Result
2:0
22/02/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- GERMANY: Bundesliga - Round 23
- Referee: Zwayer F. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Africa | New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Asia | TOD |
Australia | beIN Connect |
Austria | Sky Go Austria |
Belgium | DAZN 1 |
Canada | DAZN Canada |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free |
Germany | Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW |
Greece | Nova Sports Extra 3 |
Hungary | Net4+ |
Iceland | Viaplay |
India | Vision+ |
Indonesia | RCTI+ |
Japan | SKY PerfecTV!, Sukachan 6 |
Laos | beIN Connect |
Malaysia | beIN Connect |
Mexico | Sky Sport |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
North-central-america | Flow Sports App Caribbean, Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte |
Norway | Viaplay |
Pakistan | Tapmad |
Peru | Disney+ |
Philippines | beIN Connect |
Poland | Viaplay |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5 |
Thailand | beIN Connect |
Turkey | beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 2 |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Vietnam | ON Plus |
World | Disney+, Onefootball |
Match Stats
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.30 | 0.85 |
Ball Possession |
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52% | 48% |
Goal Attempts |
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9 | 12 |
Shots on Goal |
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5 | 0 |
Shots off Goal |
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1 | 9 |
Blocked Shots |
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3 | 3 |
Big Chances |
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2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
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6 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
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6 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
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3 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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0 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
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10 | 9 |
Offsides |
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6 | 1 |
Fouls |
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9 | 10 |
Yellow Cards |
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3 | 3 |
Throw-ins |
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26 | 22 |
Touches in the Opposition Box |
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16 | 18 |
Passes |
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78% (329/423) | 79% (296/377) |
Passes in the final third |
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59% (87/148) | 60% (58/96) |
Crosses |
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38% (5/13) | 40% (8/20) |
Tackles |
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58% (7/12) | 63% (10/16) |
Clearances Total |
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27 | 34 |
Interceptions |
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8 | 13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 18', Sano K. 🟨,
- 24', Treu P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Weiper N. ↓, Lee Jae-Sung ↑,
- 50', Kohr D. 🟨,
- 62', Ritzka L. ↓, Dzwigala A. ↑,
- 66', Van Der Heyden S. 🟨,
- 66', Kohr D. ↓, Hanche-Olsen A. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 0, Lee Jae-Sung ⚽,
- 69', Saad E. ↓, Afolayan O. ↑,
- 73', Burkardt J. ↓, Sieb A. ↑,
- 83', Weisshaupt N. ↓, Sinani D. ↑,
- 83', Mwene P. ↓, Widmer S. ↑,
- 83', Treu P. ↓, Ceesay A. ↑,
- 88', Nebel P. 🟨,
- 90+4', Nemeth D. 🟨,
- 90+5', 2 - 0, Nebel P. ⚽, Lee Jae-Sung (A),
Chances of winning
Mainz 53.4% | Draw 26.8% | St. Pauli 19.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mainz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)St. Pauli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mainz than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Mainz - St. Pauli Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.79 ↓ (1.87) |
3.5 ↓ (3.57) |
4.68 ↑ (4.32) |
5.8% (4.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Mainz - St. Pauli?
Users Predictions:
Mainz will win
(27 of 33 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.66% – 94.98%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 14).
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- In this match Mainz is a favorite.
- There will not play in Mainz: Bell S.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in St. Pauli: Ahlers S.
(Knee Injury)
Burchert S.
(Groin Injury)
Guilavogui M.
(Ankle Injury)
Metcalfe C.
(Leg Injury)
Saliakas M.
(Thigh Injury)
Sands J.
(Broken Leg)
Zoller S.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Mainz: Zentner R.
(Illness)
- There are questionable in St. Pauli: Mets K.
(Knee Injury)
Wagner R.
(Thigh Injury)
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Mainz won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0
How many head-to-head matches has Mainz won against St. Pauli?
Mainz has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has St. Pauli won against Mainz?
St. Pauli has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mainz - St. Pauli were as follows:
05.10.2024
St. Pauli
-
Mainz
0:3
Latest results of St. Pauli
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Union Berlin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Bayern Munich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Werder Bremen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Hamburger SV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Dortmund | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | B. Monchengladbach | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Hoffenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | FC Koln | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Mainz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Freiburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | St. Pauli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Augsburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Stuttgart | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Heidenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | RB Leipzig | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga