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Austin FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Seattle Sounders | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Real Salt Lake | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Colorado Rapids | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Portland Timbers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 | Houston Dynamo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 | St. Louis City | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | New York Red Bulls | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Nashville SC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | New York City | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | FC Cincinnati | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | DC United | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Inter Miami | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
| 8 | Columbus Crew | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 1 |
| 9 | Charlotte | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
| 10 | Philadelphia Union | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 11 | Orlando City | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 0 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
| 13 | New England Revolution | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 14 | Atlanta Utd | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:8 | -8 | 0 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
