Result
0:2
18/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 35
- Referee: Calzavara A. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.36 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (470/564) | 71% (212/299) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.36 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.82 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 5 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (470/564) | 71% (212/299) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (29/61) | 35% (24/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (94/149) | 43% (31/72) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (6/18) | 14% (1/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.29 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 79% (19/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 64 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.94 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.18 | 0.94 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Biasci T. ↓, Enrici P. ↑,
- 46', Fontanarosa A. ↓, Missori F. ↑,
- 57', Ruocco F. ↓, Buso N. ↑,
- 57', Maggioni T. ↓, Radaelli N. ↑,
- 63', 0 - 1, Missori F. ⚽, Palmiero L. (A),
- 68', Patierno C. ↓, Favilli A. ↑,
- 75', Russo R. ↓, Tutino G. ↑,
- 76', Palumbo M. ↓, Besaggio M. ↑,
- 76', Castellini A. ↓, Marras T. ↑,
- 81', Wieser D. ↓, Falletti C. ↑,
- 86', 0 - 2, Favilli A. ⚽, Izzo A. (A),
- 90+3', Dembele A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Mantova
42.3% | Draw
29.7% | Avellino
28% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mantova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Avellino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
Mantova - Avellino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.22 ↓
(2.35) |
3.19 ↑
(3.15) |
3.32 ↑
(2.87) |
6.5%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Mantova - Avellino?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Mantova will win (votes: 14 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mantova: 49.9% – 90.1%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Mantova (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 13).
- Mantova is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Avellino has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Mantova might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Mantova: Bonfanti N.
(Ankle Injury)
Chrysopoulos K.
(Inactive)
Meroni A.
(Inactive)
Muci N.
(Inactive)
Trimboli S.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Avellino: Daffara G.
(Inactive)
Marson L.
(Inactive)
Reale F.
(Muscle Injury)
Sgarbi L.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Mantova: Mensah D.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Avellino: Favilli A.
(Tendon Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mantova won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Mantova won against Avellino?
Mantova has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Avellino won against Mantova?
Avellino has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mantova - Avellino were as follows:
04.10.2025
Avellino
-
Mantova
0:0
Latest results of Mantova
Latest results of Avellino
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia ✔ | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 75:31 | 44 | 79 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 37 | 22 | 12 | 3 | 71:34 | 37 | 78 |
| 3 | Monza | 37 | 22 | 9 | 6 | 59:30 | 29 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 37 | 20 | 12 | 5 | 61:31 | 30 | 72 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 37 | 15 | 14 | 8 | 60:48 | 12 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 37 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 49:35 | 14 | 55 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia ✔ | 37 | 11 | 17 | 9 | 43:44 | -1 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 42:55 | -13 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 46 |
| 10 | Mantova | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 45:52 | -7 | 46 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 37 | 10 | 14 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 44 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 35:47 | -12 | 44 |
| 13 | Padova | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 35:46 | -11 | 43 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 45:52 | -7 | 40 |
| 15 | Sudtirol | 37 | 8 | 16 | 13 | 37:47 | -10 | 40 |
| 16 | Entella | 37 | 9 | 12 | 16 | 34:50 | -16 | 39 |
| 17 | Bari | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 35:58 | -23 | 37 |
| 18 | Pescara | 37 | 7 | 13 | 17 | 50:65 | -15 | 34 |
| 19 | Spezia | 37 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 42:58 | -16 | 34 |
| 20 | Reggiana | 37 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 35:56 | -21 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Venezia is Qualified for Serie A
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Juve Stabia is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
