Result
1:1
24/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 28
- Referee: Atkinson B. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 1.00 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (300/420) | 59% (147/250) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 1.00 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.21 | 0.86 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (300/420) | 59% (147/250) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (21/72) | 29% (24/84) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (63/118) | 46% (44/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (6/25) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.20 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 35 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (15/25) | 63% (12/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 77 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 57 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.21 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.14 | -0.79 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 3', Phillips D. 🟨,
- 23', Roberts J. 🟨,
- 42', Goode C. ↓, Sweeney D. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Thompson L. ↓, Kemp D. ↑,
- 49', Lubala B. 🟨,
- 51', Sweeney R. 🟨,
- 58', Russell J. ↓, Hendry R. ↑,
- 68', Irow O. ↓, Bolton L. ↑,
- 70', Roberts J. ↓, Patterson P. ↑,
- 76', Reid J. ↓, Cornick H. ↑,
- 76', Lubala B. ↓, Campbell C. ↑,
- 78', 0 - 1, Akins L. (Penalty Awarded),
- 83', Evans W. ↓, Adeboyejo V. ↑,
- 83', Lewis A. ↓, Hewitt E. ↑,
- 83', Oates R. ↓, Blake-Tracy F. ↑,
- 90+1', Hendry R. 🟨,
- 90+2', Sweeney D. 🟨,
- 90+7', 1 - 1, Campbell C. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Stevenage Borough
42.1% | Draw
29.9% | Mansfield Town
28% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stevenage Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Mansfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Stevenage Borough - Mansfield Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.24 ↑
(2.11) |
3.13 ↓
(3.19) |
3.33 ↓
(3.54) |
6.7%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Stevenage Borough - Mansfield Town?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Stevenage will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Mansfield will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mansfield: 30.4% – 86.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Mansfield Town will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 8 and 10)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stevenage won 1.
- Recent form of Stevenage has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Mansfield is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Mansfield may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Stevenage could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Stevenage: James-Wildin L.
(Inactive)
Simpson T.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Mansfield: Knoyle K.
(Inactive)
Maris G.
(Inactive)
Roberts T.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Mansfield: Bowery J.
(Inactive)
Gardner J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stevenage won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 11:22. (average 0.6:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Stevenage won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 4:12. (average 0.4:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Stevenage Borough won against Mansfield Town?
Stevenage Borough has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mansfield Town won against Stevenage Borough?
Mansfield Town has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stevenage Borough - Mansfield Town were as follows:
13.09.2025
Mansfield Town
-
Stevenage Borough
1:1
08.03.2025
Stevenage Borough
-
Mansfield Town
1:1
30.11.2024
Stevenage Borough
-
Mansfield Town
0:1
19.10.2024
Mansfield Town
-
Stevenage Borough
0:1
22.04.2023
Mansfield Town
-
Stevenage Borough
1:0
Latest results of Stevenage Borough
Latest results of Mansfield Town
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln | 39 | 25 | 9 | 5 | 74:34 | 40 | 84 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 39 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 73:41 | 32 | 77 |
| 3 | Bolton | 39 | 17 | 15 | 7 | 55:39 | 16 | 66 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 39 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 49:44 | 5 | 65 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 51:48 | 3 | 60 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 41:38 | 3 | 60 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 39 | 18 | 5 | 16 | 60:54 | 6 | 59 |
| 8 | Reading | 39 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 57:51 | 6 | 58 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 39 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 59:51 | 8 | 57 |
| 10 | Wycombe | 39 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 55:43 | 12 | 56 |
| 11 | Luton | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 52:49 | 3 | 55 |
| 12 | Peterborough | 38 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 57:52 | 5 | 50 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 59:60 | -1 | 50 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 49:55 | -6 | 50 |
| 15 | Doncaster | 39 | 14 | 8 | 17 | 42:59 | -17 | 50 |
| 16 | Mansfield | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 47:41 | 6 | 49 |
| 17 | Leyton Orient | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 55:62 | -7 | 48 |
| 18 | Burton | 39 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 44:54 | -10 | 46 |
| 19 | Wigan | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
| 20 | Exeter | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 42:52 | -10 | 42 |
| 21 | Blackpool | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 46:63 | -17 | 42 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 35:58 | -23 | 36 |
| 23 | Northampton | 39 | 9 | 8 | 22 | 33:56 | -23 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 29:50 | -21 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
