Result
2:0
22/02/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- GERMANY: Bundesliga - Round 23
- Referee: Zwayer F. (Ger)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.85 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 22 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (329/423) | 79% (296/377) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 59% (87/148) | 60% (58/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 40% (8/20) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 63% (10/16) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 27 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 18', Sano K. 🟨,
- 24', Treu P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Weiper N. ↓, Lee Jae-Sung ↑,
- 50', Kohr D. 🟨,
- 62', Ritzka L. ↓, Dzwigala A. ↑,
- 66', Van Der Heyden S. 🟨,
- 66', Kohr D. ↓, Hanche-Olsen A. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 0, Lee Jae-Sung ⚽,
- 69', Saad E. ↓, Afolayan O. ↑,
- 73', Burkardt J. ↓, Sieb A. ↑,
- 83', Weisshaupt N. ↓, Sinani D. ↑,
- 83', Mwene P. ↓, Widmer S. ↑,
- 83', Treu P. ↓, Ceesay A. ↑,
- 88', Nebel P. 🟨,
- 90+4', Nemeth D. 🟨,
- 90+5', 2 - 0, Nebel P. ⚽, Lee Jae-Sung (A),
Chances of winning
Mainz
53.4% | Draw
26.8% | St. Pauli
19.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mainz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)St. Pauli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mainz than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Mainz - St. Pauli Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79 ↓
(1.87) |
3.5 ↓
(3.57) |
4.68 ↑
(4.32) |
5.8%
(4.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Mainz - St. Pauli?
Users Predictions:
Mainz will win
(27 of 33 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.66% – 94.98%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 14).
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- In this match Mainz is a favorite.
- There will not play in Mainz: Bell S.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in St. Pauli: Ahlers S.
(Knee Injury)
Burchert S.
(Groin Injury)
Guilavogui M.
(Ankle Injury)
Metcalfe C.
(Leg Injury)
Saliakas M.
(Thigh Injury)
Sands J.
(Broken Leg)
Zoller S.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Mainz: Zentner R.
(Illness)
- There are questionable in St. Pauli: Mets K.
(Knee Injury)
Wagner R.
(Thigh Injury)
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Mainz won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0
How many head-to-head matches has Mainz won against St. Pauli?
Mainz has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has St. Pauli won against Mainz?
St. Pauli has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mainz - St. Pauli were as follows:
05.10.2024
St. Pauli
-
Mainz
0:3
Latest results of St. Pauli
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Union Berlin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Bayern Munich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Werder Bremen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Hamburger SV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Wolfsburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Dortmund | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | B. Monchengladbach | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Hoffenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | FC Koln | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Mainz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Freiburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | St. Pauli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Stuttgart | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | RB Leipzig | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
Which TV channels are streaming of Mainz - St. Pauli?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Africa | New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria |
 Belgium | DAZN 1 |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free |
 Germany | Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports Extra 3 |
 Hungary | Net4+ |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 India | Vision+ |
 Indonesia | RCTI+ |
 Japan | SKY PerfecTV!, Sukachan 6 |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Flow Sports App Caribbean, Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect |
 Poland | Viaplay |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 2 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus |
 World | Disney+, Onefootball |
