Result
21/12/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Mainz
48.7% | Draw
27.8% | St. Pauli
23.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Mainz - St. Pauli Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↓
(1.97) |
3.45 ↓
(3.48) |
4.04 ↑
(3.87) |
4.8%
(5.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Mainz - St. Pauli?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Mainz will win (votes: 9 - 60%). St. Pauli will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mainz: 35.2% – 84.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Mainz (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 16 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation)).
- Recent form of Mainz has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- St. Pauli's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- St. Pauli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Mainz has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Mainz is considered a favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mainz won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 2.5:0).
- Including home match between the teams, Mainz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Mainz won against St. Pauli?
Mainz has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has St. Pauli won against Mainz?
St. Pauli has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mainz - St. Pauli were as follows:
22.02.2025
Mainz
-
St. Pauli
2:0
05.10.2024
St. Pauli
-
Mainz
0:3
Latest results of St. Pauli
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 14 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 51:11 | 40 | 38 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 26:12 | 14 | 32 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 29:16 | 13 | 29 |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 30:19 | 11 | 26 |
| 5 | Hoffenheim | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 29:20 | 9 | 26 |
| 6 | Stuttgart | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 25:22 | 3 | 25 |
| 7 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 29:29 | 0 | 24 |
| 8 | Union Berlin | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 19:23 | -4 | 18 |
| 9 | Freiburg | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 21:23 | -2 | 17 |
| 10 | FC Koln | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 22:23 | -1 | 16 |
| 11 | B. Monchengladbach | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 16 |
| 12 | Werder Bremen | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18:28 | -10 | 16 |
| 13 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 20:24 | -4 | 15 |
| 14 | Hamburger SV | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15:24 | -9 | 15 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 17:28 | -11 | 13 |
| 16 | St. Pauli | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13:26 | -13 | 11 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13:30 | -17 | 11 |
| 18 | Mainz | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 13:26 | -13 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
