Result
2:0
29/03/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 31
- Referee: Caputi M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 1.39 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (434/528) | 59% (146/248) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 1.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 39 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 32 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (434/528) | 59% (146/248) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (28/65) | 22% (13/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (63/85) | 48% (65/135) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (1/5) | 41% (11/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 1.41 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 32 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 47 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 33 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.10 | 0.99 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.10 | -1.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 11', 1 - 0, Mensah D. ⚽, Mancuso L. (A),
- 17', Veseli F. 🟨,
- 27', Belardinelli L. 🟨,
- 37', Merkaj S. 🟨,
- 37', Burrai S. 🟨,
- 41', 2 - 0, Radaelli N. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Casiraghi D. ↓, Pyyhtia N. ↑,
- 46', Belardinelli L. ↓, Martini J. ↑,
- 46', Mensah D. ↓, Debenedetti A. ↑,
- 56', Festa M. 🟨,
- 58', Merkaj S. ↓, Gori G. ↑,
- 68', Veseli F. ↓, Masiello A. ↑,
- 73', Fiori A. ↓, Ruocco F. ↑,
- 79', Mancuso L. ↓, Wieser D. ↑,
- 79', Galuppini F. ↓, Bragantini D. ↑,
- 84', Bani C. ↓, Solini M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Mantova
36.8% | Draw
31.1% | Südtirol-Alto Adige
32% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mantova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Südtirol-Alto Adige has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Mantova - Südtirol-Alto Adige Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.56 ↓
(2.61) |
3.03 ↓
(3.15) |
2.94 ↑
(2.75) |
6.1%
(6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Mantova - Südtirol-Alto Adige?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Mantova will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Südtirol will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.1% – 83.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 12).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Mantova won 0.
- Mantova is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Südtirol is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- There will not play in Mantova: Brignani F.
(Inactive)
Cella S.
(Inactive)
Galuppini F.
(Injury)
Paoletti F.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Südtirol: Arrigoni T.
(Broken ankle)
Davi F.
(Inactive)
Kurtic J.
(Injury)
Praszelik M.
(Red Card)
Vimercati A.
(Injury)
Zedadka K.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Südtirol: Odogwu R.
(Injury)
- Last 11 head-to-head matches Mantova won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 9:12 (average 0.8:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Mantova won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:4 (average 0.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Mantova won against Südtirol-Alto Adige?
Mantova has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Südtirol-Alto Adige won against Mantova?
Südtirol-Alto Adige has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mantova - Südtirol-Alto Adige were as follows:
14.12.2024
Südtirol-Alto Adige
-
Mantova
2:2
Latest results of Mantova
Latest results of Südtirol-Alto Adige
Draw
Play OutFinal| 1 | Salernitana (16) | Sampdoria (17) | 0 : 3, 0 : 2 |
