Mainz vs St. Pauli – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga Mainz - St. Pauli
Result
2:0
22/02/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • GERMANY: Bundesliga - Round 23
  • Referee: Zwayer F. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaNew World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiaTOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Extra 3
hungaryHungaryNet4+
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaVision+
indonesiaIndonesiaRCTI+
japanJapanSKY PerfecTV!, Sukachan 6
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaFlow Sports App Caribbean, Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayViaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
polandPolandViaplay
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 2
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus
worldWorldDisney+, Onefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.300.85
Ball Possession
52%48%
Goal Attempts
912
Shots on Goal
50
Shots off Goal
19
Blocked Shots
33
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
65
Shots inside the Box
68
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
01
Goalkeeper Saves
03
Free Kicks
109
Offsides
61
Fouls
910
Yellow Cards
33
Throw-ins
2622
Touches in the Opposition Box
1618
Passes
78% (329/423)79% (296/377)
Passes in the final third
59% (87/148)60% (58/96)
Crosses
38% (5/13)40% (8/20)
Tackles
58% (7/12)63% (10/16)
Clearances Total
2734
Interceptions
813

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 18', Sano K. 🟨,
  • 24', Treu P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Weiper N. , Lee Jae-Sung ,
  • 50', Kohr D. 🟨,
  • 62', Ritzka L. , Dzwigala A. ,
  • 66', Van Der Heyden S. 🟨,
  • 66', Kohr D. , Hanche-Olsen A. ,
  • 67', 1 - 0, Lee Jae-Sung ,
  • 69', Saad E. , Afolayan O. ,
  • 73', Burkardt J. , Sieb A. ,
  • 83', Weisshaupt N. , Sinani D. ,
  • 83', Mwene P. , Widmer S. ,
  • 83', Treu P. , Ceesay A. ,
  • 88', Nebel P. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Nemeth D. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 2 - 0, Nebel P. , Lee Jae-Sung (A),

Chances of winning


Mainz
53.4%
Draw
26.8%
St. Pauli
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.1% 26.8% 22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4% 29% 20.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mainz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • St. Pauli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mainz than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Mainz - St. Pauli Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.79
    (1.87)
    3.5
    (3.57)
    4.68
    (4.32)
    5.8%
    (4.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Mainz - St. Pauli?
  • Users Predictions: Mainz will win (27 of 33 users predict this - 81.82%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 68.66%94.98%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 14).
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • In this match Mainz is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Mainz: Bell S. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in St. Pauli: Ahlers S. (Knee Injury) Burchert S. (Groin Injury) Guilavogui M. (Ankle Injury) Metcalfe C. (Leg Injury) Saliakas M. (Thigh Injury) Sands J. (Broken Leg) Zoller S. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Mainz: Zentner R. (Illness)
    • There are questionable in St. Pauli: Mets K. (Knee Injury) Wagner R. (Thigh Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Mainz won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mainz - St. Pauli were as follows:
    05.10.2024 St. Pauli - Mainz 0:3
    Latest results of Mainz
    16.02.2025 Heidenheim - Mainz 0:2
    08.02.2025 Mainz - Augsburg 0:0
    31.01.2025 Werder Bremen - Mainz 1:0
    25.01.2025 Mainz - Stuttgart 2:0
    19.01.2025 Union Berlin - Mainz 2:1
    Latest results of St. Pauli
    15.02.2025 St. Pauli - Freiburg 0:1
    09.02.2025 RB Leipzig - St. Pauli 2:0
    01.02.2025 St. Pauli - Augsburg 1:1
    26.01.2025 St. Pauli - Union Berlin 3:0
    18.01.2025 Heidenheim - St. Pauli 0:2
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union Berlin00000:000
    2Eintracht Frankfurt00000:000
    3Bayern Munich00000:000
    4Bayer Leverkusen00000:000
    5Werder Bremen00000:000
    6Hamburger SV00000:000
    7Wolfsburg00000:000
    8Dortmund00000:000
    9B. Monchengladbach00000:000
    10Hoffenheim00000:000
    11FC Koln00000:000
    12Mainz00000:000
    13Freiburg00000:000
    14St. Pauli00000:000
    15Augsburg00000:000
    16Stuttgart00000:000
    17Heidenheim00000:000
    18RB Leipzig00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga