Result
1:1
18/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 8
- Referee: Di Marco D. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 0.52 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 83% | 17% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 92% (680/738) | 54% (75/138) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 0.52 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 0.87 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 18 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 42 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 92% (680/738) | 54% (75/138) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (14/32) | 44% (24/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 85% (148/174) | 51% (34/67) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (5/22) | 38% (5/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 0.49 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (5/6) | 60% (6/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.87 | 1.82 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.13 | 0.82 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 9', Davi F. 🟨,
- 20', Bordon F. 🟨,
- 40', 0 - 1, Pecorino E. ⚽, Davi S. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Mancini D. ↓, Masiello A. ↑,
- 46', Mallamo A. ↓, Zedadka K. ↑,
- 55', 1 - 1, Ruocco F. ⚽, Bragantini D. (A),
- 60', Paoletti F. ↓, Mancuso L. ↑,
- 64', Davi S. 🟨,
- 69', Ruocco F. ↓, Fiori A. ↑,
- 69', Bonfanti N. ↓, Mensah D. ↑,
- 69', Davi S. ↓, Martini J. ↑,
- 70', Pecorino E. ↓, Odogwu R. ↑,
- 70', Bragantini D. 🟨,
- 80', Castellini A. ↓, Maggioni T. ↑,
- 80', Artioli F. ↓, Majer Z. ↑,
- 88', Coulibaly M. ↓, Tait F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Mantova
35.2% | Draw
34.8% | Südtirol-Alto Adige
30% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mantova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)Südtirol-Alto Adige has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Südtirol-Alto Adige might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (+8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Südtirol-Alto Adige could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Mantova - Südtirol-Alto Adige Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.02 ↑
(2.84) |
2.85 ↓
(3.23) |
3.53 ↑
(2.44) |
-3.5%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Mantova - Südtirol-Alto Adige?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Mantova will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Südtirol will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 46.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19.1% – 73.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mantova won 1.
- Mantova is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Südtirol has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Südtirol: El Kaouakibi H.
(Inactive)
Kofler R.
(Red Card)
Mancini D.
(Inactive)
Veseli F.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Mantova: Bani C.
(Injury)
Paoletti F.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Südtirol: Coulibaly M.
(Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Mantova won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 0.9:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mantova won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Mantova won against Südtirol-Alto Adige?
Mantova has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Südtirol-Alto Adige won against Mantova?
Südtirol-Alto Adige has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mantova - Südtirol-Alto Adige were as follows:
29.03.2025
Mantova
-
Südtirol-Alto Adige
2:0
14.12.2024
Südtirol-Alto Adige
-
Mantova
2:2
Latest results of Mantova
Latest results of Südtirol-Alto Adige
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Modena | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14:4 | 10 | 18 |
| 2 | Palermo | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 14 |
| 4 | Cesena | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:11 | 2 | 14 |
| 5 | Monza | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 14 |
| 6 | Venezia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 11:6 | 5 | 13 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Reggiana | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:11 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Avellino | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:11 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Carrarese | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 13:9 | 4 | 11 |
| 11 | Sudtirol | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:11 | 1 | 10 |
| 12 | Empoli | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11:14 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 | Entella | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 |
| 14 | Padova | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
| 15 | Catanzaro | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 6 |
| 16 | Pescara | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Bari | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 6 |
| 18 | Sampdoria | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8:13 | -5 | 5 |
| 19 | Mantova | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:14 | -8 | 5 |
| 20 | Spezia | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5:13 | -8 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
